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Will Barcelona respond in style at Camp Nou, or can Levante spark a survival shock? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Read Rationale ▾
Barcelona’s home dominance is overwhelming, having won 16 of their last 17 at Camp Nou. Averaging over 20 shots and 2.6 goals per game, they face a Levante side conceding 1.5 goals per away trip. A multi-goal margin is highly plausible given the stark gulf in firepower.
Read Rationale ▾
Barça have struck 64 goals this season and remain unbeaten at half-time in 23 home matches. Levante average just 10.8 shots and struggle for possession. Considering Barcelona’s historical home win streak against Levante, a comfortable shut-out victory fits the statistical pattern of this mismatch.
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Camp Nou hosts a fixture loaded with pressure. Barcelona sit second on 58 points, two behind Real Madrid, and risk drifting further after back-to-back defeats in all competitions.
Barcelona vs Levante — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with sample bet365 odds based on our La Liga match analysis.
Barcelona’s 16 wins from 17 home games make them overwhelming favourites against a struggling Levante side in relegation danger.
Barcelona’s strike rate of 64 goals in 24 matches suggests a high-scoring encounter is likely at the Camp Nou.
Given Levante’s defensive struggles away from home, Barcelona are positioned to secure a significant multi-goal victory today.
Barcelona’s streak of 23 matches unbeaten at half-time at home underscores their ability to control games early.
Match Overview
Hans-Dieter Flick’s side were beaten 4-0 by Atletico Madrid in the Copa del Rey and then edged out 2-1 by Girona in La Liga. That sting still lingers.
Levante arrive 19th with 18 points, seven from safety, and deep in a relegation scrap. They’ve lost their last three league games and now walk into a stadium where Barcelona rarely slip — kick-off at 15:15 demands a response.
Match Performance: Goals Scored comparison
The contrast in attacking output is significant, with Barcelona nearly tripling the visitors’ total production this season.
Averaging 2.66 goals per game, Barcelona’s attacking rhythm is among the highest in the league.
Levante find it harder to hit the net, averaging roughly one goal per league fixture.
Shot Volume: Attacking Pressure
High shot volume translates into frequent goal-scoring opportunities at the Camp Nou.
Levante average roughly half the shots of their hosts, indicating limited time spent in the final third.
Key Statistics for Barcelona vs Levante
- Home Fortress: Barcelona have won 16 of their last 17 home matches, scoring 2+ goals in six straight La Liga home games, and remain unbeaten at half-time in their last 23 at Camp Nou.
- Firepower Gap: Barça have struck 64 league goals in 24 games at 20.6 shots per match, while Levante have managed 26 goals and average just 10.8 shots per game.
- One-Sided History: Barcelona have won their last 16 home games against Levante in all competitions, and have taken five of the last six head-to-head meetings overall.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Injuries / Absences:
- Barcelona: Andreas Christensen (ligament tear), Pablo Gaviria (arthroscopy).
- Levante: No new issues reported.
Barcelona (Hans-Dieter Flick) — possible XI:
J García; Kounde, Cubarsí, E García, Balde; Fermin, De Jong; Yamal, Olmo, Raphinha; Lewandowski
Levante (Luís Castro) — possible XI:
Ryan; Toljan, De la Fuente, Moreno, Sanchez; Olasagasti, Raghouber; Tunde, Alvarez, Romero; Eyong
Implications:
- Without Christensen, the defensive balance leans heavily on Cubarsí and Eric García to handle transitions.
- Levante’s shape suggests a compact midfield block, with Eyong and Romero ready to chase long passes into space.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric (La Liga) | Barcelona | Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 19th |
| Points | 58 | 18 |
| Goals scored | 64 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 25 | 41 |
| Shots per game | 20.6 | 10.8 |
| Possession | 69.1% | 42.1% |
| Pass accuracy | 89.4% | 78.6% |
| Team rating | 6.94 | 6.48 |
The picture is stark. Barcelona dominate the ball, double Levante’s shot count, and carry a goal difference of +39. Levante concede heavily and struggle to keep possession — a risky combination away at Camp Nou.
Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Barcelona: width, rhythm, and relentless pressure
Barcelona will suffocate this game with possession. 69% of the ball, nearly 651 passes per match, and a style built on short combinations and through balls means Levante will spend long spells penned in.
The right flank is electric. Lamine Yamal boasts 10 goals and 8 assists, averages 4.4 shots per game, and carries a standout rating of 8.36. Add Raphinha and Dani Olmo, and the central channels fill quickly around Robert Lewandowski.
The numbers back the aggression: 19.24 total shots per game, 63 dangerous attacks per match, and a habit of scoring in clusters at home. Barcelona don’t just probe — they swarm.
But there’s tension underneath. Barcelona are very weak defending counter-attacks and struggle against through balls. That’s the one crack Levante will target.
Levante: direct, brave, and built for moments
Levante play long and attack through the middle. They attempt through balls often and take risks in transition.
Karl Etta Eyong leads with 5 goals, while Iván Romero adds 4 and offers mobility. They won 3-2 earlier this season in the reverse fixture after racing into a two-goal lead before half-time — proof they can land punches.
The issue? Defensive frailty. Levante are very weak defending counter-attacks, very weak defending wide attacks, and concede 1.50 goals per away match on average. Against Barcelona’s wing-driven assault, that’s dangerous territory.
If Levante sit too deep, waves will come. If they step out, space opens behind.
Key Moments to Watch
- Early intensity: Barcelona average their first goal around the 44th minute, but their home starts are aggressive. If Levante survive the opening half-hour, anxiety could creep in.
- Yamal vs Sanchez: Barcelona’s right-sided thrust against Levante’s left defensive channel could define the afternoon.
- Set pieces: Barcelona are very strong defending them — Levante are very weak. Dead balls may tilt momentum sharply.
- Transition traps: One loose pass from De Jong or Fermin, and Levante will launch long.
Potential Vulnerabilities
Barcelona’s dominance leaves space behind. If Levante execute through balls quickly and catch the offside trap mistimed, the Camp Nou crowd could grow restless. Flick’s side must control not just the ball — but the moments in between.
📊 Market Explainer
Handicap Betting
In a Handicap market, one team is given a virtual lead or deficit to level the playing field. For a -2 Handicap to win, the chosen team must win by 3 or more goals.
Pros: Higher odds on heavy favourites. Cons: Requires a dominant performance.
Correct Score
This market requires predicting the exact final scoreline of the match at the end of regulation time.
Pros: High potential returns. Cons: High volatility; a single late goal can ruin the pick.
🎯 Tip 1: Barcelona -2 Handicap
Barcelona enter this fixture as significant favourites, underpinned by a historic home record at Camp Nou. Flick’s side has won 16 of their last 17 home matches, showcasing a ruthless efficiency in front of their own fans. Averaging 20.6 shots per game and having already struck 64 goals in just 24 league outings, the offensive disparity between these two sides is vast. Levante concede 1.50 goals per away match on average and sit 19th in the table, having lost three consecutive league games.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators:
- Barcelona average 69.1% possession, allowing them to dictate the tempo.
- Levante are noted as very weak in defending wide attacks, where Yamal and Raphinha operate.
- Barcelona have won their last 16 home games against Levante.
Risk Factor: Barcelona have shown occasional vulnerability to counter-attacks and through balls, which is Levante’s primary method of attack.
🎯 Tip 2: Correct Score 3-0
Predicting a 3-0 scoreline aligns with the statistical gulf between the second-placed hosts and the relegation-threatened visitors. Barcelona have scored 2 or more goals in six straight home league games and remain unbeaten at half-time in their last 23 home matches. This suggest they are likely to take control early and maintain pressure throughout. Levante, meanwhile, average only 10.8 shots per game and struggle to maintain possession with a pass accuracy of just 78.6%.
Risk Factor: Should Barcelona find an early cluster of goals, they may rotate key players, potentially slowing the scoring rate in the final stages.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Ranked very strong in set-pieces, benefiting from high-volume delivery and aerial presence.
Levante are very weak at defending dead-ball situations, making them vulnerable to crosses and corners.
❓ Questions & Answers
⊕ What is a Handicap -2 bet?
A Handicap -2 bet means the team starts with a two-goal deficit. For the bet to win, the team must win the actual match by at least three clear goals (e.g., 3-0, 4-1).
⊕ Why is Barcelona the heavy favourite today?
Barcelona sit 2nd in La Liga with 58 points while Levante are 19th with just 18 points. Furthermore, Barcelona have won 16 of their last 17 home matches.
⊕ How does the Correct Score market work?
The Correct Score market requires you to pick the exact final score of the game. If the match ends in any other scoreline, the bet is lost.
⊕ What are Levante’s main attacking threats?
Karl Etta Eyong is their top scorer with 5 goals, followed by Iván Romero with 4. They rely on direct play and through balls in transition.
⊕ Can Levante pull off an upset?
While unlikely given the form, Levante did win the reverse fixture 3-2 earlier this season. Their success depends on exploiting Barcelona’s weakness against counter-attacks.
⊕ What is Barcelona’s home scoring record like?
Very strong. They have scored 2 or more goals in six consecutive La Liga home games and average 20.6 shots per match.
⊕ Who is missing for Barcelona today?
Andreas Christensen is out with a ligament tear and Pablo Gaviria is unavailable following an arthroscopy. Levante have no new issues.
⊕ What happens to my bet if there is a late goal?
In Correct Score markets, any goal changes the result. If a team scores in the final minute to make it 3-1 when you bet on 3-0, the bet loses.
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