Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna Predictions

Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna: Five Wins, One Major Attacking Problem. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Atletico Madrid welcome Deportivo La Coruna to the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Saturday, 24 October, with two contrasting runs of form shaping this La Liga encounter.

Three Punchy Stats

• Five consecutive league wins: Atletico have recovered emphatically from their Athletic Bilbao defeat, strengthening their position in the title race.
• 20 consecutive matches: Deportivo have avoided defeat by more than one goal throughout that league sequence, underlining their resistance.
• Five goals: Aubameyang's absence removes Deportivo's leading scorer, placing greater responsibility on Nsongo and the remaining attackers.

Diego Simeone's side have won five consecutive league matches, climbing to second place with 22 points from nine games. Deportivo sit ninth on 11 points, although their five-match winless sequence tells only part of the story.

The visitors have been difficult to beat convincingly, while Atletico's recent victories have increasingly relied on narrow scorelines. Add Deportivo's attacking injuries and Atletico's midweek Champions League commitments, and the central question becomes whether the hosts can turn their superiority into a comfortable result.

Atletico's Winning Run Conceals a Change in Results

Atletico's response to September's 3-0 defeat against Athletic Bilbao has been impressive. Five straight league victories include a 3-0 success against Real Sociedad, a 4-0 win over Osasuna and a 2-1 triumph over Real Madrid.

Yet their subsequent victories over Alaves and Espanyol finished 2-1 and 1-0 respectively. The results remain excellent, but the winning margins have tightened.

Their attacking statistics suggest Atletico possess the capacity to create sustained pressure. Across their last ten league outings, they have averaged 16.2 attempts, 6.2 shots on target and 59.2% possession.

That combination indicates a side regularly controlling the ball and generating opportunities rather than depending exclusively on isolated attacking moments.

Alejandro Baena has contributed five league goals, including the late winner against Espanyol. His finishing has become particularly valuable as Atletico have found themselves needing individual contributions to settle closer contests.

The hosts also have a demanding turnaround to manage. Tuesday's 1-1 Champions League draw against Stuttgart interrupted their winning sequence across all competitions, leaving relatively little recovery time before Deportivo arrive.

Deportivo's Resilience Faces Its Toughest Examination

Deportivo's ninth-place position represents a respectable start following promotion from the Segunda Division, but their recent results expose a difficulty turning competitive performances into victories.

Antonio Hidalgo's team have drawn three and lost two of their previous five league matches. Their latest 1-1 draw against Levante continued that pattern.

Across their last ten league games, Deportivo have averaged 11.1 attempts and 4.2 shots on target, compared with Atletico's 16.2 and 6.2.

The visitors therefore produce fewer attacking opportunities, while their 47.8% average possession suggests they may spend considerable periods without the ball against Atletico.

Their defensive figures offer a more encouraging comparison. Deportivo have conceded an average of 11.5 attempts and 4.2 shots on target, although their opponents have still averaged 1.4 goals.

Atletico's attacking volume presents a considerable examination of that defensive record.

Nevertheless, Deportivo have covered a 1.5-goal handicap in 20 consecutive league matches. That unusually consistent sequence suggests opponents have struggled to establish commanding winning margins against them.

Aubameyang's Absence Changes Deportivo's Attacking Outlook

The visitors' greatest concern is their depleted forward line.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, their leading scorer with five goals, remains unavailable alongside Zakaria Eddahchouri, who has contributed two. Bright Ede and Marc Casado are also sidelined, while Noe Carrillo is doubtful.

Bil Nsongo scored against Levante and could again lead the attack. His contribution becomes especially significant given the absence of Deportivo's two leading scorers.

Atletico have selection problems of their own. Koke remains out with a hamstring injury, while Cristian Romero is recovering from an adductor problem.

Lee Kang-in's return offers Simeone another attacking option, and Julian Alvarez arrives having scored against Stuttgart.

Deportivo can also welcome Lorenzo Amatucci back from suspension.

Why Atletico Remain Favourites Without an Easy Assignment

Historical results strongly favour the hosts. Atletico have won five of their last six meetings with Deportivo and have not lost to them since November 2009.

Their superior attacking production, league position and recent winning form provide further reasons to expect them to control proceedings.

But Deportivo's ability to remain competitive, combined with Atletico's increasingly narrow victories and European workload, makes a convincing home win less straightforward than the standings suggest.

📊 Market Explainer

Main Tip

Handicap Market

Selection: Deportivo La Coruna Asian Handicap +1.75. A virtual goal advantage or deficit is applied before settlement. The bet is decided by the adjusted score after normal time.

Correct Score Tip

Correct Score Market

Selection: Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna 1-0. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.

🎯 Pick 1: Deportivo La Coruna Asian Handicap +1.75

Deportivo La Coruna’s remarkable 20-match sequence of covering a 1.5-goal handicap provides a robust foundation for an Asian Handicap +1.75 selection, particularly against an Atletico Madrid side that has recently secured narrower victories. While Diego Simeone’s team are on a five-match domestic winning run, their winning margins have tightened following earlier comprehensive wins, highlighted by a 2-1 victory over Alaves and a 1-0 success against Espanyol.

The interaction between Atletico’s heavy workload and Deportivo’s stubborn resistance suggests a closely contested fixture. Atletico played out a 1-1 Champions League draw against Stuttgart on Tuesday, leaving limited preparation and recovery time. Meanwhile, Deportivo concede an average of only 11.5 attempts and 4.2 shots on target per match. Although opponents still average 1.4 goals against them from those chances, Antonio Hidalgo’s promoted side consistently avoid the heavy multi-goal defeats that would fully sink this +1.75 handicap line.

The clear risk to this selection stems from Atletico’s attacking volume, as the hosts average 16.2 attempts and 6.2 shots on target over their last ten matches. A dominant home performance, aided by Alejandro Baena’s five league goals, could test Deportivo’s defensive resilience. However, the visitors’ exceptional consistency in avoiding large defeats, combined with Atletico’s European commitments and recent sequence of single-goal margins, leaves the Asian Handicap a logical approach. Deportivo’s ability to stay competitive makes a wide blowout unlikely, suiting the protective settlement structure of the +1.75 market.

🎯 Tactical Indicators

• Deportivo La Coruna have covered a 1.5-goal handicap in 20 consecutive league matches.
• Atletico Madrid have limited recovery time after a midweek Champions League draw.
• Atletico's last two domestic wins were by single-goal margins.

Risk Factor: Atletico's high attacking volume could breach Deportivo's defence and defeat the handicap.

⚔️ Pick 2: Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 @ 13/2

An exact 1-0 Atletico Madrid victory aligns strongly with the hosts’ tightening margins and Deportivo La Coruna’s severe attacking absences. Diego Simeone’s men have won five consecutive league matches, but their latest victories—including a 1-0 win over Espanyol—demonstrate a reliance on narrow scorelines rather than the expansive attacking shown earlier in the campaign.

The probability of Deportivo failing to score is elevated by their depleted forward line. The visitors travel without their two leading scorers, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Zakaria Eddahchouri, who account for seven combined goals this season. With Bright Ede and Marc Casado also sidelined, Deportivo’s modest average of 11.1 attempts per match is likely to decrease further. Furthermore, Atletico’s ability to monopolise the ball—averaging 59.2% possession over their last ten games—should limit the visitors’ attacking opportunities, giving the hosts a clear platform to secure a clean sheet.

A 1-0 scoreline is inherently fragile and could be ruined if Atletico convert more of their 16.2 average attempts into goals. Alejandro Baena and the returning Julian Alvarez possess the finishing capability to extend the lead, while Deportivo’s Bil Nsongo offers a residual threat after scoring against Levante. Nevertheless, Deportivo’s record of covering a 1.5-goal handicap in 20 consecutive matches proves they rarely capitulate heavily. Given Atletico’s short recovery period following their Champions League draw with Stuttgart, a controlled, single-goal home victory represents a credible synthesis of the supplied defensive and attacking metrics.