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Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla: Terzic’s First Test Comes Against a Side Already Up to Speed. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses recently, with Athletic conceding in six straight league games and Sevilla having only one clean sheet in 14 matches. Both sides scored in their last head-to-heads, making a Both Teams To Score selection plausible despite some lineup risks.
A 2-1 Athletic win fits recent attacking strength and Sevilla's defensive frailty. Both teams have scoring runs, but defensive absences and a narrow margin pose risks.
Athletic Bilbao begin their La Liga campaign against Sevilla at San Mames with an unusual problem for a new manager: Edin Terzic’s first competitive match arrives against opponents who have already banked three points.
Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Athletic's recent home wins and Sevilla's defensive issues suggest a home victory.
Athletic's recent home wins and Sevilla's defensive issues suggest a home victory.
Both sides have scoring runs and defensive vulnerabilities supporting BTTS.
A narrow 2-1 score fits recent scoring and defensive patterns for both teams.
Three Punchy Stats
- Athletic conceded in their final six league matches last season, and they have since allowed four goals across their last two pre-season games.
- Sevilla have managed only one clean sheet in their last 14 competitive fixtures, so their opening-day victory has not yet erased a longer defensive issue.
- Athletic have won 73 of the clubs’ 181 meetings and Sevilla 72, a remarkably narrow historical split that reflects how little separates them overall.
Scoring and Clean Sheet Records
Recent attacking records for Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla are shown below.
Recent Head-to-Head and Defensive Records
Recent defensive records for Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla are shown below.
Athletic’s opening fixture against Barcelona was postponed, leaving pre-season as Terzic’s only preparation in charge. Sevilla, by contrast, have already experienced the pressure of a league match, beating Rayo Vallecano 2-1 through penalties from Jon Guridi and Peque.
That difference in competitive sharpness is only part of the picture. Both teams finished in the bottom half last season, Athletic in 12th and Sevilla in 13th, and each arrives with reasons to question its defensive security.
Terzic inherits a side with attacking promise and defensive questions
Athletic won five of eight pre-season matches, but their most recent results were less convincing, losing 3-1 to Marseille and 1-0 to Atalanta. Four goals conceded across those two fixtures extend a defensive concern from the end of last season, when Athletic allowed a goal in each of their final six league games.
They were more reliable at the other end. Athletic failed to score only once across their last eight matches of the previous campaign, suggesting Terzic does not need to rebuild everything at once.
His first selection could nevertheless contain compromises. Unai Egiluz is out with a knee injury and Dani Vivian is doubtful because of a hamstring problem. Nico Williams, despite helping Spain win the 2026 World Cup, has had limited pre-season football and could begin on the bench. Inaki Williams, Oihan Sancet and Robert Navarro are all expected to feature in the attack.
Sevilla’s opening win needs a little context
Sevilla’s 2-1 victory over Rayo was valuable, but both goals came from the penalty spot, with the winner arriving late. It was an effective start rather than overwhelming evidence that last season’s problems have disappeared.
Their defensive record remains the more significant warning. Sevilla have kept only one clean sheet in their last 14 competitive matches, a sequence stretching back to February. They have at least been scoring consistently, finding the net in their last five games when pre-season fixtures are included.
There has also been substantial turnover. Six players have arrived this summer, including Robbie Ure, while Akor Adams and Juanlu Sanchez are among several notable departures. Ure came off the bench against Rayo and could now start at San Mames.
Kike Salas will definitely miss out after his red card in the opening game, while Alfon Gonzalez is doubtful with a thigh problem. Castrin is expected to benefit from Salas’s suspension.
Recent meetings point towards another tight game
There is little separating these clubs historically, with Athletic winning 73 of 181 meetings and Sevilla 72. The more recent pattern leans towards the Basque side, who have won four of the last six encounters, although Sevilla took the latest meeting 2-1 in January.
Both teams also scored in each of last season’s two meetings. Combined with Athletic’s run of conceding at the end of 2025-26 and Sevilla’s shortage of clean sheets, that gives this fixture a clear theme: neither defence arrives with much margin for error.
Athletic have home advantage, but Sevilla possess something their hosts do not yet have under their new manager — a competitive match behind them.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla 2-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams To Score YES @ 21/20
Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla enter this San Mames fixture with persistent defensive records that strongly support the selection of both teams finding the net. Athletic finished their previous league campaign by conceding in six consecutive matches, a defensive vulnerability that re-emerged during pre-season when Edin Terzic’s side allowed four goals across their final two warm-up games against Marseille and Atalanta. Despite these defensive lapses, Athletic remained consistently dangerous in attack, failing to score in only one of their last eight league fixtures of the 2025-26 season.
Sevilla present a strikingly similar pattern of defensive frailty paired with regular scoring output. Across their last 14 competitive matches stretching back to February, the visiting side have managed just a single clean sheet, while simultaneously establishing a five-game scoring run when including pre-season fixtures. Their 2-1 victory over Rayo Vallecano further demonstrated that capability, even if both conversions required penalty kicks. When these defensive records intersect with the expected presence of Inaki Williams, Oihan Sancet, and Robert Navarro for the hosts alongside Sevilla’s recent scoring form, the matchup naturally creates scoring opportunities at both ends of the pitch.
The main risk to this selection stems from potential line-up disruption and missing personnel, as Sevilla will be without the suspended Kike Salas while Athletic face defensive uncertainty surrounding Dani Vivian. Furthermore, both teams scored in both head-to-head league meetings last season, reinforcing a consistent historical dynamic. While opening fixtures can occasionally produce conservative periods as teams adjust, the combined defensive records make a mutual shutout improbable.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Athletic conceded in their final six league matches last season and allowed four goals across their last two pre-season friendlies.
- Sevilla have managed only one clean sheet across their last 14 competitive fixtures stretching back to February.
- Both teams scored in both head-to-head league meetings during the 2025-26 season.
Risk Factor: A low-scoring 0-0 or 1-0 outcome could occur if Athletic's attack stumbles without Nico Williams or if Sevilla fail to convert open-play chances.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Athletic found the net in 7 of their final 8 league matches last season with Sancet and Williams.
Sevilla have managed just 1 clean sheet since February and must replace suspended Kike Salas.
📊 Pick 2: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla 2-1 @ 7/1
A 2-1 victory for Athletic Bilbao aligns directly with the supplied performance facts for both teams, providing a logical scoreline that satisfies all underlying statistical patterns. To justify the hosts scoring twice, Athletic demonstrated pre-season attacking strength by winning five of their eight friendly matches, building upon a finish to last season where they scored in seven of their final eight league games. With Inaki Williams, Oihan Sancet, and Robert Navarro projected to start in attack, Athletic generated regular scoring opportunities against a Sevilla backline that has managed only one clean sheet in their last 14 competitive fixtures and must replace suspended defender Kike Salas with Castrin.
Conversely, Sevilla scoring a single goal is supported by their active five-match scoring streak across pre-season and competitive action, which includes their 2-1 win over Rayo Vallecano. Their capability to find the net meets an Athletic defence that allowed goals in six straight league games to end last season, conceded four goals in recent friendlies against Marseille and Atalanta, and faces defensive selection issues with Unai Egiluz ruled out and Dani Vivian doubtful.
This exact scoreline also carries direct historical precedent, as the most recent head-to-head encounter in January finished 2-1 to Sevilla, while both league meetings last season saw both teams score. The principal risk to a 2-1 result lies in its narrow margin, where a late goal or a missed penalty could easily alter the outcome. However, given Athletic’s four wins in the last six encounters, a 2-1 home win remains a plausible outcome.
Risk Factor: The 2-1 scoreline fails if Athletic keep a clean sheet, Sevilla score twice, or the match ends 1-1.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Yes market settle for Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla?
BTTS Yes wins if both teams score at least one goal during 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
What condition must be met for the 2-1 Correct Score bet to win?
Athletic Bilbao must score exactly two goals and Sevilla exactly one by full-time.
Why is Both Teams To Score YES considered a strong selection for this fixture?
Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities and consistent scoring records recently.
How does the postponement of Athletic Bilbao's match against Barcelona impact this game?
Athletic enter without competitive game time under Terzic, relying on pre-season matches.
Does Sevilla's victory over Rayo Vallecano guarantee defensive stability against Athletic?
No, Sevilla's defensive issues remain despite the win, with only one clean sheet in 14 games.
How do recent head-to-head statistics support both teams scoring?
Both teams scored in both league meetings last season and Sevilla won the latest 2-1.
