Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Preview: Hosts Eye European Places Against Struggling Newcomers. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Werder Bremen's consistent home scoring and unbeaten run contrast with Paderborn's frequent scoring blanks and away struggles, making the hosts the reliable choice despite defensive vulnerabilities.
A 2-1 scoreline balances Bremen's strong scoring with their defensive frailty, allowing Paderborn a likely consolation goal despite their poor away scoring record.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Werder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07.
Werder Bremen will look to extend their four-match Bundesliga unbeaten run when they welcome newly promoted SC Paderborn to the Weserstadion on Saturday, 17 October.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Bremen's strong home scoring record and Paderborn's scoring struggles shape this market.
Bremen's strong home scoring contrasts with Paderborn's poor away attack, favouring a home win.
Both teams have shown scoring ability and defensive frailty, suggesting a high-scoring game.
Bremen's scoring power and defensive lapses support a 2-1 scoreline with Paderborn scoring once.
Three Punchy Stats
- Four unbeaten: Bremen have recorded two wins and two draws since their opening defeat.
- Five assists: Marco Grull has registered an assist in every Bundesliga appearance this season.
- Four blanks: Paderborn have failed to score in four of their five league matches.
Goals Scored in Last 5 Matches
Recent attacking records for Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn are shown below.
Clean Sheets in Last 5 Matches
Recent defensive records for Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn are shown below.
Daniel Thioune's side have recovered impressively from a difficult opening weekend and enter gameweek six sitting seventh, just two points outside the Champions League places.
Paderborn, meanwhile, are 15th after a challenging return to the top flight, with their lack of attacking output threatening to drag them into the relegation zone.
Werder Bremen Building Momentum Under Thioune
After guiding Bremen through a relegation battle last season, Thioune has overseen a promising start to the new campaign.
An opening 4-1 defeat against Freiburg raised concerns, but Bremen have responded with two victories and two draws, scoring consistently despite continuing defensive vulnerabilities.
Their resilience was particularly evident against Borussia Dortmund, where they overturned a two-goal deficit to secure a dramatic 2-2 draw.
Ludovit Reis sparked the comeback before Niclas Fullkrug struck a 92nd-minute equaliser, converting Marco Grull's free-kick delivery.
Fullkrug has already scored four Bundesliga goals, while Grull's five assists in five appearances underline his importance to Bremen's attacking approach.
That partnership could prove decisive against opponents struggling to contain Bundesliga attacks.
Bremen have scored 10 goals across their opening five matches, including at least three in each of their first two home fixtures.
However, they have also conceded 10 times and are yet to register a clean sheet, highlighting the defensive weaknesses that could prevent their promising start from developing into a sustained European challenge.
Paderborn Searching for Attacking Answers
Paderborn's return to the Bundesliga has exposed the difficulties facing Ralf Kettemann's promoted squad.
An opening goalless draw against Mainz offered encouragement, but successive defeats to Freiburg and Dortmund demonstrated the demanding standard awaiting the newcomers.
Their 3-1 victory over Hoffenheim provided a welcome breakthrough, only for Stuttgart to halt that momentum with a 2-0 win last weekend.
Paderborn have consequently collected four points from five matches, leaving them outside the bottom three on goal difference.
Their biggest concern is a lack of attacking productivity.
The visitors have scored just three league goals, all arriving against Hoffenheim, and have failed to find the net in four of their five Bundesliga fixtures.
Neither of their opening two away matches produced a goal, presenting a significant challenge ahead of Saturday's trip.
Nevertheless, Bremen's inability to keep opponents out offers Paderborn encouragement. Their prospects could improve considerably if they can exploit the hosts' defensive uncertainty while remaining organised themselves.
Team News and Predicted Lineups
Bremen face considerable selection difficulties, particularly in midfield and attack.
Felix Agu and Moussa N'Diaye are unavailable, leaving Arthur and Olivier Deman expected to occupy the full-back positions.
With Skelly Alvero, Senne Lynen and Jens Stage sidelined, Reis and Youri Regeer should form the central midfield partnership.
Fullkrug is expected to lead the attack despite injuries to Salim Musah, Keke Topp and Justin Njinmah.
Paderborn remain without Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant, Timur Gayret and Sebastian Klaas, while Marcel Hoffmeier could return to the squad following a thigh problem.
Werder Bremen predicted XI: Hein; Arthur, Freud, Pieper, Deman; Reis, Regeer; Dinkci, Chuki, Grull; Fullkrug.
Paderborn predicted XI: Noll; Scheller, Hansen, Ter Horst; Curda, Castaneda, Vidovic, Ulrich, Obermair; Pieringer, Marino.
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Prediction
Prediction: Werder Bremen 3-1 Paderborn
Bremen's superior attacking form, impressive home scoring record and growing confidence make them favourites.
Fullkrug's finishing and Grull's creativity should pose persistent problems for a Paderborn defence that has conceded in four consecutive league matches.
However, Bremen's defensive record suggests the visitors could create opportunities, particularly if they can reproduce the attacking efficiency displayed against Hoffenheim.
Ultimately, the hosts appear better equipped to capitalise on their chances and strengthen their push towards the European places.
📊 Market Explainer
Match Result Market
Selection: Werder Bremen to win. Choose the home win, draw or away win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from settlement.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 2-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Werder Bremen to win @ 4/5
The primary case for a home victory rests on a stark contrast in scoring reliability, particularly at the Weserstadion. Werder Bremen have recorded two wins and two draws since their opening-weekend defeat, establishing genuine momentum built on consistent attacking output. Daniel Thioune’s side have scored 10 times across their opening five matches, including at least three goals in each of their first two home fixtures. That sustained production provides a strong foundation against visitors finding the step up to the Bundesliga difficult.
When we connect that home scoring record to Paderborn’s struggles, the matchup heavily favours the hosts. The visitors have collected four points from five matches and look completely ineffective on the road. Ralf Kettemann’s squad have failed to score in four of their five league fixtures, including both of their opening two away matches. Facing a Paderborn side with severe attacking limitations, Bremen’s combination of Niclas Fullkrug, who has four league goals, and Marco Grull, who has provided an assist in every appearance, gives them a clear advantage over a defence that has conceded in four consecutive matches.
The main complication for the home win is Werder Bremen’s own defensive record. The hosts have conceded 10 times and are yet to register a clean sheet, meaning they often require multiple goals to secure maximum points. However, Paderborn’s failure to score in 80 percent of their matches restricts their capacity to exploit that vulnerability consistently. Ultimately, Bremen’s proven ability to generate goals at home makes them the reliable choice to outscore a newly promoted side lacking regular offensive output.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Werder Bremen have scored 10 goals in five matches, netting at least three times in both home fixtures.
- Paderborn have failed to score in four of their five league games, including both away matches.
- Marco Grull has registered an assist in every single Bundesliga appearance this season.
Risk Factor: Werder Bremen have conceded 10 goals and failed to keep a clean sheet, so any offensive lapse could cost points.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Scored at least three goals in each of their first two home league fixtures.
Conceded in four consecutive matches while facing a significant step up in class.
⚔️ Pick 2: Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 2-1 @ 7/1
Supporting a 2-1 home victory requires balancing Werder Bremen’s consistent scoring against their persistent inability to keep opponents out. The hosts have scored 10 goals in five matches and found the net at least three times in both previous home fixtures. With Marco Grull consistently creating chances and Niclas Fullkrug supplying four league goals, Bremen possess the proven personnel to score multiple times against a Paderborn defence that has conceded in four consecutive league matches. The hosts generating two goals represents a realistic output, particularly as midfield absences for Skelly Alvero, Senne Lynen and Jens Stage could slightly restrict their usual overall dominance.
The more challenging element of this exact scoreline is justifying an away goal. Paderborn have blanked in four of their five matches and are yet to score on the road. However, Bremen’s defensive record provides a concrete path for the visitors. The hosts have conceded 10 times in five matches and lack a single clean sheet. While Paderborn struggle for consistent threat, they demonstrated efficiency by scoring three times in their solitary victory over Hoffenheim.
That performance proves the newly promoted side can exploit defensive vulnerability. Facing a Bremen backline forced into changes with Felix Agu and Moussa N’Diaye unavailable, Paderborn have a clear opportunity to find the net once. A 2-1 outcome aligns logically with the supplied evidence: it backs Bremen’s superior goalscoring capability to secure maximum points, while acknowledging that the hosts’ total lack of clean sheets this season keeps the door open for a single consolation strike.
Risk Factor: Bremen's zero clean sheets in five matches leave them vulnerable despite strong scoring.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the Match Result market settle for Werder Bremen to win?
The bet wins if Werder Bremen lead after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; a draw or loss means a loss.
What happens to the 2-1 Correct Score selection if Bremen win 3-1?
The 2-1 correct score bet loses if the final score is anything other than exactly 2-1 to Bremen.
Why is Werder Bremen to win the main selection?
Bremen's superior scoring and unbeaten run contrast with Paderborn's frequent scoring blanks.
How does the Over 2.5 Goals market work for this match?
It wins if the total goals are three or more, covering 2-1 and other high-scoring results.
Why does the Correct Score rationale support Paderborn scoring?
Bremen's poor defensive record suggests Paderborn can score despite their usual struggles.
How does Both Teams to Score (BTTS) settle here?
BTTS 'Yes' wins if both teams score at least once in 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
