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Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: Early Leaders Face a Test of Their Ruthlessness. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Augsburg convert limited possession into consistent scoring, averaging 2.1 goals per game with multiple scorers. Leverkusen’s high shot volume and 2.5 goals per game, led by Patrik Schick’s 11 goals, suggest both teams will find the net despite defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Leverkusen’s higher scoring average and Patrik Schick’s 11 goals support a 2-1 away win, while Augsburg’s efficient attack and multiple scorers justify a single home goal. Defensive doubts on both sides make this narrow scoreline plausible.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for FC Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen.
Augsburg host Bayer Leverkusen at the WWK Arena on Saturday with a rather different early-season complexion to this fixture than the table might usually suggest.
Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Leverkusen's recent wins contrast with Augsburg's perfect start in last two matches.
Leverkusen's recent wins contrast with Augsburg's perfect start in last two matches.
Both teams have strong scoring averages suggesting multiple goals likely.
Both teams concede regularly, supporting a close scoreline with goals each side.
Three Punchy Stats
- Augsburg have scored seven goals and conceded only one in their opening two Bundesliga matches, giving them a +6 goal difference and maximum points.
- Leverkusen have averaged 19.3 attempts and 2.5 goals across their last 10 league games, underlining the attacking volume Augsburg may have to absorb.
- Augsburg average only 40% possession across their last 10 league matches but still score 2.1 goals per game, evidence that surrendering the ball has not prevented them from carrying a serious attacking threat.
Scoring Consistency
Recent attacking records for Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen are shown below.
Defensive Stability
Recent defensive records for Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen are shown below.
Manuel Baum’s side have opened their Bundesliga campaign with two emphatic victories, scoring seven times and conceding once, while Leverkusen arrive after following a 3-2 defeat at Elversberg with a 4-0 response against Union Berlin.
The interesting contrast is not simply Augsburg’s perfect start against Leverkusen’s inconsistency. Both teams have shown considerable attacking capacity, but the longer-term figures suggest they produce that threat in very different ways.
Augsburg are making limited possession count
Augsburg’s 4-1 victory away to Eintracht Frankfurt captured their early efficiency particularly well. They had only 40% possession yet registered nine shots on target, with Arijon Ibrahimovic, Robin Fellhauer, Alexis Claude-Maurice and Fabian Rieder all scoring.
That performance fits a broader pattern. Across their last 10 league matches Augsburg have averaged exactly 40% possession, yet still scored 2.1 goals per game from 15.7 attempts and 6.6 efforts on target. They do not need territorial dominance to generate meaningful attacking output.
That matters against Leverkusen because the visitors’ own recent profile is almost the reverse. They have averaged 59.7% possession and 560.4 passes across their last 10 league games, considerably more than Augsburg’s 341.7. Possession may therefore favour Leverkusen without necessarily telling us who is controlling the more dangerous moments.
Leverkusen bring greater attacking volume
The visitors’ attacking numbers are substantial. Over their previous 10 league fixtures they have averaged 19.3 attempts, 7.2 shots on target and 2.5 goals per game. Their 4-0 win over Union supplied further evidence, with 10 shots on goal and four different scorers.
Patrik Schick is the clearest individual threat within that wider production. His 11 goals across the previous 10 games comfortably exceed every other listed Leverkusen scorer, while Ibrahim Maza, Alejandro Grimaldo and Malik Tillman have two each.
Augsburg’s defensive workload suggests Schick and company should still get opportunities. Their opponents have averaged 17.8 attempts and 6.3 shots on target against them over the last 10 league matches, producing 1.7 goals per game.
The striking detail is that Leverkusen have also conceded exactly 1.7 goals per match across their own last 10. Their opponents, though, have required only 13.6 attempts and 5.0 shots on target on average. Augsburg therefore enter this game with genuine grounds to test a defence that has not consistently converted its control of matches into defensive security.
Selection issues add another layer
Both sides have absences and doubts that may shape the available personnel. Augsburg are without Steve Mounie and Tim Breithaupt, while Anton Kade is doubtful with a muscle injury. Michael Gregoritsch and Ibrahimovic are expected to lead the attack, with Fellhauer supporting them.
Leverkusen have uncertainty in defence around Guela Doue and Facundo Medina, while Montrell Culbreath is sidelined. Loic Bade could replace Medina if required, with Jarell Quansah another defensive option.
Midfield depth is also reduced by Kennet Eichorn’s absence, Nathan Tella’s continued recovery and a doubt over Martin Terrier. Equi Fernandez and Aleix Garcia are expected together centrally, with Tillman further forward.
Augsburg’s recent history against Leverkusen also strengthens the sense that this should not be viewed simply through reputation or possession. They have won the last two meetings, 2-1 away and 2-0 at home, although Leverkusen have taken six victories from the previous 10 encounters overall.
📊 Market Explainer
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Both teams must score at least once during normal time. The match winner does not matter; the selection is settled only by whether each side finds the net.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen 1-2. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Both Teams To Score YES @ 2/5
Augsburg’s opening stretch demonstrates an ability to convert limited spells of possession into direct scoring output. Across their last 10 league matches, Manuel Baum’s side have averaged just 40% possession, yet they continue to generate 2.1 goals per game from 15.7 total attempts and 6.6 efforts on target. Their 4-1 away victory over Eintracht Frankfurt highlighted this pattern, as they registered nine shots on target despite holding 40% of the ball. With four separate goalscorers in that fixture alone, Augsburg carry consistent baseline threat regardless of who controls the tempo.
Bayer Leverkusen arrive with significant central volume, averaging 59.7% possession, 560.4 passes, and 19.3 attempts per match across their past 10 league outings. Patrik Schick leads their individual output with 11 goals in those 10 games, supported by additional scoring options in Ibrahim Maza and Malik Tillman. However, Leverkusen’s defensive statistics reveal persistent opportunities for opponents. They have conceded an average of 1.7 goals per match across their last 10 league fixtures, allowing opposition sides to score from an average of just 5.0 shots on target per game.
Augsburg face defensive workload issues of their own, conceding 1.7 goals per match while facing 17.8 attempts per game. Furthermore, missing personnel such as Steve Mounie and Tim Breithaupt limits rotation across Augsburg’s setup. While Leverkusen won 4-0 against Union Berlin in their last outing, their previous 3-2 defeat to Elversberg reinforces their defensive vulnerability on the road. Combining Augsburg’s efficient multi-scorer attack with Leverkusen’s heavy shot production makes both teams finding the net a coherent stance.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Augsburg average 2.1 goals per match across their last 10 league games despite averaging only 40% possession.
- Bayer Leverkusen average 2.5 goals and 19.3 attempts per game over their previous 10 league outings.
- Both teams average exactly 1.7 goals conceded per match across their respective last 10 league fixtures.
Risk Factor: A defensive shutout by either side would defeat this selection if one team restricts the other's shots or preserves a clean sheet.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Conceding 17.8 attempts and 6.3 shots on target per match across their past 10 league fixtures.
Averaging 19.3 attempts and 7.2 shots on target per game over their last 10 league matches.
⚔️ Pick 2: Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 @ 7/1
Justifying a 1-2 away victory requires balancing Bayer Leverkusen’s higher offensive throughput against Augsburg’s efficient counter-attacking capability. Leverkusen average 2.5 goals per match over their last 10 league games, generating 7.2 shots on target from 19.3 total attempts. Patrik Schick’s return of 11 goals across those 10 fixtures provides a reliable reference point for visitor scoring, while support from Ibrahim Maza, Alejandro Grimaldo, and Malik Tillman adds secondary threat. Facing an Augsburg defence that concedes 1.7 goals and 17.8 attempts per match, Leverkusen possess sufficient numerical precedent to score twice.
Conversely, Augsburg’s record demonstrates why a single home goal remains plausible. Across their last 10 league matches, Augsburg have averaged 2.1 goals per game, scoring in both of their opening league fixtures this season. Robin Fellhauer, Alexis Claude-Maurice, Fabian Rieder, and Arijon Ibrahimovic all featured on the scoresheet in their 4-1 win over Frankfurt, showing that scoring threat is distributed across multiple starters. With Leverkusen conceding 1.7 goals per match across their past 10 league fixtures, Augsburg’s 6.6 shots on target per match suggest they can penetrate the visiting backline once.
Historical head-to-head records lend additional context, as Augsburg won the previous two meetings between the sides by 2-1 and 2-0 margins, while Leverkusen won six of the previous 10 overall encounters. However, exact-score selections remain inherently volatile, as a single additional goal or an unexpected clean sheet alters the full settlement. Unresolved fitness doubts around Leverkusen defenders Guela Doue and Facundo Medina further emphasize that defensive stability remains tested, leaving a narrow 1-2 scoreline defensible.
Risk Factor: Exact score selections fail if either team scores more or fewer goals than predicted.
Frequently Asked Questions
What needs to happen for Both Teams To Score (Yes) to win?
Both Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen must score at least one goal each during normal time.
What happens to the BTTS bet if the match finishes 2-0 to Augsburg?
The bet loses because Bayer Leverkusen failed to score and a clean sheet was kept.
How does the 1-2 Correct Score market settle?
Augsburg must score exactly one goal and Bayer Leverkusen exactly two goals at full time.
Does Augsburg's low possession average harm their chances of scoring?
No, they average 40% possession but still score 2.1 goals per game and create multiple shots on target.
Why is Patrik Schick significant for Leverkusen’s attack?
He scored 11 goals across Leverkusen’s last 10 league matches, leading their scoring.
Do extra time or penalties count toward these betting selections?
No, bets settle strictly on the outcome at the end of normal time including stoppage.
