bet365
BetMGM
Betfred
BetVictor
BetUK
LiveScoreBet
10Bet
Virgin Bet
EasyBet
Fluminense vs Remo: Home Strength Meets a Side Running Out of Margin. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Fluminense's strong home record, with 27 points from 36 and 2.25 goals per game, contrasts sharply with Remo's poor away form. Despite seven absences, Fluminense's possession dominance and attacking attempts suggest they are the most likely winners, while Remo's defensive frailty and away struggles limit their chances.
A 2-1 scoreline fits Fluminense's home scoring average of 2.25 goals and Remo's recent 1.4 goals per game, reflecting both teams' recent attacking patterns despite Fluminense's absences.
Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Fluminense v Remo.
Fluminense welcome Remo to the Maracana with a rare combination of momentum and vulnerability.
Fluminense vs Remo — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Fluminense's strong home record and Remo's poor away form shape the likely outcome.
Fluminense and Remo bring similar scoring profiles, leaving the totals market finely poised.
Fluminense and Remo look closely matched defensively, pointing towards a tight scoreline.
Fluminense create more chances, leaving Remo under pressure to match their attacking tempo.
Three Punchy Stats
- Fluminense have taken 27 points from 12 home league matches, winning eight and losing only once, making the Maracana their clearest competitive advantage.
- Remo have collected just nine points from 12 away games, with seven defeats, leaving them with the third-worst away record in Serie A.
- Fluminense score 2.25 goals per home game, while Remo concede 1.61 per match overall, a statistical collision that places immediate pressure on the visitors’ defensive organisation.
Scoring Consistency
Recent attacking records for Fluminense and Remo are shown below.
Defensive Solidity
Recent defensive records for Fluminense and Remo are shown below.
Marcao has overseen a Libertadores quarter-final qualification and a 3-2 league win over Palmeiras in his first two matches, yet the hosts enter Saturday without seven players, including top scorer John Kennedy and leading assist provider Lucho Acosta.
Remo have the opposite problem. Their squad is relatively intact, but their form and away record are poor. Leonardo Conde’s side are 18th, winless in five matches and facing the team with the strongest home record among the Brasileiro’s top six.
Fluminense Have Finally Broken Their Draw Habit
Before beating Palmeiras, Fluminense had drawn six of their previous nine matches. That sequence suggested a side difficult to beat but not ruthless enough to turn control into wins.
The last week altered the mood. Hulk, Kevin Serna and German Cano scored against Palmeiras, while the penalty victory over Independiente Rivadavia ended a run of shootout disappointments and carried Flu into the Libertadores quarter-finals.
Their league position has firmer foundations than a short burst of form, though. Fluminense sit fourth with 38 points from 23 matches and have taken 27 from a possible 36 at home, winning eight of 12 and losing only once. They also score 2.25 goals per home game.
That is particularly relevant against a Remo defence conceding 1.61 goals per match.
The Absence List Changes the Attacking Picture
The obvious complication is personnel. John Kennedy has nine goals in 18 appearances but remains injured, while Acosta is suspended after supplying four assists in 19 matches. Jefferson Savarino, with three goals and two assists, is also unavailable.
Guga’s suspension and injuries to Riquelme Felipe, Igor Rabello and Matheus Reis take the total number of absentees to seven. For all the confidence generated by the last two results, Marcao cannot simply reproduce his strongest attacking options.
Nonato could replace Acosta, Samuel Xavier is likely to come in for Guga, while Cano or Hulk may operate as the main focal point. Hulk and Cano both scored against Palmeiras, so the hosts are hardly stripped of threat, but the distribution of responsibility changes considerably without Kennedy and Acosta.
Remo’s Away Record Is the Hard Number to Ignore
Remo have drawn their last two league matches, 2-2 against Atletico-MG and 1-1 away to Internacional, but those points have not stopped them sliding into the relegation zone.
They have only two away victories from 12 Brasileiro matches this season, alongside three draws and seven defeats. Nine points from a possible 36 makes theirs the third-worst away record in the division.
The broader comparison is equally uncomfortable. Fluminense have scored 34 goals and conceded 28 for a +6 difference; Remo have scored 27 and allowed 37, leaving them on -10.
There is, however, enough in Remo’s recent attacking output to prevent this becoming a simple exercise in ranking the teams. Across their last 10 league matches, they have averaged 1.4 goals from 10.4 attempts, with Jaja scoring five. Vitor Bueno has added two assists in that span and scored in the draw at Internacional.
The Match May Be Defined by Territory Versus Efficiency
Fluminense average 57.5% possession across their last 10 league matches, compared with Remo’s 43.3%. They also produce 13.8 attempts per game to Remo’s 10.4.
That points towards the hosts spending more time with the ball, but their recent league return of 1.1 goals per game shows possession and shot volume have not always translated into comfortable margins. Fourteen consecutive matches without clearing a 1.25-goal handicap underline how often their games have stayed relatively tight.
Remo’s task is therefore not impossible, merely demanding. They must survive against the strongest home record among the G-6 while finding enough attacking efficiency to exploit a Fluminense side reshuffled by absences.
The previous meeting offers little comfort: Flu won 2-0 away in March. This time, though, the balance between home dominance and reduced attacking availability gives the fixture a more nuanced edge.
📊 Market Explainer
Match Result Market
Selection: Fluminense to win. Choose the home win, draw or away win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from settlement.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Fluminense vs Remo 2-1. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Fluminense to win @ 4/9
Fluminense’s primary advantage ahead of Saturday rests on their strong league record at the Maracana. Marcao’s side have secured 27 points from a possible 36 at home, winning eight of 12 matches and losing only once. That form stands in direct contrast to Remo’s away struggles. Leonardo Conde’s team have managed just two wins from 12 away fixtures, losing seven times and collecting nine points from 36 available. Winless in five overall and sitting 18th, Remo face a tough task away.
The matchup highlights how Fluminense’s home output interacts with Remo’s defensive vulnerabilities. Fluminense average 2.25 goals per home game, testing a Remo backline that concedes 1.61 goals per match overall. Fluminense also control more of the ball, averaging 57.5% possession and 13.8 attempts per game across their last 10 league outings compared to Remo’s 43.3% possession and 10.4 attempts. However, Fluminense have averaged 1.1 goals in recent league games, failing to cover a 1.25-goal handicap in 14 straight matches.
The main challenge for Fluminense comes from seven missing players. Top scorer John Kennedy, with nine goals in 18 games, is injured, while assist leader Lucho Acosta serves a suspension. Guga is also suspended, leaving Marcao to depend on German Cano and Hulk up front. Despite those personnel changes, Remo’s seven away defeats in 12 matches indicate they struggle away from home, leaving a Fluminense victory as the most defensible outcome for this fixture.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Fluminense have taken 27 points from 36 at home, winning 8 of 12 matches and losing only once.
- Remo have lost 7 of 12 away matches, earning just 9 points from 36 on the road.
- Fluminense average 57.5% possession and 13.8 attempts per match over their last 10 league games compared to Remo's 43.3% possession and 10.4 attempts.
Risk Factor: Fluminense are missing seven players including key attackers; if their reshuffled attack struggles, Remo could hold them to a draw.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Averaging 57.5% possession and 13.8 attempts per game across their last 10 league matches at home.
Conceding 1.61 goals per match overall with 7 defeats from 12 away trips and 43.3% average possession.
🎯 Pick 2: Fluminense vs Remo 2-1 @ 13/2
A 2-1 home victory relies on Fluminense establishing their standard home output while Remo manage to break through once. Fluminense’s case for scoring at least twice is supported by their home average of 2.25 goals per match at the Maracana. That scoring rate aligns directly with Remo’s defensive record, as the visitors concede an average of 1.61 goals per game overall. Even with key attackers unavailable, Hulk and German Cano both demonstrated their goalscoring capability by finding the net in the recent 3-2 league victory over Palmeiras.
Remo’s ability to contribute a goal to this exact scoreline is backed by their recent attacking output. Across their last 10 league matches, Leonardo Conde’s side have averaged 1.4 goals from 10.4 attempts per game. Forward Jaja has scored five goals across that 10-match stretch, while Vitor Bueno scored in the recent 1-1 draw at Internacional and contributed two assists. Remo also scored twice in a 2-2 draw with Atletico-MG, showing they can find the net away from home.
The main limitation of an exact scoreline bet is its vulnerability to a single goal. Fluminense won the previous meeting 2-0 in March, and a clean sheet remains possible if Remo fail to convert. Additionally, Fluminense have gone 14 consecutive league matches without clearing a 1.25-goal handicap, reflecting a pattern of narrow victories. While correct score wagers carry high volatility, 2-1 combines Fluminense’s home strength with Remo’s demonstrated capacity to score.
Risk Factor: The 2-1 scoreline is vulnerable if Fluminense keep a clean sheet or fail to clear a 1.25-goal handicap.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does backing Fluminense to win mean in the Match Result market?
Backing Fluminense to win means your wager wins if Fluminense lead after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; draws or Remo wins lose.
How does the Correct Score market settle for a 2-1 outcome?
A Correct Score bet on 2-1 wins only if Fluminense score exactly two goals and Remo exactly one at full time.
Why is Fluminense's home form significant for this fixture?
Fluminense have earned 27 points from 36 at home, winning 8 of 12 matches and scoring 2.25 goals per game, making home advantage key.
How does Remo's away record impact their probability of getting a result?
Remo have only 2 wins from 12 away matches, conceding 1.61 goals per game, making their trip to Maracana challenging.
Does Fluminense's missing player list affect the betting selection?
Fluminense miss seven players including top scorer John Kennedy and assist leader Lucho Acosta, reducing attacking fluency and goal blowout chances.
What is the difference between Match Result and Double Chance in this match?
Match Result requires a Fluminense win, while Double Chance covers Fluminense win or draw, reducing risk but offering shorter odds.
What evidence supports Remo scoring a goal at the Maracana?
Remo have averaged 1.4 goals in their last 10 league matches, with key players like Jaja and Vitor Bueno contributing goals and assists.
What is the main risk involved in selecting a 2-1 Correct Score?
The 2-1 bet loses if Fluminense keep a clean sheet or if the match ends 1-1 or 3-1, reflecting high volatility in exact score bets.
