Everton vs Newcastle Predictions

Everton vs Newcastle Predictions for this Premier League fixture. Everton face Newcastle on Saturday, 5 October, aiming for consecutive Premier League wins for the first time since April, as they look to build on recent form at Goodison Park. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Everton
Newcastle

Premier League | Oct 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK at Goodison Park

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Everton vs Newcastle Predictions

Best Odds Boost for this Match
William hill
BARCELONA TO WIN, OVER 2 GOALS & OVER 9 CORNERS
5/2 (was 2/1)
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Can Everton’s Resurgence Stall Newcastle’s European Dreams at Goodison Park?

  • Everton’s Defensive Dilemmas: The Toffees have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, conceding 15 goals this season at an average of 2.5 per game. Not exactly the hallmark of a fortress.
  • Newcastle’s Travel Troubles: The Magpies haven’t secured a clean sheet in six games and suffered a 3-1 defeat to Fulham in their most recent away fixture. Their defence seems to take a holiday whenever they leave St. James’ Park.
  • Both Teams Love to Share (Goals): Both teams have scored in each of their last five matches, indicating that this encounter is likely to feature goals from both sides. If you’re a fan of defensive masterclasses, this might not be the match for you.

Our Tips

Draw
5/2 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A draw appears the most logical outcome, with Real Sociedad’s defensive solidity countering Villarreal’s attacking firepower, while Sociedad’s limited scoring ability and Villarreal’s defensive issues balance the contest at Anoeta.
Draw 1-1
11/2 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 1-1 draw is likely, as Sociedad’s defensive discipline meets Villarreal’s attacking strength. Barry and Oyarzabal may capitalise on lapses, but neither side seems capable of overpowering the other.

As another thrilling Premier League weekend looms, all eyes will be on Goodison Park this Saturday evening. Everton, after securing their first league win of the season—a spirited 2-1 comeback against Crystal Palace—are desperate to prove that victory was no fluke. Despite that success, ,manager Sean Dyche might be feeling the heat; whispers about his job security are floating around like confetti at a wedding.

Across the pitch, Newcastle United arrive with ambitions of their own, but if we look at their recent form we can see that they’re more paper tiger than roaring lion. After a blistering start, the Magpies have collected just one point from their last two encounters. Both sides are hungry for three points, but let’s face it, with the way they’ve been playing, I wouldn’t be surprised if they will eventually share the spoils.

Best Bet: Draw

So, why should you back a draw in this matchup? Well, for starters, neither team seems capable of keeping the opposition at bay. Everton haven’t managed a clean sheet in their last five outings, shipping an average of 2.5 goals per game. Their defence has more holes than a slice of Swiss cheese. Newcastle, not to be outdone in defensive calamities, have failed to keep a clean sheet in six consecutive matches. Their last away game saw them tumble to a 3-1 defeat against Fulham, hardly a confidence booster ahead of their trip to Goodison Park.

Historically speaking, the head-to-head record between these two is as balanced as a tightrope walk. In their last five meetings, both have secured two wins and a draw. Everton might take some comfort in having won two of the last three encounters at Goodison Park, but give how they started the season I won’t make too much of this stat. Consistency isn’t exactly their middle name.

On the attacking front, both teams have players itching to make a difference. Everton’s Dwight McNeil, who has already netted three times this season, could be the spark the Toffees need. Newcastle’s Anthony Gordon, facing his former club, will be keen to make a statement—nothing like a bit of personal history to spice things up.

Our BettingTips4You.com expert, Gram Dodd, encapsulates the situation neatly: “Given both teams’ defensive frailties and the attacking talent on display, a draw seems the most logical outcome. Neither side has shown the consistency or solidity required to dominate this fixture.”

In a match where both defences are lacking stability, expecting either side to keep a clean sheet feels optimistic at best. A draw not only acknowledges the imperfections but might just be the most sensible punt you can make.

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Correct Score Prediction: Everton 1-1 Newcastle United

Predicting a 1-1 draw isn’t sitting on the fence; as we have seen, it’s a calculated assessment based on form and statistics. Everton average 1.2 goals per game but concede 2.5, while Newcastle score about 1.3 and let in 1.2. Both teams have a knack for finding the net—and for allowing their opponents to do the same.

Given that both sides are as shaky at the back as a Jenga tower in its final moments, it’s reasonable to expect goals from both ends but not a goal-fest. Neither team has shown the killer instinct needed to run away with the match.

With McNeil and Gordon both eager to make their mark—perhaps even steal the spotlight from one another—a 1-1 scoreline looks like the way to go if you want to venture yourself and bet on the correct score market. It’s the kind of game where neither side will be entirely happy, but both might reluctantly accept a point.

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.