Chile vs Bolivia predictions, betting tips and match previews for their South American World Cup qualifying clash. Chile will look to break their four-game winless streak as they host Bolivia in Tuesday’s 2026 World Cup qualifier, aiming for a much-needed victory in front of their home crowd. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.
World Cup Qualifying – South America | Group Stage | Sep 10, 2024 at 10pm UK at Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
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Chile vs Bolivia Predictions
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Can Chile Reignite Their World Cup Hopes Against Resurgent Bolivia?
- Chile’s Defensive Resilience at Home
- Chile have kept three clean sheets in their last four home World Cup qualifiers. Despite struggling offensively, they have relied on a solid backline to stay competitive, conceding just one goal at home in their last two matches. This defensive stability could prove decisive against a Bolivia side missing several key attackers.
- Bolivia’s Away Struggles
- Bolivia have conceded an average of two goals per game in this qualification campaign. Away from home, they have been particularly vulnerable, failing to win and shipping multiple goals in their last three away matches. This defensive fragility could be exposed by Chile, even if the hosts aren’t firing on all cylinders.
- Chile’s Goal-Scoring Woes
- Chile have scored just three goals in seven qualifiers, averaging 0.4 goals per game. However, they are coming up against a Bolivia side that has conceded 14 goals in the same period. While Chile have struggled to convert chances, Bolivia’s porous defence may provide the perfect opportunity for La Roja to boost their goal tally.
Best Bet
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As Chile prepare to host Bolivia in a pivotal World Cup qualifying clash on Tuesday, both teams find themselves in dire need of points to keep their respective campaigns alive. For Chile, it’s a matter of halting a worrying run of form that has seen them go four matches without a win. Their latest setback was a bruising 3-0 defeat at the hands of Argentina, leaving La Roja languishing in ninth place and desperate for a positive result at home.
Meanwhile, Bolivia travel to Santiago with a much-needed confidence boost after dispatching Venezuela 4-0 in their most recent outing. That win lifted Bolivia to eighth in the standings, just a point above Chile, and gave them renewed hope of breaking into the automatic qualification spots. However, Bolivia’s poor historical record against Chile, particularly away from home, looms large. They haven’t beaten Chile on Chilean soil, adding extra pressure on the visitors as they aim to build on their recent success.
This contest pits two sides with contrasting fortunes, with Chile struggling for goals and Bolivia finding their feet after a managerial change. The stakes are high for both teams, as a win could be a vital step toward securing a place in the 2026 World Cup.
The key prediction for this encounter is backing Chile to win and under 2.5 goals in the match. This selection strikes a balance between Chile’s superior home record against Bolivia and their current struggles in front of goal.
Chile have not been prolific scorers in recent games, managing just three goals in seven qualifiers, with a worrying trend of failing to convert chances into goals. Despite their lack of firepower, Chile’s defence has been relatively stable at home, where they’ve kept three clean sheets in World Cup qualifying matches. Their defensive organisation has been one of the few bright spots in what has been a challenging campaign.
Bolivia, on the other hand, have been unpredictable, capable of scoring freely in some matches, as they did against Venezuela, but their form on the road has been poor. They’ve conceded an average of two goals per game across their seven qualifiers and have struggled to keep things tight defensively when playing away from home. Despite their recent resurgence, Bolivia’s attack still lacks the consistency needed to trouble a Chilean defence that can be resilient, especially when playing on home soil.
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A significant factor in favour of Chile is Bolivia’s injury and suspension issues. With Ramiro Vaca suspended and Henry Vaca unavailable due to injury, Bolivia will be without key attacking options, reducing their threat in the final third. This plays into the hands of Chile, who, despite their offensive woes, will feel confident in grinding out a narrow victory.
Although Chile’s attack has been far from convincing, they still possess quality in their ranks, with Eduardo Vargas expected to lead the line. Vargas, despite being in the twilight of his career, remains a key figure for Chile and could capitalise on Bolivia’s defensive frailties. However, with Bolivia unlikely to push forward aggressively, the match could see few goals, making Chile to win and under 2.5 goals an appealing option.
“Given Chile’s recent struggles and Bolivia’s defensive vulnerabilities, we expect a low-scoring affair with the home side just edging it.” — BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa.
Correct Score Prediction: Chile 2-0 Bolivia
Following on from the best bet, the correct score prediction is 2-0 in favour of Chile. This result aligns with Chile’s recent pattern of low-scoring matches, combined with their ability to keep clean sheets at home. Bolivia’s defensive shortcomings and the absence of key attacking players suggest they will struggle to break through, especially in an away setting where they have historically faltered.
Chile have been unable to score freely, but Bolivia’s defensive record makes them susceptible to conceding goals in away matches. While Chile have only averaged 0.4 goals per game during this qualification campaign, Bolivia have conceded 14 goals in seven matches, averaging two per game. This defensive weakness provides Chile with the opportunity to secure a comfortable victory without needing to find the net multiple times.
A 2-0 scoreline would reflect Chile’s cautious approach, focusing on defensive solidity while taking advantage of Bolivia’s errors at the back. With Vargas leading the attack, Chile should have enough quality to find a couple of goals while maintaining control of the match. Bolivia, missing key players and lacking depth in attack, are unlikely to pose a significant threat, making a clean sheet for Chile a strong possibility.
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