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Man Utd vs Bournemouth: Bruno Fernandes To Score or Assist (Impact Sub Applies)








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United’s home numbers point towards a stronger chance of three points: 1.86 points per game at home and a 57% home win rate, against Bournemouth’s 0.71 points per game away and 14% away win rate. Bournemouth also concede 2.71 goals per away match, which raises the risk of them falling behind in an open game. The match-up profile supports a contest with chances (Over 2.5 at 65%, BTTS at 64%), and head-to-head history favours United (10 wins in 17).
United generate strong shot volume (18.43 shots, 6.00 on target per match), with frequent team on-target thresholds (3.5+ at 100%, 4.5+ at 71%). Mbeumo’s individual record supports accuracy: 23 shots on target from 33 total shots with 70% shooting accuracy, plus 7 goals in all competitions as of late 2025. In a fixture expected to feature chances (BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 65%), that combination gives him a credible route to two efforts on target.
The wider match conditions suggest goalmouth action: Bournemouth concede 2.71 away, and the match profile leans towards goals and chances (Over 2.5 at 65%, BTTS at 64%). United’s games have also been open across the season (BTTS in 73% of matches). Cunha has recorded 12 shots on target in the Premier League in 2025/26 as of late 2025, which supports the idea he gets efforts away that trouble goalkeepers. The leg relies on those chances falling his way often enough on the night.
At 6/1 overall, this Bet Builder blends a home-result angle with two player shooting lines. United’s home points and win rates, plus Bournemouth’s away concession rate, create a solid base. The shots-on-target legs are supported by a match profile that trends towards chances and strong team shot output.
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McNeill is among Wednesday’s top scorers with 3 goals in the Championship. The match has a goal-friendly profile with Over 1.5 at 84%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and BTTS at 59%. Derby’s away numbers support an away goal: they score in 89% of away matches and average 1.44 goals per away game. Wednesday’s home defending has been fragile, conceding 2.40 per home match and keeping 0% home clean sheets, giving Derby chances for scorers beyond their top striker.
Wednesday matches average 11.48 corners, with 84% over 7.5, 84% over 8.5, and 68% over 9.5. They win 5.37 corners per game and concede 6.11, indicating corners arrive at both ends. Derby matches also run high at 11.1 corners on average, with 75% over 7.5 and 70% over 8.5. With both teams living in double-figure corner environments, asking each side to reach three corners is a modest, match-flow based angle.
At 14/1 overall, this builder pairs a corner line supported by consistently high corner averages with a goalscorer double that rides the match’s BTTS lean and Derby’s reliable away scoring. The upside is clear, but it’s not without risk — Wednesday’s home scoring rate makes the scorer leg the swing factor.
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Man Utd vs Bournemouth: Bruno Fernandes To Score or Assist (Impact Sub Applies)
Roma vs Como: Roma to win, Both Teams To Score – Yes, Paulo Dybala over 1.5 shots on target, Paulo Dybala to score
Man Utd vs Bournemouth: Man Utd to Win, Bryan Mbeumo: 2+ Shots on Target, Matheus Cunha: 2+ Shots on Target
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