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Why this pick
Coventry arrive in outstanding form: six straight league wins and an unbeaten start (W8, D4) with a league-best 34 goals in 12. Wrexham’s output has dipped — no more than one goal scored in each of their last seven competitive matches — and they are light through injuries and suspensions. With the Sky Blues fast starters during this streak and boasting the division’s third-best defence, the visitors’ balance of threat and control makes them rightful favourites to take all three points.
Why this pick
Frank Lampard’s side create chances in waves, led by Thomas-Asante’s hot streak (seven in six) with Allen and Sakamoto supplying. Wrexham usually register a shot or two every game but have struggled to build volume lately. Given Coventry’s habit of front-foot first halves and Wrexham’s makeshift back line, the away side should force the goalkeeper into more saves over the ninety minutes.
Why this pick
Coventry’s width and volume of final-third entries naturally drive corners. The Sky Blues spend long spells in opposition territory during this run, forcing blocks and deflections. Wrexham’s recent attacking dip and injuries suggest more defending of their box than sustained raids, tilting the flag-kick count towards the visitors.
Why this pick
Coventry are the division’s most prolific attack so far, while Wrexham have scored in all but one of their 16 matches this season. The hosts’ tendency to nick a goal and Coventry’s cutting edge point towards a scoreline with at least three goals, even if the balance of chances leans towards the league leaders.
Four-leg builder centred on Coventry’s form and volume: away win, most shots on target, most corners, and the game to reach 3+ goals. Wrexham’s injuries and recent one-goal ceiling strengthen the Sky Blues’ statistical edge.
Why this pick
Wells leads the line with direct service and quick breaks under Wilshere. Forest Green’s pressing leaves space in behind; the Bermudian’s sharp movements and early finishes suit a cup tie where turnovers create clear chances for the home striker.
Why this pick
Early-round FA Cup games are typically combative. Luton’s energetic press and Forest Green’s assertive counters invite tactical fouls and flashpoints. With both midfields happy to break rhythm cynically, surpassing four cautions aligns with the likely intensity and game state swings.
Why this pick
Luton attack with width and sustained territory at Kenilworth Road, while Forest Green commit runners wide on fast breaks. Cross-heavy patterns, blocks and deflections should drive set-piece volume for both sides, making 4+ corners each a realistic target.
Wells’ penalty-area instincts match Forest Green’s high press and space left in transition. Cup intensity points to a busy notebook, while both teams’ wing play and direct attacks generate set pieces. Together, goalscorer, cards and corners form a coherent, value-led 18/1 treble.
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