Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman Predictions

Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman predictions & tips ahead of this clash in the Argentinean Primeira Liga. Barracas Central seek their first home win in the second phase of the Argentine Primera Division when they host Atletico Tucuman on Monday at Estadio Claudio “Chiqui” Tapia. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Argentine Primera Division | Jul 29, 2024 at 7pm UK at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia

Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman Predictions

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Will Barracas Central Finally Triumph at Home Against Atletico Tucuman?

Barracas Central are set to host Atletico Tucuman at Estadio Claudio “Chiqui” Tapia in the Argentine Primera Division. Both teams are coming into this match with a lot at stake. Barracas Central are looking to secure their first home win in the second phase of the season, while Atletico Tucuman aim to improve their poor away form.

Team Analysis

Barracas Central’s Home Struggles

Barracas Central have faced significant challenges on their home turf this season. Alejandro Orfila’s squad has managed just one point from three home matches, failing to score in two of those games. This lacklustre performance at home has hindered their chances of qualifying for the Copa Sudamericana next season. Currently, they find themselves a point shy of a Sudamericana spot and five points away from a Copa Libertadores qualifying position.

Despite their struggles, Barracas have shown resilience when scoring multiple goals. They haven’t lost a league match this year when netting more than once, though they have not achieved this feat since a 3-3 draw with Argentinos Juniors in the opening round. Their most recent encounter with Atletico Tucuman in the Copa de la Liga ended in a 2-0 victory, providing a glimmer of hope for the home side.

Atletico Tucuman’s Away Woes

Atletico Tucuman have also experienced their share of difficulties, particularly in away matches. Facundo Sava's team is winless in three away fixtures in the second phase, collecting just one point from back-to-back away games. Despite sitting 24th in the overall table and nine points above the relegation zone, Tucuman have found the back of the net only twice as visitors, while conceding four of their six goals away from home.

However, Atletico Tucuman have shown that scoring first boosts their chances significantly. They remain unbeaten in this phase when netting the opening goal, although they have dropped points even when scoring first. Their historical performance against Barracas Central is mixed, with points in three of their four all-time meetings, though their only previous away contest against Barracas ended in a loss.

Expected Lineups and Tactical Insights

Barracas Central’s Probable Lineup

Barracas Central are likely to start with Moyano in goal, and a defensive line consisting of Velurtas, Capraro, Demartini, and Tolosa. The midfield will feature Herrera, Rosane, Iacobellis, Duarte, and Coronel, with Candia leading the attack.

The return of Moyano, who secured a clean sheet in their recent draw with Independiente, will be crucial. The defensive setup needs to tighten up to avoid conceding easy goals, while the midfield must create more opportunities for Candia.

Atletico Tucuman’s Probable Lineup

Atletico Tucuman are expected to line up with Durso in goal, defended by Brandan, De los Santos, Romero, and Infante. The midfield will include Tesuri, Sanchez, Melo, and Pereyra, supporting forwards Estigarribia and Bajamich.

The absence of Mateo Coronel due to a muscle strain is a setback, but Estigarribia’s recent form, including the winning goal against Instituto, will be pivotal. Tucuman's strategy will likely involve solid defence and quick counter-attacks.

Key Areas and Player Duels

Midfield Dominance

The midfield battle will be key. Barracas Central’s Rosane and Herrera need to assert control and supply their forwards, while Tucuman’s Pereyra and Sanchez must disrupt Barracas’ play and initiate counter-attacks.

Defensive Stability

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities. Moyano’s goalkeeping for Barracas Central, coupled with the defensive quartet’s coordination, will be tested against Tucuman’s sporadic but dangerous attacks. Similarly, Durso and his defence must remain vigilant against a Barracas side eager to score at home.

Gameplay Prediction

Given both teams' form, the match is expected to be closely contested with few clear chances. Barracas Central will aim to dominate possession and press high, while Atletico Tucuman will likely sit back and exploit counter-attacking opportunities.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Barracas Central’s Strengths and Weaknesses

Barracas Central's attacking strategy, when effective, can overwhelm defences, especially if they score early. However, their inconsistency in front of goal and defensive lapses have been their downfall. They need to improve their finishing and defensive organisation to turn their fortunes around.

Atletico Tucuman’s Strengths and Weaknesses

Atletico Tucuman’s strength lies in their ability to score first and defend leads. Their away form, however, is a significant weakness. They struggle to maintain consistency and often concede crucial goals. Improving their defensive resilience on the road is vital.

Managerial Analysis

Alejandro Orfila’s tenure at Barracas Central has been marked by inconsistency. His tactics need refinement, especially in ensuring his team remains solid at the back while being effective in attack. Facundo Sava, managing Atletico Tucuman, has focused on building a strong defensive unit. However, his approach needs to evolve to address their poor away form and enhance their goal-scoring efficiency.

Predictions

Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals

Considering both teams’ struggles in attack and solid defensive setups, the best bet for this match is under 2.5 goals. Barracas Central have scored just three goals in seven matches, while Atletico Tucuman have netted only six. Both teams’ defensive records also support a low-scoring encounter.

Correct Score: Barracas Central 1-1 Atletico Tucuman

A 1-1 draw seems a likely outcome. Both teams have shown they can be resilient defensively but struggle to find the net regularly. Barracas’ home advantage might see them score, but Atletico Tucuman’s ability to snatch goals, particularly from set pieces, could lead to an equaliser.

Goalscorer Prediction: Marcelo Estigarribia to Score

Estigarribia, who scored the winner against Instituto, is in fine form and is likely to be Tucuman’s primary attacking threat. His ability to find space and finish clinically makes him a strong candidate to score.

Corner Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners

Both teams average around four to five corners per game. Barracas Central, with their high pressing, are likely to force several corners, while Atletico Tucuman’s counter-attacks could also result in set-piece opportunities. Thus, over 8.5 corners in the match is a plausible prediction.

Innovative Market: Barracas Central Total Shots on Target Over 4.5

Barracas Central’s attacking intent, especially at home, means they will likely surpass 4.5 shots on target. Despite their scoring troubles, they average 4 shots on target per game, and facing a Tucuman defence that allows opportunities, this market is promising.

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