Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Predictions

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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid predictions for this La Liga fixture. Real Madrid chase a seventh straight La Liga win when visiting rivals Atletico Madrid on Saturday in a highly anticipated Madrid derby clash. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

La Liga | Sep 27 2025 at 3:15 pm UK at Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Predictions

Can Atletico stop Real’s perfect start, or will Los Blancos power through again?

• Real Madrid’s ruthless streak: Los Blancos have scored 18 goals in seven games across all competitions, averaging over 2.5 goals per match this season.
• Atletico’s fragile defence: Simeone’s side have already conceded 10 times in just seven matches, raising doubts about their defensive steel.
• Derby history hints at goals: The last three La Liga meetings between these teams ended 1-1, showing both can score and cancel each other out.

Best Bet for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

The Madrid derby is always one of those occasions where even the calmest football fan suddenly finds themselves shouting at the TV and wondering how the referee still has a job. On Saturday, Atletico Madrid will welcome their city rivals Real Madrid to the Metropolitano, in a fixture that rarely lacks drama. This time around, the clash comes with both sides in very different moods.

Atletico arrive having scraped past Rayo Vallecano in midweek thanks to a Julian Alvarez hat-trick, but their start to the season has hardly been convincing. With just two victories in six league games, Diego Simeone’s side are already nine points behind their neighbours. Even more worrying, that usually rock-solid defence has looked unusually shaky, conceding seven in the league and three more in Europe against Liverpool.

Real Madrid, on the other hand, are flying. Six wins from six in La Liga and another victory in their Champions League opener underline their perfect start under Xabi Alonso. Kylian Mbappe is scoring goals for fun, Vinicius is causing chaos on the wings, and the squad depth is frightening when you consider Jude Bellingham can even be rested. For Atletico, this is more than just a derby—it’s a chance to stop Los Blancos’ momentum before the season starts slipping away.

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Best Bet for this match

Here at BettingTips4You, we don’t believe in flooding you with countless predictions. We always stick with just one — the Best Bet — carefully chosen after a deep dive into the stats and dynamics. For this Madrid derby, our ultimate selection is both teams to score. Among all possible options, this bet stands out as the clearest and most reliable call for what promises to be a fiery battle in the Spanish capital.

The reasoning is straightforward: Atletico are vulnerable at the back but still dangerous going forward, while Real Madrid’s attack is relentless. That combination screams goals on both sides.

Why this bet makes sense

Atletico have been leaking goals in situations that would have horrified Simeone five years ago. Already seven goals shipped in La Liga and another three against Liverpool in Europe paint a worrying picture. Yet, the flip side is Alvarez finding form with four league goals already and Alexander Sorloth returning to the lineup. Even if they can’t shut teams out, they can certainly still cause damage in the final third.

Real Madrid’s record is perfect, but it hasn’t all been smooth sailing. Their late habit of scoring after the 80th minute shows that while they dominate, they can also concede before hitting back. Mbappe is unplayable right now, but with Atletico fighting for pride at home, it’s hard to see Thibaut Courtois keeping a clean sheet either.

Another factor is history: the last three league derbies have all ended 1-1. Atletico raise their game against Los Blancos, and while Real have the firepower to win, the hosts rarely lie down in these contests.

As Wolfgang Shotten, our BettingTips4You.com Bundesliga and La Liga specialist, puts it:

“The Metropolitano might not stop Real Madrid from marching on, but this is a derby where both nets are bound to shake. The emotion, the tension, and the form of both attacks make it almost inevitable.”

Considering all angles, both teams to score provides the safest balance of risk and reward. A bold punter might go further, but this is the smart play.

Likely Correct Score

A 2-1 victory for Real Madrid feels the most likely outcome. Their ruthless edge in attack should eventually prove too much, but Atletico, roared on by their fans, won’t go down quietly and will surely find at least one goal.

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