Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Predictions

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid predictions for this massive La Liga derby. Atletico Madrid host Real Madrid at the Wanda Metropolitano on Sunday in La Liga. The derby promises high stakes, with both teams aiming for crucial points. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.

La Liga | Sep 29, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Predictions

Can Atletico Halt Real Madrid’s Unbeaten Run in the Madrid Derby?

• Atletico’s Defensive Mastery: Atletico Madrid have conceded just three goals in seven La Liga matches, the best defensive record in the league. They’ve kept five clean sheets in their last six games, showcasing a defence that is incredibly hard to break down.
• Real Madrid’s Unbroken Scoring Run: Real Madrid have found the net in all nine of their matches this season across all competitions. Averaging 2.3 goals per game in La Liga, their ability to score remains undiminished even in the face of strong defences.
• Derby Draws are Commonplace: Five of the last six Madrid derbies have ended in draws after 90 minutes. This trend highlights how evenly matched these teams are and suggests that another stalemate could be on the cards.

Our Tips

The Madrid derby returns this Sunday evening as Atletico Madrid welcome Real Madrid to the formidable Wanda Metropolitano. With both sides in impressive form and only two points separating them in La Liga, the stakes are exceptionally high. Atletico sit third with 15 points from seven matches, while their city rivals occupy second place with 17 points. As Barcelona lead the table, neither team can afford to slip up in this crucial encounter.

Atletico are unbeaten this season, boasting four victories and three draws. Their defensive prowess has been particularly noteworthy, conceding just three goals and keeping five clean sheets in their last six league games. Real Madrid, meanwhile, have been prolific in attack, scoring 16 goals in seven matches. However, they will be without their talismanic forward Kylian Mbappe due to injury, which could tilt the balance in this fiercely contested fixture.

Best Bet: Draw/Atletico Madrid Double Chance

Considering the form and circumstances, our top tip is a Draw/Atletico Madrid Double Chance. This bet covers both a win for Atletico and a draw, offering security in what promises to be a tightly fought match.

Atletico Madrid’s defensive record is the best in La Liga, with only three goals conceded in seven matches. They’ve maintained five clean sheets in their last six league outings, highlighting their solidity at the back. Offensively, they have scored in their last five games, with players like Antoine Griezmann and Julian Alvarez finding form. Their ability to combine a staunch defence with effective attacking play makes them a formidable opponent.

Real Madrid, on the other hand, have an impressive scoring record, netting 16 goals this season. They’ve scored in every match across all competitions, averaging 2.3 goals per game in La Liga. However, the absence of Kylian Mbappe, who has contributed five goals, is a significant blow. While Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo are capable attackers, Mbappe’s influence and goal threat will be missed.

Historically, recent Madrid derbies have been closely contested. Five of the last six encounters have ended in draws after 90 minutes, underscoring the evenly matched nature of these clashes. Atletico were the last team to defeat Real Madrid in La Liga, securing a 3-1 victory at home in September 2023. This victory not only demonstrates Atletico’s capability to overcome their rivals but also adds psychological confidence heading into this match.

Moreover, Real Madrid’s defence has shown vulnerabilities, conceding in their last three fixtures. Both teams have scored in those matches, indicating that Atletico will have opportunities to find the net. With Atletico’s home advantage and Real Madrid missing a key player, the conditions are favourable for the hosts to at least avoid defeat.

BettingTips4You.com expert Herrin Kendrick remarks: “With Mbappe sidelined and Atletico’s fortress-like defence, backing Atletico not to lose is a savvy move. The odds offer great value in a match where the margins are razor-thin.”

Correct Score Prediction: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid

A 1-1 draw appears to be a plausible outcome for this encounter. Both teams have the firepower to score but may ultimately cancel each other out.

Atletico’s defence has been exceptional, but Real Madrid have scored in every game this season. Even without Mbappe, they have quality attackers who can create and convert chances. Atletico, with their attacking talents, are also likely to breach a Real Madrid defence that has conceded five goals in seven matches.

Given that five of the last six derbies have ended in draws, and considering both teams’ desire to maintain their unbeaten records, a score draw is a sensible prediction. It reflects the balance between Atletico’s defensive strength and Real Madrid’s attacking prowess.

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