Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews. Dortmund and Athletic Bilbao, both winless so far, chase their first Champions League victories in Wednesday night’s league stage encounter. Read on for our free predictions and tips.

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Champions League | Oct 1 2025 at 8:00 pm UK at Westfalen

Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Borussia Dortmund
Athletic Bilbao
Can Dortmund’s Unbeaten Run Survive Bilbao’s Desperation?
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  • Bilbao’s blunt attack
    • The Basque side have scored only once in their last five matches, highlighting the lack of cutting edge without Nico Williams.
  • Dortmund’s defensive turnaround
    • BVB have recorded four clean sheets in their last five games, showing marked improvement in defensive organisation under Niko Kovac.
  • Unbeaten momentum
    • Dortmund remain unbeaten across all competitions this season, collecting 13 points from five Bundesliga games and starting Europe with a draw in Turin.

Best Bet for Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao

Dortmund to Win to Nil
9/5 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Backing Dortmund to Win to Nil makes sense because Bilbao are struggling to score, while BVB’s defence has rediscovered its structure and their attack remains lively at home.
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Signal Iduna Park will be rocking on Wednesday night when Borussia Dortmund host Athletic Bilbao in the Champions League. Both sides are hunting for their first victory in this season’s group stage, but they approach the fixture from very different angles. Dortmund are unbeaten in all competitions, yet they still carry the sting of that chaotic 4-4 draw against Juventus where they contrived to throw away a two-goal lead in stoppage time. It was thrilling for neutrals, disastrous for BVB, and a reminder that they can be as fragile as they are exciting.

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Bilbao’s situation, however, is bordering on bleak. After starting La Liga with three wins, they’ve stumbled into a rut of defeats and draws, including a 2-0 home loss to Arsenal in their European return. The Lions arrive in Germany with confidence low, goals drying up, and key man Nico Williams still a doubt. Without him, their attack feels toothless, and their domestic slump has already dragged them into mid-table. Facing Dortmund’s energy in front of the Yellow Wall might feel like punishment rather than opportunity, though you can imagine Ernesto Valverde privately hoping his team can pinch something to spark a revival.


Best Bet for This Match

Here at BettingTips4You, we don’t believe in drowning readers with a shopping list of punts. One match, one clear call – that’s our method. It keeps things simple and ensures we stand by our choices. For Dortmund versus Bilbao, our Best Bet is Dortmund to Win to Nil.

Why Dortmund to Win to Nil Makes Sense

The numbers and the context tell the same story. Dortmund are unbeaten this season and have kept four clean sheets in their last five outings. Their defensive unit, led by Schlotterbeck and Bensebaini, has been far sturdier than in years gone by. Even when Juventus put four past them, it was more a meltdown in the dying minutes than a reflection of constant fragility. Back at home, with the fans behind them, it’s difficult to see them being as generous again.

Bilbao, on the other hand, are suffering badly in attack. One goal in their last five games is a shocking return for a side that had begun the season so brightly. Nico Williams remains doubtful, and without his pace and creativity, their attacking transitions look sluggish. Inaki Williams is always capable of a spark, but he’s been isolated and starved of service lately. Gorka Guruzeta’s work rate isn’t in doubt, yet it hasn’t translated into goals. Simply put, Bilbao don’t look equipped to break down an organised Dortmund side on current form.

Meanwhile, Karim Adeyemi has been electric, scoring three times in his last six appearances and adding two assists. Serhou Guirassy, if fit to start, offers the predatory instincts Dortmund sometimes lack. Those two, supported by Sabitzer and Nmecha in midfield, give BVB multiple ways of hurting a defence that has conceded six times in their last five fixtures.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Wolfgang Shotten summed it up:

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“Bilbao’s problems in front of goal are glaring, and Dortmund’s defence has tightened at just the right time. A home win without conceding looks the best route.

It might not be the basketball scoreline we saw in Turin, but Dortmund should control the tempo, create chances, and ultimately punish a side that cannot buy a goal at the moment. The most realistic correct score? 2-0 to Dortmund, reflecting their ability to strike in bursts while keeping things tight at the other end.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!