Horse Racing Tips: Prix du Moulin preview, predictions and best bets for Longchamp

Sunday’s Prix du Moulin de Longchamp (2:50) has swelled into a notably deep renewal, both in numbers and in credible angles. A prize pool almost doubled from last year has lured a full field of twelve and, with several plans reshuffled late, the line-up brings together a potent mix of established Group 1 milers, upwardly mobile three-year-olds, and a couple of intriguing travellers. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers for the Prix du Moulin on Sunday September 7 at Longchamp (14:50).

Horse Racing betting tips: Prix du Moulin tips

Could patient ridecraft trump draw biases on the Grande Piste today?

• Rosallion: triple Group 1 winner, including at Longchamp; returns after 2nd in the Queen Anne and 2nd in the Sussex before a wide-draw fourth at York
• Draw watch: stall 11 is historically difficult over the mile here, but expected pace could set an even gallop for closers
• Recent form lines: Sean Levey 4-38 in the last 14 days; Richard Hannon’s yard 3-57 in the same span

Best Bet for Prix du Moulin – Longchamp

Top Betting Offers To Take Advantage Of Today

The Grande Piste’s early right-hand kink heightens the importance of stall position over a mile; historically, high draws have struggled to secure an economical lane before the first turn. That tactical quirk will loom large here, given several principals are berthed wider than ideal.

Rosallion returns to the scene of his juvenile Group 1 breakthrough, seeking to convert a series of near-misses into a first success of the campaign. Henri Matisse, drawn low, arrives as France’s classic mile winner and should be suited by a drying surface according to connections. Dancing Gemini has rediscovered his spark, fresh from a podium in the Jacques le Marois, while Lead Artist brings Lockinge form if you forgive Royal Ascot. Quddwah reappears having thrived in France twice this year and looks well set if there is softness underfoot. The Lion In Winter needs a change of tempo after a tactical misfire at Deauville; Alcantor and Sahlan represent local hopes with form caveats attached to conditions. Go To First shaped better than the bare Marois figure on his European reappearance and could creep into the frame. Pace, draw and ground will decide as much as raw ability.

Best Bet for Prix du Moulin at Longchamp 2:50: Rosallion to win Longchamp 2:50

Here at bettingtips4you we only provide a single prediction rather than many different ones, as we believe in quality and not quantity and only give out the best tip per event. This will also make it easier for readers that don’t have to worry about what selection to go for and also it is more accountable as we can easily evaluate our tips profitability as we only give out a clear best bet for event: Rosallion to win Longchamp 2:50.

Rosallion’s case rests on proven class at this venue, rock-solid mile credentials, and a race shape that can neutralise a difficult berth if judged perfectly. The four-year-old boasts three top-level victories, including the Prix Jean-Luc Lagardère at Longchamp, and his 2025 campaign reads better than bare results: he was denied by a nose in the Queen Anne at Ascot, was nudged out late in a tactical Sussex, and then finished a staying-on fourth in the City of York after being posted wide from the gates. The draw in stall 11 is a known headwind around the Grande Piste, yet context matters: with several pace influences inside, an even gallop looks likely, which should allow Sean Levey to drop in early, track a back of cover and angle out turning for home. Ground is trending away from soft as the afternoon dries, and that evolution tilts conditions closer to those that underpinned his earlier peak efforts. The stable have not been rampant of late, but the horse’s personal formline is consistently elite, and he retains a decisive thrust at the mile when delivered late.

Main dangers bring caveats. Henri Matisse holds the ideal gate and the right profile, but recent evidence suggests he is better the quicker it rides, and he still needs to match seasoned older horses in a true-run Moulin. Dancing Gemini is thriving again, though his patient style risks traffic in a congested field. Quddwah has flourished over this course and enjoys ease in the ground, yet this represents a stiffer depth test than his most recent assignment. The Lion In Winter was compromised by aggressive tactics last time and may not get his own way here. In contrast, Rosallion’s blend of Longchamp nous, mile efficiency and relentless finishing speed — allied to a rider in neat form (4-38 in the last fortnight) — provides the most coherent path to victory, provided he secures cover early and isn’t forced five wide into the first bend.

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