Latvia vs Serbia Predictions

Latvia vs Serbia Predictions for this World Cup qualifier in Riga. Serbia face Latvia in a must-win World Cup qualifier before hosting leaders England, with both matches crucial to their hopes of progressing from Group K. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

World Cup | Sep 6 2025 at 2:00 pm UK at Daugavas Stadium

Latvia vs Serbia Predictions

Could This Be a Night Where Serbia Have to Grind It Out in Riga?

• Latvia’s lack of goals: Scoring only three times in their last six games highlights their struggles in attack, leaving them reliant on defensive solidity to scrape results.
• Serbia’s clean-sheet habit: Four shutouts in their past five matches underlines their defensive organisation, which is unlikely to be rattled by Latvia’s limited frontline.
• Low-scoring Serbian trend: Five of their last six fixtures have seen fewer than three goals, suggesting control is prioritised over chasing high margins of victory.

Best Bet for Latvia vs Serbia

The World Cup qualifying clash in Riga between Latvia and Serbia arrives with both camps carrying a mix of expectation and unease. Latvia are at home, but the mood around them is one of cautious optimism at best, after a run that has left their supporters frustrated. Their most recent outing, a 1-1 draw against Albania, showed moments of discipline but also highlighted their lack of cutting edge. With just 33% possession and only four shots on target, they hardly dominated, and even their single goal came in somewhat unusual circumstances through Antonijs Černomordijs’ name going on both sides of the scoresheet thanks to an own goal and then levelling things up himself.

Serbia, on the other hand, come into this with far more confidence after cruising past Andorra with a straightforward 3-0 victory. Aleksandar Mitrović, as ever, was the spearhead, netting all three goals. They had 71% possession and a barrage of 20 efforts, showing that when they are allowed to dictate the rhythm, they can be ruthless. Yet, the Serbians’ record in recent games hasn’t always screamed fireworks, with five of their last six outings producing low-scoring affairs. That blend of dominance and restraint makes this game an intriguing one.

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Best Bet for Latvia vs Serbia

Here at BettingTips4You, we are firmly committed to offering a single standout tip rather than throwing a handful of options your way. It’s about giving you the one selection that cuts through all the noise and delivers value. For this particular contest, our Best Bet is for Serbia to win and for there to be under 3.5 goals in the match.

Why this? Well, Serbia’s consistency in maintaining structure combined with Latvia’s toothless attack makes this the most logical and valuable pick of the evening. Latvia are unlikely to be hammered out of sight at home, but they also don’t have the firepower to rattle a Serbian side who look tight at the back.

The reasoning stems from what we have seen in their recent qualifying runs. Latvia have scored just three times across their last six fixtures, a tally that would worry any manager. On top of that, they have let in seven in that stretch, meaning they are both struggling to score and finding it tough to stay secure. Against Albania they showed grit, but grit alone rarely beats technical quality. The Serbians meanwhile tend to keep their opponents on a leash, with four clean sheets in their last five games, and their attacking play rarely turns into a goalfest.

When you add Mitrović’s form into the mix, it becomes clear Serbia are capable of punishing any lapse, but equally they are unlikely to go chasing excessive margins when control is enough. A measured 2-0 or 2-1 looks far more realistic than a rout, and that lands us perfectly on the chosen bet.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Steve Harrington put it:

“Serbia have the right blend of steel and precision. Expect them to dictate terms, but not to run wild. That’s why the angle of Serbia to win and under 3.5 goals looks the sharpest value here.”

Even if emotions are running high in Latvia, with fans desperate for a statement result, the brutal truth is that one point from three qualifiers doesn’t set the stage for an upset. And let’s face it, Serbia are not flying to Riga to drop points before England come calling.

For those who like scoreline predictions, the most reasonable forecast looks to be a 2-0 Serbia win. The away side have the tools to keep Latvia silent while not needing to burn unnecessary energy. It won’t be dazzling, but it will be effective.

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