Lucky 15 Tips; Thursday September 4 — Can Herja, Ivane, Coloane and Flying Finn Deliver a Big-Price Twist?

A Thursday programme rich with storylines invites a four-pronged approach, and today’s Lucky 15 knits together form threads from Sedgefield, Southwell and Haydock. The late-afternoon jumps in County Durham bring together two carefully selected runners who look well set up by their recent experiences. The Southwell card presents a basement-level handicap that could finally deliver overdue compensation for a mare who has been edging closer, while the Lancashire feature offers a return to a setting that has treated a mud-lover extremely kindly in the past. What binds these selections is the alignment of conditions, trip and current marks, backed by credible recent evidence rather than blind optimism.

Across the jumps legs, race rhythm, track familiarity and measured ride tactics count more than headline speed figures, especially when the last half-mile becomes a test of decision-making and positioning. Both Sedgefield picks bring a persuasive blend of suitability and timing. Meanwhile, on the Flat, one bet hinges on a drop into the lowest class where her ability is more than sufficient if she gets a clear run, and the other leans heavily on ease underfoot and a mark that now looks a shade more lenient than it did earlier in the season. The quartet is framed to complement one another: two hurdling angles that place a premium on jumping fluency and late finishing, coupled with two turf handicaps that pivot on ground and distance tweaks.

Each of the four plays below has been assigned to an expert from the BettingTips4You team. The reasoning for each is laid out in full, with the horses’ recent runs, training context and situational fit all weighed carefully.

This bet has been placed with William Hill where new customers can get a very generous sign up offer by clicking below.

Back our 252/1 Today’s Lucky 15 tips here!

Sedgefield 16:53 – Herja

John Pentin; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Herja crosses the Irish Sea for Patrick Griffin after a Bangor mishap that came when she had the race by the scruff of the neck, travelling sweetly and two lengths clear before coming down at the second last. That spill should not disguise the authority she had shown up to that point, nor the confidence behind her, as she was sent off a heavily backed 4/9 favourite. Her profile has been built steadily since a Thurles introduction back in December, with four subsequent outings lifting her to a level that makes this assignment feel like unfinished business.

The switch back to a track that rewards a neat, economic jumping style is a further positive, because she shapes like a mare who holds a position comfortably and finds when asked. Brian Hughes, a former champion and a rider whose hands suit front-running or on-the-pace rides at this venue, is back on, which hints at another assertive ride. The overall set-up screams “compensation opportunity”: a capable five-year-old who was doing everything right until a late error, returning quickly with the same rider and a yard clearly intent on striking while she is in top order. If she reproduces the cruise she showed at Bangor but meets the last two flights on better strides, this could be the afternoon she puts matters straight.

---

Sedgefield 17:28 – Ivane

Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Ivane represents the eye-catching partnership of James Owen and Sean Bowen, a duo who have been making a habit of extracting improvement from battle-hardened types. This seven-year-old gelding has plenty of miles on the clock, yet he has found fresh energy since changing hands from Ciaran Murphy in March. Only four days ago at Worcester he motored home from off the pace to snatch second, beaten just 2.25 lengths, suggesting the engine is very much intact.

Crucially, he remains relatively unexposed over fences, which leaves daylight for further progress now that his new yard have started to dial in tactics and tempo. Sedgefield’s configuration often rewards those who travel within themselves, pop away neatly, and then build momentum on the long run to the last; that blueprint fits Ivane’s latest effort, where he was strongest late. Sean Bowen’s knack for timing a challenge adds another layer of confidence, particularly with a horse who seems to be rediscovering his appetite for a battle.

Two wins from thirty overall underline that he is not bulletproof, but the new environment appears to have sharpened his focus, and the recency of that Worcester run implies he comes here cherry-ripe. With experience, a stable switch that has breathed life into him, and a discipline in which he still has untapped upside, he looks poised to deliver a decisive round at this class level.

---

Southwell 17:35 – Coloane

Gram Dodd; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Coloane steps back into Class 6 company with a real chance of making her mark, despite this being the basement tier. She has repeatedly shown that her ability stands well above this level, as evidenced by a pair of close seconds in all-weather handicaps off the same rating last autumn. More recently, after a break, she returned at Ripon and very nearly got the job done, going down by just a head to Tiberio Force in a tight finish.

That performance suggested the fire still burns brightly, and she arrives here match-fit and holding conditions to suit. The main caveat is her habit of starting sluggishly or finding herself boxed in, but when granted clear sailing she has the gears to assert at this grade. Roger Fell has handled her with patience, and with Mark Winn taking the reins, she looks positioned to finally convert her string of near-misses into a deserved victory. Against rivals who have shown less consistency or are badly out of sorts, her steady level of form and capacity to dig in late could prove decisive. Provided she breaks evenly and avoids traffic problems, Coloane looks the standout in this modest field.

---

Flying Finn – 4.37 Haydock

Steve Harrington; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Flying Finn returns to the North-West with unfinished business after being withdrawn from a lucrative Chester handicap when forecast rain did not appear. Adrian Keatley had his team sparking going into midweek, and the intention had clearly been to strike when the ground eased. This time, the plan should meet conditions more in her favour. She was placed in Listed company on heavy in France last season and boasts three wins on soft or heavy in Britain, a résumé that screams “get me some cut”. Two low-key runs earlier in the year can be excused: one came in the cavalry charge of the Irish Lincoln, where finishing eighth of twenty-seven still represented a fair effort; the other was in a demanding Oaks day handicap at Epsom, which is rarely forgiving.

Today’s field is not as deep as those. Importantly, she is now 2lb lower than when scoring at this very meeting last year, a day when she destroyed a gamble with a withering late surge over a mile. That combination — proven effectiveness at the track, a friendlier rating, and suitable underfoot conditions — is potent. With the drop in competitiveness compared to her spring assignments, and a setup that allows her to be delivered late when others are wilting, Flying Finn looks primed to exceed market expectations again.

---

Enhance your betting game with our daily free betting tips, predictions, and accumulators.

For more betting tips and news, check out:

• Accumulator Tips
• Today’s Football Tips
• Our Comprehensive Betting News

Don’t forget to visit our Free Bets page for the best possible value from our Today’s Football Predictions, as well as our Predictions for Tomorrow’s Football Predictions.