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Spain and Netherlands predictions for this UEFA Nations League quarter-final. Spain are tipped to win with both teams scoring, given their strong home form and attacking depth, though the Netherlands’ firepower ensures a high-tempo, open match with goals at both ends. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Nations League | Mar 23, 2025 at 7:45pm UK at Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Spain vs Netherlands Predictions
Will the Sparks Fly Again as Spain and the Netherlands Battle for a Semi-Final Spot?
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- Dutch delight in chaos: Six of the Netherlands’ last nine Nations League games have ended with four or more goals, highlighting their end-to-end style and defensive openness.
- Spain’s form hard to ignore: La Roja have won seven of their last nine and are unbeaten in 17 games, proving their consistency under pressure.
- Defensive reshuffles all around: With Cubarsi out and Hato suspended, both sides are fielding restructured backlines—never ideal when facing elite forwards.
Best Bet for Spain vs Netherlands
Coventry to Win & Under 3.5 Goals | |
23/20 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Back Coventry to Win & Under 3.5 because the Sky Blues generate more pressure, the Blues restrict chances but lack away punch, and derby tension typically squeezes the scoreline into tidy home control. | |
The curtain rises on another blockbuster night in the UEFA Nations League as Spain prepare to host the Netherlands in the second leg of their quarter-final tie, with everything still on the line after a breathless 2-2 draw in Rotterdam. The Mestalla will be the battleground this time, and judging by how the first encounter unfolded, fans could be in for yet another rollercoaster.
Spain stormed into the lead through Nico Williams in the opening stages on Thursday night, setting the tone for a fast-paced and fiercely contested match. But things took a sharp turn. The Dutch responded with a double blow, first through Cody Gakpo and then Tijjani Reijnders, flipping the script early in the second half. From there, it looked like the Netherlands had one foot in the semi-finals. That was until Jorrel Hato’s late red card flipped the momentum again, and Mikel Merino, with all the calmness of a man in a supermarket queue, tucked away the equaliser in the dying minutes.
That draw keeps the tie perfectly balanced, and now it’s all eyes on Valencia. With both nations boasting attacking flair and defensive instability, one thing is almost guaranteed—this game won’t be a dull affair.
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Best Bet for Spain vs Netherlands: BTTS & Over 3.5 Goals
At BettingTips4You, we don’t throw twenty predictions at you and hope one lands. That’s not how we operate. We provide one carefully selected Best Bet per match—because we trust our analysis, and we know that clarity beats chaos. So for this electric clash between two of football’s most storied sides, the ultimate tip is: Both Teams to Score and Over 3.5 Total Goals.
Let’s unpack why. First, the goal trend isn’t a fluke—it’s a pattern. Six of the Netherlands’ previous nine matches in the Nations League have featured at least four goals. They don’t just like to attack; they have to. The back line isn’t exactly the fortress of old, and with Hato suspended and Timber ill, their defensive shuffle won’t help. Geertruida and Van Hecke could be tasked with keeping Williams and Yamal quiet… good luck with that.
Spain, on the other hand, aren’t watertight either. With Pau Cubarsi ruled out after limping off last week, the debut of Dean Huijsen brings promise but also uncertainty at the heart of defence. And let’s not forget, the Netherlands looked comfortable at 2-1 until the red card drama changed the rhythm of the game. That chaos could resurface here.
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With Memphis Depay, Gakpo, and Simons all likely to feature for the visitors, the Dutch have plenty of avenues to goal. Spain will lean on Morata’s leadership and the dazzling unpredictability of Lamine Yamal, not to mention the burst of quality Dani Olmo and Merino offer from the bench. All signs point to both sides getting on the scoresheet—and probably more than once.
BettingTips4You.com expert quote:
“You’ve got two high-octane attacks, patched-up defences, and a do-or-die setup. Honestly, if this doesn’t deliver goals, I’ll eat my pen.” – GERARD GABASA
Considering the attacking weapons on both sides and the mistakes we’ve already seen in this tie, it’s hard to imagine a low-scoring affair. Spain may have home advantage, but the Netherlands are far from pushovers. A repeat of the scoreline from the first leg wouldn’t shock anyone, but we’re leaning towards Spain edging it 3-2, just about doing enough to squeak through thanks to their greater depth and attacking cohesion when it counts.d gets a workout.
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