Arsenal vs Newcastle United predictions for this Carabao Cup fixture. Newcastle United visit Arsenal at the Emirates for Tuesday’s EFL Cup semi-final first leg, aiming for consecutive North London victories after recent success. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg | Jan 7, 2025 at 8pm UK at Emirates Stadium
Arsenal vs Newcastle Predictions
Can Newcastle Stun the Emirates in Their Quest for Glory?
- Newcastle’s North London streak: Newcastle have beaten both Arsenal and Tottenham in their last two encounters, scoring three goals across those games.
- Isak’s red-hot form: Alexander Isak has scored six times in his last four appearances, cementing himself as Newcastle’s most reliable goal threat.
- Arsenal’s struggles against top teams: The Gunners have managed just two wins in their last ten matches against Premier League top-ten opposition, revealing their vulnerability.
Our Tips
Over 2.5 Goals | |
8/15 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Over 2.5 goals is likely, with PSG's defensive frailties and City's attacking firepower, including Haaland and Foden, making a high-scoring clash at the Parc des Princes almost certain. | |
Phil Foden to Score Anytime | |
9/5 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Phil Foden is a smart bet to score, given his form, intelligent movement, and confidence. With De Bruyne’s creativity and PSG’s defensive issues, Foden is poised to capitalise. | |
Draw 2-2 | |
10/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning A 2-2 draw is plausible, with both sides’ attacking strengths, led by Foden, Haaland, Dembélé, and Barcola, outshining their defensive vulnerabilities in this high-stakes clash. |
As the first leg of the EFL Cup semi-final looms, the Emirates is set to host a tantalising clash between Arsenal and Newcastle United. Both teams arrive with vastly contrasting fortunes, but equal determination to make their mark in this two-legged encounter. Arsenal, while unbeaten in 13 matches across all competitions, are nursing frustrations from their recent 1-1 draw with Brighton. Meanwhile, Newcastle are riding the crest of a wave, buoyed by six consecutive victories, the latest being a hard-fought 2-1 triumph over Tottenham.
This clash pits Arsenal’s impressive home form against Newcastle’s remarkable ability to thrive in hostile territories. Both sides are grappling with significant absences, making this a fascinating contest of tactical nous and squad depth. The Gunners will hope to lean on their robust midfield anchored by Declan Rice, while the Magpies will rely on the lethal form of Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon to unsettle the Arsenal defence. With so much on the line, the first leg promises high drama and potentially decisive moments.
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Best Bet: Newcastle to Qualify
Newcastle to qualify for the final emerges as the standout prediction for this matchup. The reasoning behind this tip is deeply rooted in Newcastle’s current form, tactical adaptability, and Arsenal’s vulnerabilities in key areas.
Newcastle enter this contest as one of the most in-form teams in the country. Six straight wins have seen them bag an incredible 18 goals, with their attacking line in blistering shape. Isak’s clinical finishing and Gordon’s creativity have made them a potent threat. Importantly, Newcastle’s ability to perform under pressure in big games is evident from their victories over Tottenham and Chelsea, both of which were achieved away from home. Their relentless pressing and counter-attacking style can expose Arsenal, particularly as the Gunners grapple with a slew of injuries to key players.
Arsenal, for their part, have struggled against top-tier opponents this season, managing just two wins in ten matches against Premier League top-ten sides. Their reliance on Bukayo Saka for creativity and directness has been glaring in his absence. Without Saka and potentially Ethan Nwaneri, Arsenal’s wide play may lack the sharpness required to break down a disciplined Newcastle side.
Additionally, Arsenal’s defensive frailties, highlighted by their struggles in dealing with Brighton’s pressure, provide a window for Newcastle to exploit. While the Gunners boast an unbeaten home record, the Magpies’ versatility and squad depth mean they have the tools to navigate the challenge effectively. Players such as Joe Willock and Lloyd Kelly can step in seamlessly, ensuring Newcastle retain balance despite their own absences.
“Newcastle’s resilience and attacking prowess give them the edge over an Arsenal side stretched thin by injuries. Backing them to qualify is a smart play.” – BettingTips4You.com expert, Tyler Morris.
Second Prediction: Alexander Isak to Score Anytime
Backing Alexander Isak to find the net during this encounter feels like a logical choice. The Swedish forward has been in scintillating form, scoring six goals in his last four outings. His ability to thrive under pressure and deliver on the big stage is unmatched within this Newcastle side.
Isak’s movement, both on and off the ball, is a nightmare for defenders. He has shown time and again that he can capitalise on defensive lapses, which Arsenal’s backline, particularly under aerial duress, is prone to. With Kieran Trippier’s precise deliveries from wide areas, Isak will have ample opportunities to pounce. Furthermore, Arsenal’s high defensive line could leave gaps for him to exploit, especially on counter-attacks.
Third Prediction: Correct Score – Arsenal 1-2 Newcastle
The correct score prediction aligns with Newcastle’s recent trend of outscoring opponents while maintaining a solid defensive structure. Arsenal may find the net through their midfield brilliance, but Newcastle’s relentless pressing and clinical finishing could ultimately tilt the balance.
Arsenal’s strength at home cannot be underestimated, and it’s likely they’ll manage a goal through one of their attacking midfielders. However, Newcastle’s ability to weather storms and strike efficiently makes them favourites for a narrow win. The likes of Gordon and Isak have proven lethal, particularly when afforded space to operate. Given Arsenal’s weakened defensive setup due to injuries, Newcastle can exploit these gaps to seal a crucial away victory.
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