Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund predictions for this Champions League clash. Real Madrid, the reigning Champions League holders, will face Borussia Dortmund in a rematch of the 2023-24 final at the Bernabeu on Tuesday, as both teams clash in the league phase. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Champions League | League Stage | Oct 22, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Will Real Madrid Hold Their Nerve Against a Vengeful Dortmund at the Bernabeu?

• Real Madrid’s European Fortress: Real Madrid have not lost a Champions League match at the Bernabeu since April 2022, demonstrating their formidable strength at home in Europe. However, they’ve conceded in each of their last five home ties, showing a weakness Dortmund may exploit.
• Dortmund’s Goalscoring Surge: Borussia Dortmund have scored 10 goals in just two Champions League games this season, including a stunning 7-1 win over Celtic. However, their Bundesliga form is far shakier, with 12 goals conceded in just seven matches.
• Mbappé’s Impact: Kylian Mbappé has already netted six times in La Liga this season, showcasing his lethal form. With eight goals across 12 games in all competitions, the Frenchman remains the key threat in Madrid’s attack.

Our Tips

The stage is set for another epic European night at the Santiago Bernabeu, where Champions League holders Real Madrid are about to face Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a thrilling rematch of last season’s final. Five months ago, Real lifted their 15th Champions League trophy, breaking Dortmund hearts with a 2-0 victory at Wembley, a game that saw the German side waste several golden opportunities. Now, Dortmund have returned with vengeance on their minds, looking to rectify those missed chances and possibly break their unlucky streak at the Bernabeu, where they have never secured a win.

However, Real Madrid are no strangers to adversity and tend to show up when it matters most in European competition. Despite suffering an unexpected 1-0 defeat to Lille on matchday two, they still stand as a force to be reckoned with. The pressure will be on as both sides come into this fixture aiming to secure their place at the top of the standings, but can Dortmund finally claim a victory in Madrid, or will Los Blancos once again remind the Germans of their ruthlessness in the Champions League?

Best Bet: Real Madrid to Win and Both Teams to Score

Real Madrid are favourites heading into this match, and for good reason. Despite their slip-up against Lille, they’ve demonstrated their quality across competitions, particularly at home. What’s interesting is that Real Madrid’s defence, while solid, hasn’t been watertight in recent Champions League fixtures at the Bernabeu. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five home European ties, a trend that Dortmund will be eager to exploit.

At the same time, Dortmund come into this match after scoring ten goals in just two Champions League games, showing their attacking prowess with a 7-1 thrashing of Celtic. However, the German side’s inconsistency away from home, particularly in defence, cannot be ignored. They’ve conceded 12 goals in just seven Bundesliga matches this season, highlighting their frailties at the back.

Combining these two factors makes the bet on Real Madrid to win and both teams to score a solid choice. Real Madrid’s pedigree at home, especially in Europe, is nearly unmatched, but their vulnerability at the back makes it likely that Dortmund, with the likes of Serhou Guirassy in form, could find the net. On the flip side, Dortmund’s shaky defence means that they are unlikely to hold out against the lethal Real Madrid attack, spearheaded by Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior, who have been in fine form.

Gerard Gabasa, from BettingTips4You.com, summed it up perfectly: “Real Madrid rarely lose at home, especially in the Champions League, but their recent defensive record shows they can be breached. With both sides boasting firepower upfront, backing Madrid to win and both teams to score is a bet that ticks all the boxes.”

This type of game is one where Dortmund’s attacking approach could certainly pay dividends, but Real’s quality and experience on the big stage should see them edge out the Germans once again.

Correct Score Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Borussia Dortmund

Taking into account the above rationale, a 3-1 win for Real Madrid seems a fitting scoreline. While Borussia Dortmund certainly have the capacity to score, particularly given Real Madrid’s recent defensive record, their struggles on the road and at the Bernabeu, in particular, make it difficult to see them leaving with a victory. Real Madrid’s attacking line-up, bolstered by Mbappé, Vinícius, and Rodrygo, should be more than capable of finding the net multiple times against a Dortmund defence that has already conceded plenty this season.

The reasoning for this scoreline is also consistent with the best bet of a Real Madrid win with both teams scoring. Dortmund will likely find the net, but their defensive vulnerabilities, especially without key players like Karim Adeyemi, will be their undoing. With Real Madrid’s firepower, scoring three goals against a Dortmund side that has been inconsistent defensively, especially away from home, seems highly plausible.

Real Madrid’s performance in European competitions, particularly at home, has been nothing short of dominant over the years, and while Dortmund will likely put up a good fight, the Spanish giants should have enough to secure a comfortable win.

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