The standout fixture of the weekend is the top-four clash at Anfield, where Chelsea visit Liverpool. While that game is part of our Premier League predictions, we have also looked at alternative angles, creating a X/1 bet builder tip.
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Liverpool to Win and Over 2.5 Goals
Backing Liverpool to secure a win while predicting more than 2.5 goals in the match seems a sensible bet given their current form and the dynamics of this fixture. Liverpool have been potent in front of goal, averaging nearly two goals per match across their first seven games this season, netting 13 goals in total. With Mohamed Salah, Diogo Jota, and Luis Díaz all contributing to this attacking threat, the Reds are expected to score freely. On the defensive front, they have only conceded twice, but the absence of first-choice goalkeeper Alisson Becker, who is sidelined through injury, introduces an element of uncertainty. His replacement, Caoimhin Kelleher, while capable, lacks the experience and confidence of Alisson, which could provide opportunities for Chelsea’s forwards.
Chelsea, meanwhile, bring their own attacking firepower, with an impressive record of 16 goals in the league so far, averaging 2.3 goals per game. Their main man up front, Cole Palmer, has been in fine form, and the Blues won’t be shy about testing Kelleher’s goalkeeping abilities. Despite Chelsea’s scoring prowess, their defensive frailties—particularly with Marc Cucurella and Wesley Fofana suspended—leave them exposed at the back. This should allow Liverpool’s attack to flourish while still offering Chelsea a chance to score. Given the firepower on display from both sides, this match is likely to feature plenty of goals, but with Liverpool’s home advantage and Chelsea’s defensive gaps, the Reds should come out on top.
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Mohamed Salah to Have 2 or More Shots on Target
Mohamed Salah’s involvement is crucial in any Liverpool performance, and his desire to make an impact against his former club, Chelsea, adds an extra layer of motivation. Salah has been in fine form, netting four goals this season and consistently testing goalkeepers with his sharp shooting. On average, he records more than two shots on target per game, which makes him a solid candidate for this particular bet.
Chelsea’s defence is weakened by the absences of key players such as Cucurella, and a less experienced Renato Veiga may be called upon to try and contain Salah. This scenario significantly increases the likelihood of the Egyptian getting a few shots off, given the quality of Liverpool’s attacking play and the gaps in Chelsea’s defence. Additionally, Chelsea have been guilty of defensive lapses, with 1.1 errors leading to shots per game—a statistic that bodes well for Salah’s chances of getting opportunities in front of goal. Kepa Arrizabalaga has also struggled to reach his best form, which further enhances the likelihood of Salah testing him at least twice during this game.
Alexis Mac Allister and Ryan Gravenberch to Be Carded
The midfield battle is going to be intense, and one area that could see Liverpool’s players in hot water is their defensive midfield. Chelsea’s tactical approach often sees them overload the midfield with numbers, pushing their full-backs inwards to create a box midfield formation alongside the likes of Palmer, Moises Caicedo, and Enzo Fernandez. This tactic puts immense pressure on opposition midfields to keep up, and Liverpool’s duo of Alexis Mac Allister and Ryan Gravenberch are likely to be heavily involved in trying to disrupt Chelsea’s rhythm.
Mac Allister and Gravenberch have been among the top fouling players for Liverpool, and in a game where they will be tasked with breaking up Chelsea’s intricate passing and fluid movement, it’s reasonable to expect them to rack up fouls. Chelsea’s box midfield, which sees Cucurella and the central trio frequently fouled, has been known to frustrate opponents. This leads to cards being handed out, and with the Blues pressing Liverpool’s midfield relentlessly, both Mac Allister and Gravenberch could find themselves in the referee’s book for mistimed challenges.
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