Iceland vs Turkey Predictions

Iceland vs Turkey predictions for this Nations League clash at Laugardalsvöllur. After a strong second-half comeback in their previous match, Iceland will aim to draw level with League B Group 4 leaders Turkey when they clash in the UEFA Nations League on Monday. Read on for all our free tips and predictions.

Iceland

Nations League | League B | Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Laugardalsvollur

Iceland vs Turkey Predictions

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Can Iceland Hold Off Turkey’s Surge for Group B Dominance?

  • Iceland’s Resilience at Home: Iceland have scored in 13 of their last 14 matches at Laugardalsvollur, showing their tenacity in front of their own fans, even against tough opponents.
  • Turkey’s Defence Impresses: Turkey have only conceded one goal in their last three Nations League matches, highlighting their defensive solidity and the difficulty Iceland may face in finding a breakthrough.
  • Iceland’s Defensive Numbers: Iceland have allowed an average of 1.7 goals per game, but their second-half performance against Wales shows they are capable of tightening up when it matters most.

Our Tips

Under 2.5 Goals
17/20 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
The "Under 2.5 Goals" market seems ideal for this match. Iceland's defensive resilience and Turkey's solid backline, combined with both teams’ occasional struggles in converting chances, suggest a tight, low-scoring contest.
Draw 1-1
11/2 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 1-1 draw seems a likely outcome for this fixture. Iceland’s home resilience and Turkey’s inconsistent away form suggest both teams will score but struggle to dominate, echoing their previous meeting at Laugardalsvollur.

As we head into a crucial Nations League clash between Iceland and Turkey, emotions are running high on both sides. Iceland are on the hunt to capitalise on their second-half heroics against Wales, where they clawed back from two goals down to earn a point. On the other hand, Turkey are leading Group B after a well-earned win against Montenegro and will be looking to solidify their dominance. This match could be pivotal in shaping the group’s final standings, with Iceland aiming to close the gap on Turkey, and Turkey striving to pull further ahead.

Playing at home gives Iceland some advantage, but Turkey’s recent form, especially their 3-1 victory against Iceland in the reverse fixture last month, should not be overlooked. Iceland’s resilience, highlighted by their determination in the Wales game, may be their greatest weapon as they seek to disrupt Turkey’s rhythm.

Let’s dive into the best bets for this match, looking at the goal-scoring potential and the likely scoreline in this much-anticipated encounter.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals

When assessing the best bet for this match, it’s hard to look past the “Under 2.5 Goals” market. Iceland’s recent form and their defensive structure suggest this could be a cagey affair with limited scoring opportunities. Yes, both teams have attacking talent—Turkey in particular boast an impressive array of forwards including Kerem Akturkoglu and Arda Guler. But Iceland’s defensive tenacity and the pressure of the situation point towards a game that could well see a few nerves affect attacking play on both ends.

Turkey, despite their attacking prowess, have been less effective in converting chances away from home. In their game against Montenegro, they managed just a single goal, despite dominating possession and creating numerous opportunities. Iceland, on the other hand, have struggled in attack, as seen in their recent outings, scoring just five goals in their last three Nations League games. Their average of 1.7 goals per game isn’t all that poor, but when faced with a well-organised Turkish defence—one that has conceded just once in their last three matches—finding the back of the net could be a tall order.

Defensively, Iceland’s numbers are also noteworthy. Conceding just 1.7 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in one of their recent matches, their backline may be hard to break down in front of their home fans. Turkey have been more defensively solid than Iceland, with an impressive 0.3 goals conceded per match in their Nations League campaign. This should also give punters confidence in expecting a low-scoring affair.

BettingTips4You.com expert Wolfgang Shotten sums it up perfectly:
“Both Iceland and Turkey are coming into this game with solid defensive records. Iceland will be buoyed by their second-half resilience against Wales, while Turkey are clinical in defence. This could very well be a match where defences take centre stage, and we see a tight, low-scoring battle unfold.”

With both teams favouring compact structures, and given Turkey’s tendency to control the tempo and frustrate their opponents, a low-scoring game is highly likely. Expect the final tally to remain below three goals.

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Correct Score Prediction: Iceland 1-1 Turkey

The correct score prediction for this fixture ties in neatly with our best bet. A 1-1 draw seems the most logical outcome given the form of both teams and the stakes at hand. Iceland, playing at home, are known for their resilience, especially when backed by a passionate home crowd. They’ve scored in 13 of their last 14 matches at Laugardalsvollur, and given Turkey’s struggles on the road, it’s hard to see the Crescent-Stars running away with it.

On the other side, Turkey’s attacking strength is well documented, and they’ll likely find a way to break down the Icelandic defence at least once. However, as seen in their recent encounters, Turkey have struggled to maintain consistency in front of goal away from home, and Iceland’s physical approach could disrupt their flow.

A 1-1 result also mirrors the last match between these two at Laugardalsvollur. Turkey, despite their attacking flair, may have to settle for a point as Iceland refuse to roll over.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!