Real Madrid vs Alaves Predictions

Real Madrid vs Alaves predictions for Tuesday’s game in Spain’s La Liga. Real Madrid aim for a fifth consecutive win as they face high-flying Alaves in their La Liga campaign at the Bernabeu on Tuesday night. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Real Madrid
Alaves

La Liga | Sep 24, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

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Real Madrid vs Alaves Predictions

Can Alaves Break Real Madrid’s Dominant Home Run?
  • Real Madrid’s Scoring Prowess: The hosts have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.2 goals per game in La Liga. With 12 out of their 13 goals coming from inside the box, they have shown an ability to penetrate defences consistently. Against a side like Alaves, who have conceded seven goals in six games, Real Madrid are expected to maintain their scoring form.
  • Alaves’ Defensive Frailties: The visitors have been inconsistent defensively, particularly when playing away. They have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, which is concerning considering the quality of Real Madrid’s attack. Furthermore, Alaves have won only 46.3% of their duels, highlighting their struggles in defensive battles.
  • Impact of Key Players: Kylian Mbappe has been in fine form, scoring four goals, three of which were penalties. His presence up front has added a new dimension to Real Madrid’s attack. Additionally, the potential start for Endrick could inject fresh energy into the forward line, making them even more formidable against an Alaves defence that has struggled with pace and movement.

Our Tips

Draw and both teams to score
13/2 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A draw with both teams scoring seems a solid bet. Celtic’s strong attack faces Aberdeen’s confident offence, averaging 2.1 goals per game. Aberdeen may capitalise on Celtic's occasional defensive lapses.
2-2 Draw
18/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 2-2 draw seems likely, reflecting Celtic’s strong attack and Aberdeen’s resilience. Celtic will score, but Aberdeen’s aerial threat and disciplined counter-attacks should secure them a couple of goals too.

Real Madrid are set to host Alaves in a midweek La Liga clash at the Santiago Bernabeu, aiming to continue their impressive start to the season. Los Blancos have been a force to be reckoned with, remaining unbeaten in their first eight matches across all competitions. Although they were not at their absolute best in the early stages, Real Madrid have managed to secure six victories, underscoring their ability to grind out results even when not firing on all cylinders. Currently, they sit second in the league, just one point behind their eternal rivals, Barcelona.

Alaves, on the other hand, have shown their mettle early in the campaign. With three wins, a draw, and two losses, they have amassed ten points, placing them in fifth position. Despite lacking the star power of Real Madrid, they have managed to hold their own, displaying a solid defensive organisation and the ability to convert chances when they arise. Their recent victory against Sevilla will have boosted their confidence, but facing a rejuvenated Real Madrid at the Bernabeu is a different challenge altogether.

Both sides have reasons to be optimistic going into this encounter. Real Madrid are eyeing their fifth consecutive victory in La Liga, while Alaves will aim to build on their recent form and take advantage of any complacency from their hosts. However, given the disparity in squad depth and individual quality, this match could turn into a one-sided affair if Los Blancos hit their stride.

Best Bet: Real Madrid/Real Madrid Half Time/Full Time

Backing Real Madrid to be leading at both half-time and full-time in this clash seems to be the most logical choice. Given the hosts’ recent run of form, combined with Alaves’ struggles when facing top-tier opposition, this bet offers significant value.

Real Madrid have been clinical in the early phases of matches this season, often establishing their dominance within the first 45 minutes. The hosts have scored eight goals in their last three league outings, all of which they won. This trend indicates that Carlo Ancelotti’s side have been quick off the blocks, often overwhelming their opponents with relentless attacking pressure. Against a team like Alaves, who have shown vulnerabilities at the back, especially when playing away from home, it is likely that Real Madrid will aim to seize control of the game early on.

Defensively, Real Madrid have also been solid, conceding only three goals in six La Liga matches. With a disciplined backline and the commanding presence of players like Antonio Rudiger and Ferland Mendy, they have managed to stifle opposing attacks effectively. This defensive stability means that once they establish a lead, they rarely relinquish it. Alaves, despite their decent start to the season, lack the firepower to consistently threaten a well-organised defence like Madrid’s.

Moreover, the likely return of Vinicius Junior to the starting lineup provides an additional attacking outlet, alongside Kylian Mbappe, who has already netted four times in the league. Mbappe’s ability to exploit spaces with his speed and finishing prowess makes him a constant threat, especially against a side like Alaves that might struggle to cope with his movement. If Endrick is handed a start, his energetic presence and knack for scoring off the bench could provide further impetus for a strong first-half showing.

BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa supports this prediction, stating, “Real Madrid are currently in a formidable run of form, and they have shown a tendency to kill games early. With players like Mbappe and Vinicius likely to be involved from the start, backing them to be ahead at both half-time and full-time offers solid value.”

Considering these factors, Real Madrid are well-positioned to control the game from the outset, making the Half Time/Full Time bet a sensible and well-supported choice.

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Correct Score Prediction: Real Madrid 3-0 Alaves

Given the rationale behind the best bet, predicting a 3-0 victory for Real Madrid aligns well with the expected flow of the match. Los Blancos have shown their capability to score freely against mid-table teams, especially at the Bernabeu. With Alaves’ recent defensive record of conceding seven goals in six games, it is plausible that Real Madrid will find the back of the net multiple times.

Offensively, Real Madrid have averaged 2.2 goals per game in La Liga this season, while Alaves have struggled to keep clean sheets away from home. The hosts’ attacking depth, with players like Vinicius, Mbappe, and potentially Endrick, makes it likely that they will breach the Alaves defence more than once. Furthermore, Real Madrid’s defence has been watertight, and with Alaves lacking a consistent goal-scoring threat, it is unlikely that they will manage to break through.

Alaves’ inability to score against top sides was evident in their 5-0 thrashing last season, and with Real Madrid’s defence conceding only 0.5 goals per game, a similar outcome is on the cards. Therefore, a 3-0 scoreline reflects both the attacking potency of Real Madrid and their defensive resilience.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.