Atletico Madrid vs Valencia predictions for this La Liga affair at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano. Atletico Madrid will look to extend their unbeaten start to the 2024-25 season as they host Valencia on Sunday, aiming to continue their strong early-season form. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.
La Liga | Sep 15, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
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Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Predictions
Can Atletico Madrid Extend Their Unbeaten Run Against Struggling Valencia?
- Atletico Madrid’s Defensive Masterclass
- Atletico have been exceptionally robust at the back, having kept three clean sheets in their opening four matches. This formidable defence has allowed them to concede just 0.5 goals per game, and they have yet to let in a goal in the second half of a match. This makes them a daunting proposition for any attack, especially one as toothless as Valencia’s has been.
- Valencia’s Away Day Struggles
- Valencia’s away form has been nothing short of dreadful, failing to win in their last 15 competitive away matches against Atletico Madrid. In the current season, Valencia have continued to flounder on the road, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game while managing to score just 0.8 goals per match. Their defensive fragility, coupled with a lack of goals, suggests they will struggle once again at the Metropolitano.
- Atletico’s Offensive Edge
- While Atletico’s defence takes much of the spotlight, their attack has quietly been productive. With an average of 1.5 goals per game and an impressive 13.5 shots per game, they have the firepower to break down even the most stubborn defences. Their ability to create 2.8 big chances per game suggests they will carve out more than enough opportunities to put Valencia to the sword.
Best Bet
Reasoning | |
Atletico Madrid face off against Valencia in what promises to be a significant clash at the Metropolitano. This encounter presents a stark contrast between two teams who have experienced very different starts to the 2024-25 La Liga season. Atletico, sitting comfortably in third place, are unbeaten after their first four matches, while Valencia find themselves languishing near the bottom with just one point.
Atletico’s mix of solid defensive organisation and timely attacking firepower sets them up well for this fixture, especially when facing a Valencia side lacking in confidence and momentum. As the hosts aim to build on their strong start, the visitors will be desperate for a turnaround, but they are up against a daunting challenge.
Atletico’s ability to grind out results has been one of their defining characteristics, and their consistent form at the Metropolitano makes them strong favourites heading into this game. Valencia, in contrast, have been plagued by inconsistency and poor form, which dates back to the latter stages of last season. With Atletico keen to keep the pressure on league leaders Barcelona, this game is crucial in maintaining their unbeaten run and building momentum early in the campaign.
Backing Atletico Madrid -1 to win is the best bet for this match, and there is substantial reasoning to support this prediction. Firstly, Atletico have demonstrated defensive solidity throughout their first four matches, having kept three clean sheets. Their ability to shut down opposition attacks has been particularly evident at home, where they have successfully blanked Valencia in their last two encounters, winning 3-0 and 2-0, respectively. Given their recent history and their current form, another dominant defensive performance seems highly likely.
Atletico’s attack, led by creative midfielders and capable forwards, has been productive enough, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Players like Antoine Griezmann and Alexander Sorloth provide a reliable offensive outlet, and with support from a robust midfield featuring Rodrigo De Paul, Atleti look well-equipped to break down Valencia’s defence. Simeone’s side have already demonstrated their ability to break through defensive lines with clinical efficiency, and Valencia’s fragile backline, which has conceded seven goals in four matches, will struggle to contain their pace and power.
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Valencia’s own struggles in front of goal also reinforce the case for Atletico winning comfortably. They have scored only three times in four games, with just two coming from open play. Their inefficiency in attack and inability to capitalise on chances, highlighted by their 1.5 big chances per game average, puts them at a severe disadvantage. Atletico, on the other hand, have only conceded two goals this season and are yet to allow a second-half strike, showcasing their ability to control and see out games effectively.
As BettingTips4You.com’s expert Gerard Gabasa points out, “Atletico’s defensive organisation is one of the best in Europe, and their track record at home, coupled with Valencia’s lack of firepower, means a -1 victory for Atleti seems almost inevitable.” This combination of factors makes Atletico Madrid -1 an outstanding betting proposition for this fixture, with the odds aligning strongly in favour of a home win.
Correct Score Prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Valencia
A 2-0 scoreline in favour of Atletico Madrid aligns perfectly with the analysis of this match. Atletico have already demonstrated their ability to dominate both defensively and offensively, and a two-goal margin reflects their general scoring pattern this season, as well as Valencia’s struggles.
Valencia’s attack has been largely ineffective, and they are up against one of the most disciplined defensive setups in the league. Atletico, having conceded just 0.5 goals per game, are unlikely to give up many opportunities, especially at home where they have been airtight. While Valencia may have some spells of possession, their difficulty in creating high-quality chances, evident in their average of just three shots on target per game, makes a breakthrough against Atletico’s defence seem improbable.
In terms of Atletico’s offensive production, they have been consistent in finding the net at key moments in matches, and with Valencia’s defensive vulnerabilities – conceding almost two goals per game – a 2-0 victory seems a fitting reflection of the hosts’ superiority in this fixture.
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