Sweden vs Estonia Predictions

Sweden vs Estonia predictions for this Nations League meeting. Sweden, aiming to boost their promotion hopes, host Estonia at Strawberry Arena, Solna, for a UEFA Nations League C match on Sunday night following their recent victory. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | League C | Sep 8, 2024 at 7:45pm UK at Friends Arena

Sweden vs Estonia Predictions

Can Estonia Hold Off a Swedish Onslaught in Solna?

• Sweden have averaged 30 shots per game, with 11 on target.
• Estonia have conceded at least four goals in three of their last five away matches.
• Alexander Isak has already netted two goals in this Nations League campaign.

Best Bet

On Sunday night, Sweden will host Estonia at the Strawberry Arena in Solna for a UEFA Nations League C fixture. With Sweden aiming to strengthen their position following a confident victory against Azerbaijan, and Estonia reeling from a narrow defeat to Slovakia, this match promises to showcase contrasting ambitions. The Blagult, seeking promotion back to League B, will be expected to impose their attacking prowess on a struggling Estonian side, who face a challenging road ahead.

Sweden’s firepower in attack makes a handicap of -2 a compelling choice for punters. After putting three past Azerbaijan, the Swedish side, led by their dynamic forward pairing, are likely to overwhelm an Estonia team that has shown significant vulnerabilities on the road. Estonia have conceded heavily in recent away matches, including a 5-1 defeat to Poland and a 4-0 loss to Switzerland. This pattern of defensive frailty suggests that the Blueshirts could struggle to contain Sweden’s formidable front line.

Sweden’s forward line, spearheaded by Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres, both of whom scored in the recent win over Azerbaijan, possesses the kind of quality that does not belong in League C. The team generated an impressive five big chances in their last outing, with their direct style of play yielding 30 shots overall, 11 of which were on target. Estonia, by contrast, managed just six shots against Slovakia, with only three on target, underscoring their limited offensive threat and inability to match the kind of attacking pressure they are likely to face.

Sweden’s tactical setup also favours a dominant performance. They played a highly attacking 4-2-4 formation against Azerbaijan, with wingers like Dejan Kulusevski and Anthony Elanga providing width, and their two strikers posing constant threats in the box. Although Elanga might be replaced by Ken Sema after being substituted at half-time, this should not affect the team’s balance. Estonia, meanwhile, conceded 25 clearances in their opening match, highlighting their tendency to sit back and absorb pressure, which could backfire against a side with Sweden’s attacking capabilities.

The Swedish defence, marshalled by Stoke City’s Viktor Johansson in goal, may not have kept a clean sheet against Azerbaijan, but Estonia’s attacking stats do not suggest a significant threat. They created just 0.16 expected goals in their defeat to Slovakia and lacked any real cutting edge. This imbalance in attacking prowess should see Sweden comfortably cover the -2 handicap, especially with home advantage.

BettingTips4You.com expert quote: “Sweden’s attacking quality and Estonia’s defensive issues make a Swedish win by a comfortable margin highly likely. Backing the Blagult to win with a -2 handicap offers solid value.”

Correct Score Prediction: Sweden 4-0 Estonia

In line with the best bet, a 4-0 scoreline for Sweden seems a logical conclusion. Sweden’s attack has been clicking, particularly with Isak and Gyokeres leading the line, and Estonia’s recent away form suggests they are unlikely to cope with the sustained pressure that Sweden will apply. Estonia have conceded heavily in matches against higher-tier opposition, and Sweden’s 30 shots per game, combined with 61% ball possession, indicate they will dominate proceedings.

Given Estonia’s limited threat—just six shots in their last match and no goals scored—Sweden are likely to keep a clean sheet. With the Blagult capable of generating a high number of big chances, a 4-0 result reflects the expectation of a comprehensive victory.

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