Getafe vs Mallorca predictions for this La Liga affair. Getafe and Mallorca conclude their La Liga campaigns at Coliseum Alfonso Perez on Sunday. Getafe aim for a top-half finish, while Mallorca have avoided relegation. Read on for all our free match predictions and betting tips.
La Liga | Gameweek 38 – May 26, 2024 at 1pm UK at Estadio Coliseo del Golfo
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Getafe vs Mallorca Predictions
Getafe’s Final Push: Can They Overcome Mallorca’s Resilience?
Key Stats
– Getafe have failed to score in their last four matches.
– Mallorca have only won one away game all season.
– Borja Mayoral leads Getafe with 15 goals this season.
As the La Liga season draws to a close, Getafe will host Mallorca at Coliseum Alfonso Perez on Sunday. Both teams have different motivations going into this match, with Getafe aiming to finish in the top half of the standings, while Mallorca have already secured their place in the league for another season. This article delves into the tactical nuances, key player battles, and provides predictions for the upcoming encounter.
Getafe’s Struggles and Tactical Setup
Getafe have endured a difficult end to the season, marked by a string of poor performances. Four consecutive defeats without scoring a single goal highlight their struggles. Despite performing above last season’s 15th-place finish for most of this campaign, their recent form has been disappointing, leaving manager Jose Bordalas frustrated.
Tactically, Getafe have relied on a solid defensive structure and quick transitions. However, their inability to score goals has been a significant issue. With just 19 goals scored in 18 home games, their offensive frailty is evident. Key players like Borja Mayoral, who has been their top scorer with 15 goals, and Mason Greenwood, with eight goals, will need to step up if Getafe are to end their season on a high note.
Mallorca’s Mid-Season Revival
Mallorca have had a tumultuous season, fighting to avoid relegation for much of the campaign. However, a late surge has seen them secure their La Liga status. Manager Javier Aguirre has managed to instill resilience in his squad, resulting in five points from their last three matches, their longest unbeaten run since December.
Mallorca’s approach has been pragmatic, focusing on defensive solidity and capitalising on set-pieces and counter-attacks. Vedat Muriqi, their leading scorer with six goals, and Antonio Raillo, who has also contributed with crucial goals, have been pivotal. Their away form has been poor, with just one win on the road all season, but their recent resilience suggests they will be a tough opponent for Getafe.
Key Tactical Battles
Midfield Control: The midfield battle will be crucial, with Getafe’s Luis Milla and Nemanja Maksimovic up against Mallorca’s Sergi Darder and Samuel Costa. Getafe will need to dominate possession and control the tempo, while Mallorca will aim to disrupt their rhythm and launch quick counters.
Wide Areas: Getafe’s wing-backs, particularly Diego Rico and Juan Iglesias, will need to provide width and support the attack. Mallorca’s defensive setup will be tested, with players like Jose Copete and Pablo Maffeo tasked with nullifying Getafe’s flanks.
Striker Duel: Borja Mayoral’s ability to find space and finish chances will be crucial for Getafe. On the other hand, Mallorca’s Vedat Muriqi will need to use his physicality and aerial prowess to trouble Getafe’s defence.
Expected Lineups
Getafe:
- Goalkeeper: Soria
- Defenders: Carmona, Alderete, Alvarez, Angileri
- Midfielders: Maksimovic, Santiago, Milla
- Forwards: Mata, Greenwood, Mayoral
Mallorca:
- Goalkeeper: Rajkovic
- Defenders: Gonzalez, Valjent, Raillo, Copete
- Midfielders: Rodriguez, Mascarell, Darder
- Forwards: Larin, Muriqi
Getafe are expected to stick with their 3-4-3 formation, emphasising solid defence and quick transitions. Mallorca, likely to play in a 4-4-2 setup, will focus on defensive solidity and exploiting set-piece opportunities.
Areas for Improvement and Tactical Insights
Getafe:
- Strengths: Solid defensive structure, effective in transitions.
- Weaknesses: Lack of goals, recent poor form.
- Improvement: Enhancing creativity in the final third and converting chances.
Mallorca:
- Strengths: Defensive resilience, effectiveness in set-pieces.
- Weaknesses: Poor away form, limited goal-scoring options.
- Improvement: Increasing attacking threat and maintaining concentration throughout the match.
Managerial Strengths and Criticism
Jose Bordalas has built a defensively sound Getafe side but has struggled to instill attacking fluidity. His team’s recent poor form has raised questions about his tactical flexibility. On the other hand, Javier Aguirre has managed to steer Mallorca clear of relegation with a pragmatic approach, but his side’s inconsistency and lack of offensive firepower remain concerns.
Expected Goals Analysis
Getafe’s expected goals (xG) average of 1.1 per game highlights their offensive struggles, while their defensive xG of 1.4 indicates they concede more than they score. Mallorca’s xG of 0.8 and defensive xG of 1.2 reflect a similar trend, showing a defensive mindset but limited goal-scoring potential. This suggests a low-scoring game, with both teams focusing on defensive solidity.
Predictions
Best Bet: Under 1.5 Goals
Given both teams’ offensive struggles and solid defensive setups, a low-scoring game is likely. The cautious approach from both sides supports the prediction of under 1.5 goals.
Correct Score Prediction: Getafe 1-0 Mallorca
With Getafe’s home advantage and the need to end their losing streak, a narrow 1-0 victory for Getafe seems plausible. Their ability to edge out a goal and maintain a clean sheet supports this prediction.
Goalscorer Prediction: Borja Mayoral to Score Anytime
Borja Mayoral, as Getafe’s top scorer, is the most likely candidate to find the net. His positioning and finishing ability make him a strong contender to score anytime during the match.
First Half Result Prediction: Getafe to Lead at Half Time
Getafe’s urgency to secure a win and Mallorca’s tendency to start cautiously suggest that Getafe could be leading at half time. Their need to dominate from the outset supports this prediction.
Innovative Market Prediction: Total Team Shots on Target for Getafe Over 3.5
Considering Getafe’s need to push for a win and their tendency to take more shots at home, predicting over 3.5 shots on target for Getafe is a strong market. Their offensive efforts, despite recent struggles, support this.
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