Burnley vs Liverpool predictions for this Premier League clash. In a Premier League Boxing Day clash at Turf Moor, second-best meets second-worst as Burnley welcomes Liverpool to their Lancashire home. Who will prevail? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Premier League | Gameweek 19 – Dec 26, 2023 at 5.30pm UK at Turf Moor
Burnley vs Liverpool Predictions
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Clash of Contrasts at Turf Moor: Burnley’s Grit Meets Liverpool’s Flair
Key Stats
– Burnley have the worst home record in the Premier League this season.
– Mohamed Salah has scored three goals in his last four games.
In a striking contrast of footballing fortunes, Burnley host Liverpool in a Premier League Boxing Day fixture. Vincent Kompany’s Burnley, fresh from an unexpected win against Fulham, face a high-flying Liverpool side that drew with Arsenal in a top-of-the-table thriller.
Burnley’s Survival Bid and Tactical Approach
Burnley’s recent victory over Fulham was a testament to their resilience and tactical astuteness under Kompany. Despite their position near the foot of the table, they have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in exploiting opportunities against the run of play. Their success at Craven Cottage was a combination of clinical finishing and a solid defensive performance, traits they will need in abundance against Liverpool.
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Liverpool’s High-Flying Form and Tactical Versatility
Liverpool, in contrast, are flying high in the Premier League. Their recent draw against Arsenal showcased their attacking prowess and resilience, with Mo Salah continuing his rich vein of form. Jurgen Klopp’s side, known for their high-pressing and fluid attacking play, will be looking to exploit Burnley’s defensive vulnerabilities. However, Liverpool’s depleted defensive resources, particularly at left-back, could be an area of concern.
Team Dynamics and Predicted Lineups
Burnley’s expected lineup of Trafford, Vitinho, O’Shea, Beyer, Taylor, Tresor, Berge, Brownhill, and Odobert suggests a focus on defensive solidity and quick counter-attacks. Liverpool’s likely lineup of Alisson, Alexander-Arnold, Quansah, Van Dijk, Gomez, Szoboszlai, Endo, Gravenberch, Salah, Gakpo, and Nunez indicates an emphasis on attacking football, with a high press and quick transitions.
Tactical Breakdown and Key Battles
The midfield duel between Liverpool’s Szoboszlai and Burnley’s Berge will be crucial in controlling the game’s tempo. Liverpool’s attacking trident, led by Salah, will test Burnley’s defensive resilience, particularly their ability to handle high-pressing tactics.
Opinionated Team and Managerial Analysis
Burnley, under Kompany, have shown they can be defensively resolute but need to find consistency in attack. Liverpool, despite their fluid attacking play, must address defensive vulnerabilities exposed in recent games. Klopp’s tactical flexibility is a strength, but his team’s occasional defensive lapses warrant criticism.
Expected Goals and Gameplay Prediction
Liverpool’s expected goals average suggests they are likely to score multiple times, while Burnley’s lower average points to difficulties in finding the net. The gameplay is expected to be dominated by Liverpool, with Burnley relying on counter-attacks.
Match Predictions and Analysis
1. Liverpool to Win (Handicap -1)
This prediction stems from Liverpool’s robust attacking form and their ability to control and dominate games. The team’s consistent scoring record, spearheaded by the likes of Mohamed Salah and Darwin Nunez, suggests they can overcome a one-goal handicap against a Burnley side that has struggled at home. Liverpool’s high-pressing style and quick transitions are likely to challenge Burnley’s defence, increasing the likelihood of a win by more than one goal.
2. Correct Score: Burnley 0-2 Liverpool
Considering Liverpool’s offensive prowess, a scoreline of 0-2 in favour of the Reds is a plausible outcome. Liverpool’s ability to create and convert multiple chances per game, combined with Burnley’s challenges in containing top-tier teams, especially at home, points towards a comfortable victory for Klopp’s side. Despite Burnley’s improved performances under Kompany, they are likely to find it difficult to withstand Liverpool’s relentless attacking pressure.
3. Goalscorer: Mohamed Salah to Score
Mohamed Salah’s current form and his pivotal role in Liverpool’s attack make him a prime candidate to score against Burnley. Salah’s agility, finishing skills, and ability to find space in the final third are key attributes that could exploit Burnley’s defensive vulnerabilities. Given his track record of scoring in crucial matches and his recent form, it’s highly likely that Salah will find the back of the net in this encounter.
4. Team to Score First: Liverpool
Liverpool’s tendency to start games aggressively, coupled with their high-pressing style, suggests they are likely to score the opening goal. The Reds have consistently demonstrated their ability to put early pressure on opponents, often leading to early goals. Burnley’s approach, focusing on defensive organisation, might struggle to contain Liverpool’s initial onslaught, making it probable that Liverpool will open the scoring.
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