Ukraine vs Italy predictions for Monday’s EURO 2024 qualifier at the Bay Arena. In a crucial Euro 2024 qualification match, Ukraine and Italy will face off on Monday, both vying for second place in Group C and a spot in the upcoming European Championship. Read on for all out free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Monday, 20th November at 7:45 pm In:
Ukraine vs Italy Predictions
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Clash of Titans: Ukraine and Italy’s Decisive Battle for Euro 2024 Qualification
Key Stats
– Italy’s Offensive Prowess: Scored 16 goals in 7 qualifying matches.
– Head-to-Head Dominance: Italy has won 3 out of 4 matches against Ukraine.
Under Serhiy Rebrov, Ukraine has exhibited a tactical flexibility that has kept them in contention for Euro 2024 qualification. Playing a 4-2-3-1 formation, they have balanced attacking verve with defensive solidity. Key players like Artem Dovbyk and Mykhaylo Mudryk have been instrumental in their offensive play, while Oleksandr Zinchenko’s leadership in midfield is pivotal.
Italy, coached by Luciano Spalletti, boasts a rich blend of youth and experience. With a traditional 4-3-3 setup, their game is characterised by fluid attacking movements and solid midfield control, led by the likes of Jorginho and Nicolo Barella. Federico Chiesa’s form upfront poses a significant threat to any defence.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
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Best Value Bet Rationale
Chiesa’s impressive performance against North Macedonia, where he scored twice, is a testament to his current form. His BettingTips4You rating of 8.50 reflects his influence in games, particularly in key attacking metrics. Chiesa’s ability to find the net from both inside and outside the box, combined with a high shots on target per game average (4.0), underscores his potency in front of goal. Moreover, his goal conversion rate of 33% indicates that he doesn’t need many chances to score.
Italy’s attacking strategy, where Chiesa plays a pivotal role, often involves penetrating the opposition’s defence through quick, direct play. Given Ukraine’s solid defensive setup, Chiesa’s agility and precision will be crucial for Italy to unlock scoring opportunities. Moreover, with Italy assured of a playoff spot but still aiming for a direct qualification, the motivation to attack and score will be high.
Furthermore, Chiesa’s performance in crucial matches, combined with his recent form, makes him a likely candidate to be on the scoresheet. His ability to navigate through tight defences and his tendency to take shots from varied positions on the field enhances his chances of scoring against a robust Ukrainian defence.
In summary, Federico Chiesa’s current form, coupled with the tactical context of the game, makes him a strong candidate to score, offering value in the boosted odds offered by Bet365.
Key Duels and Decisive Areas: The battle in midfield, where Zinchenko’s playmaking abilities will be tested against Italy’s robust midfield trio, could decide the game’s tempo. Additionally, the duel between Ukraine’s Dovbyk and Italy’s experienced backline will be crucial in the final third.
Managerial Influence: Rebrov’s management has brought a sense of belief to the Ukrainian team, highlighting his tactical acumen. Spalletti, on the other hand, has faced criticism for Italy’s recent games, despite their Euro 2020 triumph under Mancini. This match is a litmus test for both managers, with Spalletti needing to prove his mettle in crucial games.
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Gameplay Analysis: Expect a tense and tactical battle, with Ukraine likely to adopt a cautious approach, relying on counterattacks. Italy, comfortable in possession, will look to dictate the game’s pace, creating chances through their fluid attacking play.
Improvement Suggestions: Ukraine needs to be more clinical in front of goal, capitalising on their created chances. Italy, while strong offensively, must tighten their defence to avoid late-game lapses.
Pros and Cons: Ukraine’s pro lies in their resilient team spirit and tactical flexibility, but their con is a lack of experience in high-pressure games. Italy’s strength is their technical skill and depth, but their inconsistency remains a concern.
Predictions:
Match Outcome – Draw: The prediction of a draw stems from the closely matched nature of both teams. Ukraine, playing on ‘home’ turf, albeit in Germany, will be buoyed by their recent form, including strong performances against formidable teams like France and England. Italy, on the other hand, with their wealth of experience and tactical nous, are unlikely to capitulate easily. Both teams have shown resilience and adaptability in their qualifying campaign. The Italians have the edge in terms of individual talent, but Ukraine’s team spirit and cohesive play level the field. This balanced dynamic makes a draw a likely outcome.
Correct Score Prediction – 1-1: A 1-1 scoreline is anticipated, considering both teams’ recent performances and the high stakes of the match. Ukraine’s solid defence, which has been a cornerstone of their campaign, is expected to hold firm against Italy’s attacking threats. However, Italy’s offensive prowess, led by the likes of Federico Chiesa, is likely to break through at least once. On the flip side, Ukraine’s offensive players like Artem Dovbyk have the potential to exploit Italy’s occasional defensive lapses. This equilibrium in both teams’ attacking and defensive capabilities suggests that neither side will manage to completely outdo the other, leading to a tied score.
Goalscorer Prediction – Federico Chiesa (Italy): Chiesa’s recent form, coupled with his ability to deliver in crucial matches, makes him a prime candidate to score. He has been instrumental in Italy’s attacking play, showcasing his pace, dribbling skills, and clinical finishing. Given Ukraine’s defensive approach and Italy’s need to secure qualification, Chiesa’s role as a key attacker becomes even more vital. His knack for finding space in tight areas and ability to shoot from distance further bolsters the likelihood of him getting on the scoresheet.
Corner Prediction – More Corners for Italy: Italy’s playing style, which often involves stretching the play wide and delivering crosses, is likely to result in more corners. Their tendency to push full-backs forward and utilise the width provided by wingers like Chiesa increases the chances of the ball being deflected behind by Ukrainian defenders. Moreover, Italy’s possession-based approach and propensity to apply pressure in the attacking third often corner their opponents, quite literally, leading to corner kicks. This tactical aspect of their game, combined with Ukraine’s likely defensive stance, suggests that Italy will win more corners in this encounter.
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