Colombia vs Brazil predictions for this 2026 World Cup Qualifier in Barranquilla. Colombia are still unbeaten in qualifying, while Brazil have picked up just one point from their last two games? Can the visitors get a crucial win in this difficult trip? Read on for our free 2026 World Cup Qualifying predictions and betting tips.
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Match Live Friday, 17th November at 12:00 am In:
Colombia vs Brazil Predictions
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A Tactical Showdown in Barranquilla
Key Stats
– Brazil has not won in Colombia since 2003.
– Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.
In a crucial CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier, Colombia and Brazil lock horns at Estadio Metropolitano in Barranquilla. Colombia, yearning to break a three-game drawing streak, faces a Brazilian side reeling from a rare defeat to Uruguay. This clash of South American titans promises to be more than just a game; it’s a strategic battlefield.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
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Best Value Bet Rationale
Firstly, the context of the match suggests a game where attacking opportunities could be at a premium. Colombia, with an unbeaten streak in qualifiers and a solid defensive record, are likely to pose a stiff challenge to Brazil. Brazil, on the other hand, coming off a rare qualifying defeat to Uruguay and a draw against Venezuela, will be keen to reassert their dominance. This scenario paves the way for players like Martinelli, known for their attacking flair and propensity to take shots, to step up.
Martinelli’s role in the Brazilian setup, especially in the absence of key players like Neymar and Richarlison, becomes even more critical. His agility, pace, and skill in breaking down defences can be vital in creating and taking shooting opportunities against a robust Colombian defence. Furthermore, his recent club form and growing confidence suggest he is likely to take on more responsibilities, including attempts on goal.
Moreover, the dynamics of the game, with Brazil likely to dominate possession and press for a win, suggest that Martinelli, as part of a formidable attacking trio, will find himself in positions to test the Colombian goalkeeper. His ability to make incisive runs and find space in the box enhances the probability of him registering at least one shot on target.
Considering these factors, the bet on Martinelli to have over 0.5 shots on target offers value. It capitalises on the player’s current form, role in the team, and the match’s context, where Brazil will be pushing for goals against a defensively sound Colombian side. Remember, odds are subject to change, and terms and conditions apply.
Colombia’s Road to Recovery
Colombia’s journey in the 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign has been a blend of resilience and missed opportunities. After a slender victory over Venezuela, they’ve been held to draws by Chile, Uruguay, and Ecuador. Despite these setbacks, Colombia, under Nestor Lorenzo, has maintained an impressive 15-match unbeaten streak. The team’s tactical approach has been centred around a robust defence and exploiting moments of brilliance from players like James Rodriguez and Mateus Uribe. However, their resilience will be tested against Brazil, a team they have struggled to overpower in recent times.
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Brazil’s Quest for Redemption
Brazil’s qualifying campaign under interim boss Fernando Diniz has been a rollercoaster ride. The shock defeat to Uruguay, compounded by Neymar’s injury and a draw against Venezuela, has put the Selecao under pressure. Brazil’s away form, winning only four of their last ten internationals, adds another layer of complexity. The upcoming match against Colombia is more than just a game; it’s a chance for Brazil to reassert their dominance on the world stage.
Tactical Analysis and Key Duels
This encounter will likely be decided in the midfield battleground, where Colombia’s tenacity meets Brazil’s flair. The key duel will be between Colombia’s creative force, James Rodriguez, and Brazil’s midfield dynamo, Bruno Guimaraes. Another interesting matchup is between Luis Diaz and Brazil’s right-back, likely Emerson Royal, where pace and trickery will be on full display.
Pro and Cons: Teams and Managers
Colombia: Strengths lie in their defensive organisation and team spirit, but they lack the cutting edge in attack. Lorenzo’s conservative approach has brought stability but at the cost of offensive flair.
Brazil: Under Diniz, Brazil boasts creativity and attacking prowess. However, their inconsistency and defensive lapses have been a concern. Diniz’s tactical flexibility is commendable, but his ability to inspire confidence in crunch games is yet to be proven.
Our Take
The match between Colombia and Brazil is more than just a clash between two footballing nations; it’s a showcase of contrasting styles and tactical acumen. While Colombia seeks to solidify their defensive fortress, Brazil aims to rediscover their attacking rhythm. This game, rich in cultural and footballing history, is a testament to the beauty and complexity of South American football.
Predictions
1. Match Outcome Prediction: Draw
The prediction of a draw in the Colombia versus Brazil match is based on a meticulous analysis of both teams’ recent performances and historical encounters. Colombia, currently ranked 17th globally, has displayed remarkable resilience, extending their unbeaten run to 15 matches. Their ability to grind out results, especially in draws against tough opponents like Uruguay and Ecuador, highlights their defensive strength and tactical discipline under Nestor Lorenzo.
Meanwhile, Brazil’s recent form has been uncharacteristically inconsistent. The defeat to Uruguay and a draw against Venezuela indicate a vulnerability, particularly in away fixtures. Additionally, Brazil’s historical struggle to secure wins on Colombian soil – without a victory there since 2003 – further bolsters the likelihood of a stalemate. Given these factors, a draw seems the most plausible result, reflecting the closely-matched nature of these two South American giants.
2. Correct Score Prediction: 1-1 Draw
A 1-1 draw is a scoreline that resonates with the defensive solidity and occasional attacking prowess of both Colombia and Brazil. Colombia’s recent games have been characterised by low-scoring affairs, with a strong emphasis on maintaining a tight defensive unit. On the other hand, Brazil, despite their attacking talents, have shown a dip in their usual prolific scoring form, especially in away games.
The likelihood of both teams finding the back of the net is high, considering the individual brilliance present in both squads. Players like Colombia’s James Rodriguez and Brazil’s Vinicius Junior possess the quality to create and convert chances. However, the robust defensive setups and recent form suggest that neither team is likely to dominate, leading to a balanced scoreline of 1-1.
3. Goalscorer Prediction: James Rodriguez to Score
James Rodriguez’s potential to score in the upcoming match against Brazil stems from his pivotal role in Colombia’s midfield and his proven track record in crucial fixtures. Rodriguez, known for his creative flair and ability to deliver in big moments, could be the difference-maker for Colombia.
His technical ability, coupled with his tendency to take on shots from distance and set-pieces, makes him a constant threat. Brazil’s defence, while formidable, has shown cracks in recent games, presenting opportunities that a player of Rodriguez’s calibre can exploit. His understanding of the game and positioning will be key in finding spaces within Brazil’s defensive setup, making him a prime candidate to score at least once in the match.
4. Corner Prediction: Brazil to Have More Corners
Predicting Brazil to earn more corners in the game against Colombia is founded on their attacking style of play and tendency to press high up the pitch. Brazil, under Diniz, favours a possession-based game with a focus on creating chances from wide areas. This approach often results in a higher number of corner kicks as they push opponents back and force them to clear the ball under pressure.
Colombia’s strategy, centred around a solid defence and counter-attacking football, is likely to see them absorb a lot of pressure from Brazil, leading to more defensive clearances and consequently, corners for Brazil. The total number of corners in the game could be influenced by this dynamic, with Brazil’s offensive tactics likely leading to a higher overall corner count.
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