Liverpool vs Everton predictions for Saturday’s Premier League clash at Anfield. Liverpool will be keen to extend their perfect home run when they take on city rivals Everton for the Merseyside Derby. Can they do so or will the Toffees cause an upset? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Saturday, 21st October at 12:30 pm In:
Liverpool vs Everton Predictions
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Merseyside Derby Showdown
Key Stats
– Everton’s conversion rate stands at a mere 6.77% this season.
– Mohamed Salah boasts a staggering 7.74 average rating, marking him as a key player in this clash.
This weekend Anfield will witness the time-honoured clash between Liverpool and Everton, as the two iconic clubs engage in the latest chapter of the Merseyside derby. With the din of the international break behind, the Premier League promises to return with one of its most intense fixtures.
Recent Performances
Liverpool, guided by Jürgen Klopp, comfortably sit at the fourth position, a staggering 12 places and 11 points ahead of Everton. However, their recent form tells a tale of unexpected hiccups. An unexpected point loss to Brighton & Hove Albion recently after a mix-up between stalwarts Virgil van Dijk and Alexis Mac Allister was a shock. Yet, Liverpool’s resilience is proven as they’ve consistently found the net in their last 21 games, and their Anfield fortress remains unconquered this calendar year.
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Everton, on the other hand, seem to be facing the wrath of inconsistency. A terrific 3-0 victory over Bournemouth was a sight for the sore eyes, especially after a disappointing 2-1 setback against Luton Town. With Everton’s position just above the relegation zone, the Toffees need a strong show at Anfield.
Duel on the Field
Midfield Dynamics: The key battle will likely be in the midfield. Players like Liverpool’s Dominik Szoboszlai and Everton’s Jack Harrison are the ones to watch out for. Their form and ability to control the game could potentially sway the balance.
Attacking Prowess: With Mohamed Salah on one side and Abdoulaye Doucouré on the other, the attacks promise to be fierce. Salah’s knack for scoring, coupled with Everton’s vulnerability at the back, makes this an intriguing contest.
Strengths, Weaknesses, and Managerial Tactics
Liverpool’s prowess lies in their attacking quality and solid home record. Their ability to maintain ball possession and create scoring chances is commendable. However, Klopp needs to address their set-piece vulnerabilities, which has cost them dearly in recent matches.
Everton showcases excellent ball dynamics and quick breaks. Yet, their possession stats and defensive lapses have been a significant concern. Sean Dyche must instill more discipline and improve their conversion rate.
Critically speaking, while Klopp’s strategic depth and adaptability are commendable, his over-reliance on specific players and failure to address glaring vulnerabilities raises eyebrows. On the flip side, Dyche’s inability to instill consistency and extract top performances from his talented squad remains a point of concern.
Technical Analysis
The upcoming Merseyside Derby promises to be a tantalising affair, with the red and blue halves of the city locking horns once more at Anfield. As we dissect the intricacies of both teams’ recent performances, there’s plenty of intrigue and points of contention that may make some fans’ blood boil.
The Evolution of Liverpool’s Offensive Prowess and Defensive Woes
Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool are renowned for their explosive attacking prowess. But this season, they’ve been complemented by a defence that, for the most part, has stood firm. Mohamed Salah, the Egyptian maestro, continues to dazzle the Premier League with his extraordinary performances. His average BettingTips4You rating of 7.74 isn’t just a number – it’s an indicator of a player in the form of his life. Salah has not only scored 5 goals but has also assisted 4 times, showcasing his versatility up front. Dominik Szoboszlai and Darwin Núñez are notable mentions, having added depth and variety to Liverpool’s attacking arsenal.
But while the Reds have been prolific upfront, they’ve shown moments of vulnerability at the back. The debacle between Virgil van Dijk and Alexis Mac Allister, leading to Brighton’s goal, has raised eyebrows. Are Liverpool’s defensive stalwarts getting complacent, or was it just a one-off?
Everton’s Resurgence and Defensive Dilemmas
On the blue side of Merseyside, Sean Dyche’s Everton have shown flashes of brilliance, especially in their morale-boosting 3-0 triumph against Bournemouth. Players like Jack Harrison, with a staggering 7.60 average rating, and James Tarkowski have stepped up, providing much-needed solidity in midfield and defence.
Yet, for all their offensive exploits, Everton’s backline remains a concern. They’ve conceded 12 goals in just 8 games, an average of 1.5 per match. This vulnerability could be Liverpool’s gain, especially if Salah and company are in their usual mood.
The Managers: Klopp’s Vision vs. Dyche’s Tenacity
Klopp and Dyche bring contrasting footballing philosophies. Klopp’s gegenpressing has been a staple of Liverpool’s style for years. However, his insistence on high pressing has sometimes left the defence exposed, and with Everton’s recent attacking form, this could be an area they look to exploit.
Dyche, on the other hand, is a master tactician who prioritises defence over attack. However, this conservative approach could be their downfall against a team like Liverpool, which thrives against defensive units. Criticism alert: While Dyche’s tenacity is commendable, his tactical rigidity can be his Achilles heel. Why not add a bit more flair, Sean?
Expected Goals Analysis
Liverpool’s attack, with an average of 2.3 goals scored per game, far outweighs their expected goals. Salah leads the xA (Expected Assists) with 2.80 but has assisted 4 times, again showcasing Liverpool’s ability to outperform expectations.
For Everton, the stats tell a mixed story. Their attack is almost in line with their expected goals, but players like Abdoulaye Doucouré are outperforming their personal xA, suggesting that while the team may be underperforming, individuals are stepping up.
Comparative Analysis and Suggestions
Comparing the two, Liverpool seem the stronger side, but derbies are unpredictable. Liverpool’s superior ball possession (52.9% to Everton’s 45.9%) suggests dominance, but as seen in their recent loss to Tottenham, possession doesn’t always translate to results.
For Everton to have a chance, they need to exploit Liverpool’s high defensive line. Counter-attacks could be their best bet, especially with Liverpool’s recent defensive mix-ups.
Liverpool, meanwhile, should remain wary of complacency. Overconfidence could be their downfall, and maintaining a balanced approach will be key.
Predictions
1. Match Outcome: Liverpool to Win
Liverpool’s track record this season has been outstanding, especially when they play at Anfield. The Reds haven’t been beaten at their home turf in the Premier League throughout this calendar year. Their striking proficiency has been notable, with goals in each of their last 21 competitive fixtures. On the other side, Everton’s conversion rate of 6.77% is one of the worst in the top flight. Though the Toffees have shown glimpses of their attacking prowess, they haven’t been consistent. Considering Liverpool’s strong home form and Everton’s inconsistent displays, it’s probable that Liverpool will take the three points.
2. Correct Score: 2-1 in favour of Liverpool
Liverpool’s offensive strength is evident, with a whopping 18 goals scored in 8 matches. However, their defence has shown a few lapses, having conceded nine goals so far. On the other hand, Everton have managed to find the net nine times but conceded twelve. Given these stats, it’s safe to assume that while Liverpool might dominate, Everton won’t walk away without registering at least one goal. Thus, a 2-1 victory for Liverpool seems like a plausible scoreline.
3. Goalscorer: Mohamed Salah to Score
Mohamed Salah’s form has been electric this season. He’s Liverpool’s top scorer in the Premier League with 5 goals and has an impressive BettingTips4You Expert Rating of 7.74. His ability to change the course of a game is well-documented, and considering his current form, it’s highly likely he’ll add to his tally against Everton.
4. Corner Prediction: Liverpool to have more corners; Total corners: 12
Statistically, Liverpool average about 5.9 corners per game, whereas Everton slightly lags behind with 5.6. Given Liverpool’s aggressive playstyle and propensity to attack, they are more likely to force more corners than their rivals. Combining the averages for both teams, we can predict a total of around 12 corners in the game.
5. Shot on Target: Dominik Szoboszlai to register a shot on target
Dominik Szoboszlai has been a standout performer for Liverpool this season, with a BettingTips4You Expert Rating of 7.29. He often finds himself in positions to challenge the goalkeeper. Given his tendency to shoot from outside the box and his flair for taking on defenders, it’s quite probable that he’ll test the Everton goalkeeper during the match.
6. Yellow Card: Alexis Mac Allister to get booked
Alexis Mac Allister tops the list of yellow cards for Liverpool with 3 bookings already in the season. Given the intense rivalry and heightened emotions that come with a Merseyside derby, tackles will fly in thick and fast. Considering Mac Allister’s previous disciplinary record this season, it wouldn’t be surprising if he finds himself in the referee’s book.
7. Assist Prediction: Mohamed Salah to deliver an assist
Salah isn’t just Liverpool’s top scorer; he’s also their leading assist provider. His current expected assists (xA) rating is 2.80, from which he has managed to deliver 4 assists. With his ability to drift wide, take on defenders, and deliver pinpoint crosses, it’s quite feasible that Salah will set up a goal in the clash.
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