Lazio vs Genoa Predictions

Lazio vs Genoa predictions for this Serie A fixture. After continuing their flawless run in Europe, Lazio return to Serie A action on Sunday, hosting Genoa at Stadio Olimpico. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Serie A | Oct 27, 2024 at 2pm UK at Stadio Olimpico

Lazio vs Genoa Predictions

Can Lazio’s Stellar Home Form Sink Genoa’s Hopes?

• Lazio’s Home Dominance
  • Lazio are unbeaten in their last nine Serie A home games, winning seven of those. They’ve only lost one game in their last six across all competitions, demonstrating their strength at Stadio Olimpico.
• Genoa’s Defensive Woes
  • Genoa have conceded 17 goals in eight matches this season, including four in their last two away games. Their porous defence will struggle to cope with Lazio’s attackers, making a clean sheet for the hosts a likely outcome.
• Pinamonti’s Struggles Against Lazio
  • Genoa’s top scorer Andrea Pinamonti has faced Lazio six times in Serie A without finding the net. Given Genoa’s lack of attacking options, this drought is likely to continue at Stadio Olimpico on Sunday.

Our Tips

As the excitement builds ahead of Lazio’s return to domestic action, they find themselves facing Genoa at the iconic Stadio Olimpico on Sunday. Fresh off a solid Europa League performance, where they secured a commanding 2-0 win against FC Twente, the Biancocelesti will be looking to extend their impressive run in all competitions. For Lazio, the form book makes for pleasant reading – aside from a narrow defeat to Juventus last week, Marco Baroni’s men have been in top shape. On the other hand, their visitors, Genoa, arrive in dire need of a win, having not tasted victory since August and struggling with injuries and defensive lapses.

There’s a lot at stake for both teams. Lazio will want to solidify their place near the top of Serie A, while Genoa are battling to escape the relegation zone. With both sides desperate for points but in very different circumstances, this match promises to be an intriguing contest.

Best Bet: Lazio to Win to Nil

Looking at the recent form of both teams, the best bet for this match is clearly Lazio to win to nil. Given Lazio’s defensive concerns in recent weeks, it might seem like a risk, but Genoa’s lack of firepower and Lazio’s strength at home provide a solid argument for this prediction.

Firstly, while Lazio’s defensive record this season hasn’t been the best – with at least one goal conceded in every Serie A game thus far – this match feels like an ideal opportunity to break that pattern. Genoa have been abysmal in attack, scoring only seven goals in their first eight matches, making them one of the lowest-scoring sides in the league. Moreover, with key players missing for Genoa, including Andrea Pinamonti, their most reliable threat in front of goal, it’s difficult to see them troubling a Lazio side that, when disciplined, can be very solid at the back.

Lazio’s home form also gives confidence to this prediction. The Biancocelesti have been formidable at Stadio Olimpico, going unbeaten in their last nine Serie A home matches and securing seven wins during that run. Although they haven’t kept a clean sheet in their first eight matches of the campaign, Sunday’s clash against a depleted Genoa side offers a perfect chance to correct that. The likes of Samuel Gigot and Patric should be more than capable of handling Genoa’s weakened attack.

On the other side of the pitch, Lazio’s offensive firepower will likely prove too much for a Genoa defence that has conceded a staggering 17 goals this season. With stars like Valentin Castellanos and Gustav Isaksen leading the line, Lazio should be able to pick apart a backline that’s leaked goals for fun in recent games.

“Lazio’s home advantage, combined with Genoa’s attacking woes and injury struggles, makes a clean sheet for the hosts a solid bet,” said Luca Pratesi, BettingTips4You.com expert. “Genoa simply don’t have enough firepower to break down Lazio’s defence, and the Biancocelesti should have no problem exploiting Genoa’s frailties at the back.”

Correct Score Prediction: Lazio 2-0 Genoa

Following the rationale of a win to nil, the correct score prediction for this game looks to be 2-0 in Lazio’s favour. This scoreline perfectly reflects the likely flow of the match, with Lazio expected to dominate possession, create chances, and secure a comfortable but controlled victory.

Why not predict a larger scoreline? Despite their attacking quality, Lazio aren’t exactly blowing teams away this season. They average 1.8 goals per game, which suggests they’re more efficient than explosive. In their last five home games, Lazio have averaged around two goals per match, and there’s little reason to believe they’ll drastically exceed that in this encounter. Genoa may be struggling, but their defensive unit is capable of putting up some resistance, especially in the early stages.

At the same time, Genoa’s attack – despite a spirited comeback in their recent 2-2 draw against Bologna – is not likely to cause much of a threat, especially without key players and with their top striker Pinamonti having never scored against Lazio in six previous encounters.

This conservative scoreline also accounts for Lazio’s tendency to manage games once they take the lead, particularly at home. Once they establish dominance, they tend to focus on control and maintaining their advantage rather than pushing recklessly for more goals.

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