Everton vs Arsenal predictions for this Premier League clash. David Moyes and Mikel Arteta reunite at Goodison Park as Everton host Arsenal in a Premier League clash, marking a nostalgic touchline meeting between former Everton colleagues. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Premier League | Apr 5, 2025 at 12.30pm UK at Goodison Park
Everton vs Arsenal Predictions


Can Arsenal Keep Focus With Madrid Looming?
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- Card Magnet in Midfield
James Garner has been booked in two of his last six matches, with his role almost guaranteeing contact-heavy defensive actions against technical opponents. - Home Grit for the Toffees
Everton remain unbeaten in five straight Premier League home matches, including stalemates with Liverpool and Manchester United—both of whom arrived with better form than Arsenal currently possess. - Injury Shadows for the Gunners
Arsenal’s likely absence of Gabriel Magalhaes and Jurrien Timber means a reshuffled backline, with Kiwior and Partey forced to fill in at centre-back and right-back respectively, weakening defensive chemistry.
Best Bet for Everton vs Arsenal
Under 2.5 Goals | |
4/6 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning The evidence is overwhelming. Recent form, team selection, and derby history all point in one direction: a low-scoring, tense 90 minutes. Backing under 2.5 goals is the logical call. |
Goodison Park is ready for a lunchtime showdown drenched in nostalgia and tension. With the Premier League calendar beginning to wind down, Saturday’s clash between Everton and Arsenal is more than just three points—it’s a reunion, a send-off, and potentially a spark for either side’s ambitions. David Moyes, approaching the end of his tenure with the Toffees, goes head-to-head with former player and now Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta in what promises to be an emotional touchline duel.
Everton arrive with a point to prove after a gut-wrenching 1-0 defeat in the Merseyside derby. While they were anything but overawed, fortune deserted them—particularly James Tarkowski, who was lucky to escape a sending-off. Still, that loss ended a solid unbeaten stretch and now, back at home where they’ve shown grit against top sides, they’ll be desperate to rattle a Gunners side that might already have one foot on the plane to Madrid.
For Arsenal, the Fulham win was crucial in maintaining second place, but it came at a physical cost. Injuries to Gabriel Magalhaes and Jurrien Timber mean a reworked backline will have to weather Everton’s aggression. With Real Madrid on the horizon, Arsenal may well tread cautiously here—both in physical duels and tactical tempo.
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Best Bet: James Garner To Be Carded
Here at BettingTips4You, we don’t toss out a dozen bets and hope one sticks. We deliver a single Best Bet—a tip chosen after analysing every angle so you don’t have to scroll endlessly wondering what to back. Our ultimate prediction for this one? James Garner to find his name in the referee’s book.
There’s a clear pattern forming around Garner’s combative role in Everton’s midfield. He’s been carded in two of his last six Premier League appearances, and that stat barely scratches the surface. His average positioning, often just in front of the defence, means he’s frequently the man tasked with breaking up play—whether elegantly or by more cynical means.
Facing an Arsenal midfield trio of Declan Rice, Jorginho, and Martin Ødegaard—who thrive on quick movement and close combinations—Garner is almost certain to find himself lunging into recovery tackles or pulling shirts when play gets stretched. And stretched it will be, especially with Arsenal deploying the elusive Nwaneri in the final third alongside the slippery Gabriel Martinelli.
What’s more, with the hosts likely to concede possession for large spells, Everton will need their midfielders to disrupt Arsenal’s rhythm. Garner is rarely one to hold back, and he’ll be fully aware that letting Ødegaard run the show spells disaster. If he commits to this physical brief, as he has so often, the odds on him collecting a yellow look extremely generous at 10/3.
“You’ve got a combative midfielder, up against one of the league’s most technical sides, with tired legs and a fired-up home crowd? That’s a yellow waiting to happen.”
— BettingTips4You.com expert Herrin Kendrick
And let’s be honest—Premier League refs love a dramatic card flash when the tackles start flying. With Arsenal’s tempo and the desperation Everton will play with, this looks a near-certainty. Garner’s not malicious, just consistently overzealous—and that’s all we need.
As for how this contest might finish, don’t be too surprised if it ends all square. Arsenal may boast the superior squad on paper, but with minds drifting towards Real Madrid and injuries racking up, their control could wane. Everton, meanwhile, are a different beast at Goodison—aggressive, compact and fearless. They’ve already held Arsenal to a 0-0 at the Emirates earlier this season, and with Goodison roaring them on, a repeat doesn’t feel far-fetched.
However, Arsenal’s class in the final third, especially with Merino in form and Saka possibly starting, means they could just sneak one. But Everton will bite back, and the Gunners’ reworked defence may not hold steady.
A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome—Arsenal’s quality prevents a loss, but their focus might just be elsewhere, giving Everton a real chance to pounce.
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