Brighton vs Liverpool Predictions

Brighton vs Liverpool predictions for this Carabao Cup tie. Brighton & Hove Albion and Liverpool face off in the EFL Cup fourth round at the Amex on Wednesday, kicking off a double-header of encounters before meeting again in the Premier League days later. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Blackpool
Wigan

EFL Cup | Round of 16 | Oct 28, 2024 at 8pm UK at Broadfield Stadium

Brighton vs Liverpool Predictions

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Can Brighton Halt Liverpool’s Momentum in the EFL Cup Clash?

  • Brighton’s Amex Fortress: Brighton are unbeaten in their last three home games against Liverpool, which includes a win in the FA Cup earlier this year. This could give them the confidence to push for at least a draw.
  • Liverpool’s Away Form: The Reds have scored at least twice in seven of their last nine away games, making them one of the most prolific teams on the road. However, their 2-2 draw with Arsenal suggests they can be vulnerable to late-game lapses in focus.
  • Brighton’s Late-Game Struggles: Five of Brighton’s last six home matches have seen more than three goals, indicating that while they are capable of scoring, they are also prone to conceding, particularly late in games as seen against Wolves.

Our Tips

Bournemouth and Over 2.5 Goals
21/10 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Backing Bournemouth to win with over 2.5 goals is logical, given their home form, Brighton’s defensive vulnerabilities, and both sides’ attacking prowess. Expect an open, high-scoring encounter favouring the hosts.
Bournemouth 3-2
22/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 3-2 Bournemouth victory seems likely, reflecting their strong home form and Brighton’s defensive frailties. Both teams’ attacking quality should ensure a thrilling, high-scoring encounter, with Bournemouth edging it.

As Brighton & Hove Albion prepare to face Liverpool in the EFL Cup at the Amex, emotions are running high on both sides. This fourth-round tie sees two teams with distinctly different trajectories converge on Wednesday night. Liverpool, still riding high after a thrilling draw against Arsenal in the Premier League, look set to continue their dominant cup form, having breezed past West Ham in the previous round. Brighton, on the other hand, will be looking to rebound after a frustrating late collapse against Wolves at the weekend, a game they had seemed poised to win until the dying minutes.

For Liverpool, this fixture offers a chance to keep their Carabao Cup dreams alive and build on their impressive recent performances. For Brighton, it represents a significant test of their depth and resilience, especially considering their long list of injuries. The Seagulls are no strangers to this stage of the competition, but their recent record in the EFL Cup has been less than stellar, with several consecutive fourth-round exits. Both teams have something to prove, and this match promises drama from start to finish.

Best Bet: Brighton/Draw Double Chance

One of the best bets to consider in this fixture is the Brighton/Draw double chance. While Liverpool’s form is undeniably impressive, Brighton have shown they can be tough to beat at home, especially against top opposition. They have avoided defeat in their last three home encounters with Liverpool, a fact that could give them the psychological edge. Though Brighton’s recent form is patchy, they have the attacking quality to trouble any side, particularly with the likes of Danny Welbeck and Evan Ferguson available.

Liverpool, despite their remarkable away record this season, are coming off a draining draw against Arsenal. Manager Arne Slot will have to rotate his squad, and with key injuries to contend with, such as the absence of Alisson and Harvey Elliott, there could be some vulnerability in the Reds’ lineup. Brighton will look to exploit these potential weaknesses, and if they can keep things tight at the back, they have every chance of frustrating their visitors.

Brighton’s recent match against Wolves, despite ending in a draw, showed they are capable of scoring against even well-organised defences. The Seagulls have been averaging 1.8 goals per game, and their success from set-pieces, with players like Kaoru Mitoma and Carlos Baleba creating chances, will be crucial. Liverpool may be more clinical overall, but Brighton’s resilience at home, paired with Liverpool’s possible fatigue from a busy fixture schedule, gives this bet solid reasoning.

In the words of BettingTips4You.com’s expert Gram Dodd, “Liverpool may be the stronger side on paper, but Brighton’s ability to grind out results at the Amex makes them a difficult opponent, especially in cup competitions.” Brighton’s history in this competition may not be the brightest, but their potential to catch Liverpool on an off day makes this double chance an intriguing option.

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Correct Score Prediction: Brighton 1-1 Liverpool

For those looking at a correct score prediction, a 1-1 draw feels like a realistic outcome. Brighton have been involved in several high-scoring games this season, but they have also shown an ability to stifle top teams at home. The Seagulls’ defence, while not perfect, has managed to keep three clean sheets in their last nine matches. With Liverpool likely rotating their squad and possibly lacking their usual sharpness in front of goal, Brighton could well manage to hold them to a low-scoring stalemate.

On the flip side, Liverpool’s firepower is undeniable, and they’ve averaged nearly two goals per game this season. However, with Brighton pushing hard and Liverpool potentially fielding a less experienced lineup, this could balance out into a tight contest. Brighton’s attack is capable of finding the net, but with Liverpool’s defence standing strong for much of the season, this looks like a game that could end with both sides sharing the spoils.

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.