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Can Gladbach’s new-found resilience survive Stuttgart’s top-four push at Borussia-Park? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Stuttgart are chasing a top-four spot and boast a significantly higher shot volume than Gladbach. With the hosts failing to record a single shot on target in their last match and suffering from a blunt attack, Stuttgart’s creative dominance and historical edge make them clear favorites.
Read Rationale ▾
Gladbach have scored one or fewer goals in seven of their last eight games, while Stuttgart have outscored them by 10 goals this season. Given Gladbach’s recent shots-on-target drought and Stuttgart’s high possession, a comfortable two-goal victory for the visitors aligns with the statistical trends.
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Borussia Monchengladbach vs Stuttgart Predictions and Best Bets
Gladbach vs Stuttgart — William Hill Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample William Hill odds based on our analysis.
Pricing reflects Stuttgart’s superior offensive volume and Gladbach’s recent struggles to find the target.
Low Gladbach scoring rates suggest clinical Stuttgart margins are most likely.
- Bold but Blunt: Gladbach didn’t register a single shot on target in the 0-0 at Hamburger SV, and they’ve now scored one or fewer in seven of their last eight games.
- Stuttgart Bring Volume: Stuttgart average 15.3 shots per game in the Bundesliga to Gladbach’s 11.1, and they’ve scored 33 league goals compared to Gladbach’s 23 after 18 matches.
- Recent Pattern in This Fixture: Across the last six Bundesliga head-to-heads listed, Stuttgart have won four and Gladbach two—and there hasn’t been a single draw in that run.
Match Volume: Average Shots per League Game
Stuttgart maintain a high volume of attempts, while Gladbach’s production varies based on their defensive focus.
They recently recorded zero shots on target at Hamburger SV, highlighting a struggle to create quality openings.
Their aggressive attacking structure results in significantly higher shot frequency than their hosts.
Attacking Reliability: Total Goals Scored
A comparison of total league goals after 18 matches shows a gap in scoring efficiency.
Scoring one or fewer in seven of their last eight games has slowed their momentum.
Stuttgart have been far more prolific, averaging nearly two goals per game this season.
Stuttgart arrive at Borussia-Park with a clear target: win, and matchweek 19 ends with them sitting in the Bundesliga’s top four. That’s the pressure. That’s the pull. And it lands right on a Gladbach side stuck in 11th on 20 points, already 13 behind their visitors.
The mood shift is stark. Gladbach have looked tighter at the back lately — two clean sheets in three — yet their forward play is misfiring, most recently in a goalless draw at Hamburger SV where they didn’t land a single effort on target. Stuttgart, meanwhile, were held 1-1 by Union Berlin on January 18, and they’ll see this as a chance to turn control and chance volume into another statement away from home.
Venue: Stadion im Borussia-Park.
Team News & Lineups
Borussia Mönchengladbach – manager: Eugen Polanski
- Out/absent: A. Sarco (torn muscle fibre)
- Out/absent: N. N’Goumou Minpole (fitness, listed until 16.02.2026)
- Out/absent: K. Diks (foot bruise)
- Out/absent: L. Ullrich (knock)
Possible starting XI (Gladbach):
Nicolas; Sander, Elvedi, Takai; Scally, Reitz, Engelhardt, Netz; Honorat, Neuhaus; Tabakovic
VfB Stuttgart – manager: Sebastian Hoeneß
- No injuries/suspensions listed for Stuttgart in the facts provided.
Possible starting XI (Stuttgart):
Nubel; Vagnoman, Hendriks, Chabot, Mittelstadt; Karazor, Stiller; Leweling, Nartey, Fuhrich; Demirovic
Lineup implication — what it means on the pitch
Gladbach’s likely shape packs the middle and asks Franck Honorat and Florian Neuhaus to supply Haris Tabakovic quickly — but if service is slow, it risks becoming a game of hopeful scraps. Stuttgart’s structure looks built for repeat attacks: patient circulation from Angelo Stiller and Atakan Karazor, width from Jamie Leweling and Chris Führich, and a direct runner in Ermedin Demirovic to finish the moves.
The Tale of the Tape
| Metric (Bundesliga) | Gladbach | Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 4th |
| Points | 20 | 33 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 33 |
| Goals conceded | 29 | 26 |
| Shots per game | 11.1 | 15.3 |
| Possession | 45.3% | 56.8% |
| Pass accuracy | 82.7% | 84.4% |
| Yellow cards | 25 | 59 |
The numbers paint a likely script. Stuttgart tend to own the ball (56.8% possession) and fire far more often, while Gladbach live with less control and thinner attacking output. The discipline gap also jumps out: Stuttgart’s 59 yellows suggests a side that plays on the edge when they lose shape — and Gladbach’s weaknesses include avoiding fouling in dangerous areas. Set pieces and free-kicks around the box could decide momentum fast.
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Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Stuttgart’s control vs Gladbach’s compact block
Stuttgart are built for long spells in the opposition half: short passes, possession football, and frequent through balls. With Stiller directing and Mittelstädt offering a left-sided platform, expect Stuttgart to keep recycling attacks until gaps appear — especially if Gladbach sink into that “playing in their own half” tendency.
Gladbach’s recent defensive uptick — two clean sheets in three — hints at a team trying to win matches by staying alive, not by blowing teams away. That makes the first phase crucial: if they survive Stuttgart’s early pressure without giving up cheap chances, the fixture can tighten into a scrap.
Where Stuttgart can hurt them: the through-ball problem
Gladbach’s weakness against through ball attacks is labelled very weak. That is basically a neon sign for Stuttgart’s biggest weapons: they’re very strong at creating chances using through balls, and they attempt them often. The key zone is the space either side of Elvedi — especially if Stuttgart pin Gladbach’s wing-backs deep and force the back line to defend while facing their own goal.
Watch Demirovic’s movement. If he drifts off the shoulder and drags a centre-back with him, it opens lanes for the supporting runners — particularly Leweling arriving with pace.
Where Gladbach can hurt them: direct play and second balls
Gladbach aren’t set up to trade 40-pass moves. Their best route is to make Stuttgart defend quickly: early balls into Tabakovic, flick-ons, and knockdowns for Neuhaus and Honorat in pockets. Tabakovic is their top league scorer with 9 goals, and he wins 3.8 aerial duels per game — that’s a clear mechanism to escape pressure.
But here’s the catch: the most recent red flag is massive. Gladbach produced zero shots on target last time out. If they can’t turn territory into attempts — even scruffy ones — Stuttgart’s control becomes suffocating.
Tempo management: who dictates the emotional rhythm?
Stuttgart’s strengths include coming back from losing positions and protecting the lead. That gives them a calmness in game-state swings. Gladbach, by contrast, have been erratic: lost three, drawn one, won one in their last five, after winning five of the previous seven. If the first goal goes against them, the match can spiral into desperation football — and that often feeds Stuttgart’s counter-defending weakness into a chaotic, end-to-end spell.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set-piece pressure: Stuttgart are strong defending set pieces, but Gladbach’s tendency to concede fouls in dangerous areas invites deliveries and second phases.
- Discipline and game management: Stuttgart have 59 yellow cards to Gladbach’s 25. If the tempo spikes, Stuttgart risk giving away stoppages and territory.
- First-half patience: Gladbach’s average first goal time is listed at 42’, Stuttgart at 50’ — this could be a slow burn before it catches fire.
- Shot volume battle: Stuttgart average 15.3 shots per game; Gladbach 11.1. If that gap shows early, Gladbach’s plan turns into survival mode.
What could go wrong?
If Stuttgart over-commit in the opposition half, their weakness defending counter attacks can become a problem — especially if Gladbach can finally find Honorat early and get Tabakovic attacking crosses. And if this turns into a foul-heavy stop-start match, rhythm disappears, confidence wobbles, and a single scrappy moment can flip the entire narrative.
Best Bet for Gladbach vs Stuttgart
Can Gladbach’s defensive grit withstand the high-volume Stuttgart assault?
The Punter’s Cheat Sheet
| Factor | The Numbers | Betting Signal |
| Attack | Stuttgart 33 goals; Gladbach 23 | Stuttgart Win |
| Efficiency | Gladbach 0 shots on target last match | Under Goals |
| Control | Stuttgart 56.8% possession; Gladbach 45.3% | Away Win |
| History | 0 draws in last 6 meetings | Result (No Draw) |
Stuttgart to Win
Stuttgart enter this fixture with the tactical superiority and statistical volume required to break down a stubborn Gladbach defense. While Gladbach have shown improvement at the back with two clean sheets in their last three outings, their offensive production has completely evaporated. Failing to register a single shot on target in their most recent fixture at Hamburger SV highlights a blunt attack that cannot ease the pressure on their defensive line.
Stuttgart are a side that thrives on possession and consistent pressure. They average 15.3 shots per game compared to Gladbach’s 11.1 and have outscored their hosts by 10 goals over the course of the season. This discrepancy in chance creation is the defining factor of the matchup. Stuttgart are particularly strong at creating opportunities through through-balls, a specific area where Gladbach’s defensive structure is rated as very weak.
The tactical blueprint suggests Stuttgart will dominate the ball, sitting on 56.8% possession, and relentlessly probe the spaces around Nico Elvedi. Without a counter-attacking threat to keep them honest—given Gladbach’s recent scoring drought of one goal or fewer in seven of their last eight—Stuttgart can commit numbers forward without fear of reprisal.
History also favors the visitors; there has not been a single draw in the last six Bundesliga meetings between these two, and Stuttgart have claimed victory in four of those six encounters. With a top-four spot within reach for the visitors, the motivation matches their statistical edge.
What could go wrong?
If Stuttgart’s high line is caught out by direct play to Haris Tabakovic, Gladbach could steal a lead against the run of play. Stuttgart also possess a disciplinary streak, having accumulated 59 yellow cards this season. If they lose a key player to a red or concede too many dangerous set-pieces, Gladbach’s height advantage in the box could turn a game of dominance into a frustrating defeat.
Correct Score Lean
Stuttgart 2-0 Gladbach
This scoreline reflects the combination of Stuttgart’s superior shot volume and Gladbach’s current inability to find the back of the net. Gladbach have scored one goal or fewer in seven of their last eight games, suggesting they will struggle to break down a Stuttgart side that is strong at defending set pieces. Stuttgart average nearly two goals per game this season and possess the through-ball proficiency to exploit Gladbach’s primary defensive weakness at least twice over 90 minutes.
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