Prediction Markets UK: The Ultimate Guide to Event Trading

Future of Forecasting

Welcome to the UK’s premier hub for Prediction Markets. Trade your insights on global news, politics, and economics with real-time data.

Learn the Markets

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What is a Prediction Market?

Think of it as a stock exchange for events. Participants trade “shares” in outcomes. If you’re right, your share pays out at £1. If you’re wrong, it’s 0.

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Legality in the UK

UK prediction markets are regulated by the Gambling Commission (UKGC) as Betting Intermediaries. This keeps your funds safe and winnings tax-free.

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Price vs. Probability

A price of 52p implies a 52% probability. This “Wisdom of Crowds” often outperforms traditional polling and experts.

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Educational Library

Prediction Markets FAQ

Can I use Polymarket in the UK?
Technically, no. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission. We recommend using fully UK-licensed options like easyBet Predictions or Matchbook.
Are winnings taxable?
In the UK, prediction markets are regulated under gambling frameworks. All profits generated by retail traders are currently 100% tax-free.
Is easyBet Predictions currently live?
Yes! easyBet Predictions has officially launched in the UK. The platform replaces standard sportsbook elements with an intuitive, peer-to-peer prediction market format mapping real-world probabilities.