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15:05 Longchamp
1m4f Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Group 1) (3yo+ No Geldings) (Grande Course) (Turf) (3yo+)
| Horse | Odds | Runner verdict |
|---|---|---|
| Daryz | 6/4 | Consistent top-level performer with a high RPR of 138 and unbeaten at this trip. Trainer-jockey combo is strong with Mickael Barzalona riding. Leading chance on form and class. |
| Kalpana | 4/1 | In excellent form with recent wins and a solid RPR of 136. Experienced 5yo mare with a good strike rate over this distance. Trainer Andrew Balding has a decent record here. |
| Maltese Cross | 15/2 | Unbeaten in last three runs and 3 wins from 3 at this trip. Trainer William Haggas has a 39% strike rate and the horse shows upward form with RPR 133. Offers value at 15/2. |
| Thundering On | 7/1 | 3yo filly with strong recent form including a win and solid RPR of 132. Trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien has a 47% strike rate recently. Could improve further at this distance. |
| Varandir | 12/1 | Consistent 3yo colt with 4 wins in last 5 starts and RPR 128. Trainer F-H Graffard has a 100% strike rate recently. Could be a strong place contender. |
| Benvenuto Cellini | 18/1 | 3yo colt with mixed form but capable of a big run. RPR 132 and trained by A P O'Brien who has a good strike rate. Ryan Moore rides, adding experience. |
| Diamond Necklace | 14/1 | 3yo filly unbeaten in last four starts with RPR 136. Trained by A P O'Brien with Christophe Soumillon aboard. Could be a dark horse with strong recent form. |
| Minnie Hauk | 22/1 | 4yo filly with solid RPR 136 and consistent form. Trainer A P O'Brien has a strong record. Could place with William Buick riding. |
| Friendly Soul | 22/1 | 5yo mare with recent placed efforts and RPR 130. Trained by John & Thady Gosden with a 57% strike rate. Could run well at a bigger price. |
| Bay City Roller | 40/1 | 4yo colt with improving form and RPR 134. Trainer George Scott has a 67% strike rate recently. Could outrun odds if progressing. |
| Meisho Tabaru | 33/1 | 5yo Japanese horse with decent form and RPR 133. Experienced jockey Yutaka Take rides. Could be an outsider to consider. |
| Saddadd | 50/1 | 4yo colt with some good recent form and RPR 128. Trainer Roger Varian has a 58% strike rate. Long odds but could surprise. |
| Admire Terra | 100/1 | 5yo Japanese horse with limited form and low strike rate. Unlikely to feature prominently. |
| Arrow Eagle | 125/1 | 5yo with poor recent form and low strike rate. Unlikely to impact the race. |
| Bright Light | 100/1 | 3yo colt with no wins and low RPR 121. No recent form to suggest a strong run. |
| Chestnut Rocket | 200/1 | 4yo colt with poor recent form and low RPR 125. No evident chance in this field. |
Race verdict
The verdict is with Thundering On. Thundering On appeals because 3yo filly with strong recent form including a win and solid RPR of 132. That makes Thundering On the runner to side with in the win market.
Thundering On appeals because 3yo filly with strong recent form including a win and solid RPR of 132. The 7/1 price adds enough appeal for a win-only bet.
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Longchamp Betting Tips, Predictions & Best Tips – Your Daily Guide to ParisLongchamp
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The venue’s history stretches back to 1857, and while the grandstand has been re-imagined in a striking 2018 redevelopment, the racing challenge remains rooted in its breadth and subtlety. Multiple tracks, varied winning posts, and a famous hill combine to create a proper examination of balance, stride and staying power. More than half of France’s Group 1 races take place here, a testament to the course’s status. The flagship, the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, is run each October and attracts top-class international fields — precisely the moments when informed Longchamp predictions and measured staking can turn small edges into meaningful returns.
Today at Longchamp: what savvy punters should consider
For those seeking “Longchamp betting tips” and “Longchamp predictions” today, start by defining your race scenarios. Will the straight favour a single decisive move off a controlled early gallop, or will genuine pace stretch the field and amplify draw variance? Is the inside route riding fast enough to justify a rail-skimming trip, or is a near-side lane quicker in the final 300m? Our daily posting schedule is built to answer these questions succinctly, so you can act with confidence rather than guesswork. And while this page centres on ParisLongchamp, the same methodology underpins our wider coverage — if you landed Goodwood today’s best bet, you did so with identical discipline: course nuance first, price second, narrative last.
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We publish daily the best horse racing tips here, focusing on clarity, relevance and accountability. Every recommendation is grounded in the course’s distinctive demands, supported by transparent reasoning, and written in plain English. That’s how we deliver Longchamp betting tips that earn trust over time and keep you on the right side of value.
