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Can Thun’s relentless charge continue against stubborn Lausanne? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Read Rationale ▾
Thun are in relentless form, winning six matches consecutively while averaging over two goals per game. As league leaders with 51 goals scored, their offensive output is unmatched. Lausanne are winless in three and struggle with defensive discipline, making a home victory with multiple goals highly probable.
Read Rationale ▾
Both teams have scored in each of Thun’s last six league matches, suggesting the leaders often concede while winning. Lausanne possess enough attacking quality to find the net, but Thun’s superior momentum and goal-scoring rate point towards a narrow 2-1 victory at the Stockhorn Arena.
Readers’ Tip
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Stockhorn Arena hosts a heavyweight-versus-hunter clash as surprise leaders Thun look to tighten their grip on a remarkable title charge. Mauro Lustrinelli’s side are 11 points clear after 23 games and riding a six-match winning streak.
Thun vs Lausanne Sport — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Thun’s six-match winning streak makes them clear favourites at the Stockhorn Arena against a winless Lausanne side.
Thun have scored at least twice in five of their last six matches, ensuring a high-event game.
Every match in Thun’s six-game winning streak has seen both teams find the back of the net.
Despite their dominance, Thun concede 1.17 goals per game, making clean sheets rare for the leaders.
Match Preview: Leaders Thun Face Stubborn Lausanne Challenge
Lausanne Sport arrive seventh, steady but inconsistent, and still searching for rhythm after going winless in three league outings. Peter Zeidler’s men have shown they can hurt anyone on their day, yet they face the division’s most confident outfit on a cold night in the Bernese Highlands.
Thun have turned promotion into a procession. Now the question is simple: can anyone slow them down?
Attacking Output: Average Goals per Game
Thun’s offensive record is significantly higher than Lausanne’s, reflecting their aggressive approach in the league this season.
They have scored 51 goals in 23 matches, highlighting a consistent threat in the final third.
Lausanne average fewer goals per outing, sitting on 34 goals for the campaign so far.
League Standing: Points Accumulation
The gap at the top is significant, with Thun establishing a dominant lead after 23 rounds.
Their current tally puts them 11 points clear at the top of the Super League table.
Lausanne sit in 7th position, trailing the league leaders by 23 points.
Thun vs Lausanne Sport Team News & Probable Lineups
Thun Team News
- Nils Rupp (unknown injury)
- N. Ziswiler (knee injury)
- Michael Heule (muscle injury)
- Vasilije Janjicic (unknown injury)
Lausanne Team News
- No fresh injuries or suspensions listed.
Probable Thun XI: Steffen; Fehr, Montolio, Bamert, Burki; Imeri, Käit, Bertone, Meichtry; Labeau, Rastoder
Probable Lausanne XI: Letica; Bergvall, Mouanga, Sow, Fofana; Roche, Custodio, Lekoueiry; Janneh, Diakite, Butler-Oyedeji
Thun’s spine looks settled, with Leonardo Bertone anchoring midfield and Brighton Labeau and Elmin Rastoder leading the line. The absence of Heule slightly thins defensive options, but continuity remains their strength.
Lausanne lean on Karlo Letica in goal and the forward thrust of Gaoussou Diakite and Nathan Butler-Oyedeji. Discipline could be a factor, particularly with Karim Sow already collecting nine yellow cards this season.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Thun | Lausanne Sport |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 1st | 7th |
| Points | 52 | 29 |
| Goals Scored (League) | 51 | 34 |
| Goals Conceded (League) | 27 | 32 |
| Avg Goals per Game | 2.13 | 1.58 |
| Last 6 Matches | WWWWWW | DDLWD |
Thun’s numbers scream authority. They average over two goals per game and boast a +24 goal difference. Lausanne are more balanced than explosive, with a modest +2 differential. They concede slightly more than a goal per match, and that could prove costly against the league’s most confident attack. Expect tempo. Expect chances. Thun rarely play cagey.
Tactical Battle Analysis
Thun’s Front-Foot Fury
Thun’s identity is clear: outscore the opposition. They have struck 51 league goals in 23 games and scored in 21 of their last 24 matches. The front pairing of Labeau and Rastoder brings physicality and sharp movement, while Meichtry adds goals from midfield with six this term. When Thun build momentum, they do it quickly — their average of 17.79 shots per game shows a side that shoots early and often. They also generate 59.54 dangerous attacks per match. That is sustained pressure, not moments.
Lausanne’s Structure and Counter Threat
Lausanne see plenty of the ball, averaging 50% possession with a 79% pass accuracy. They attempt more total shots overall across competitions and have registered 579 in the league campaign, showing they are not shy. On the road, they have won two of their last six and drawn three. That resilience matters. Diakite and Butler-Oyedeji offer mobility, while Custodio brings control in midfield. But defensive discipline is under scrutiny — seven red cards across the campaign and 82 yellows suggest volatility.
Game-State Scenarios: Midfield Control Zone
This game may hinge on central areas. Bertone has seven league goals from deep and provides bite. Alongside Käit and Imeri, Thun can overload central channels and release runners early. If Lausanne sit compact and look to spring counters, they must weather early waves. Thun tend to strike around the 40-minute mark on average for their first goal — a pattern that shows patience rather than panic.
Key Moments to Watch
- Both Teams to Score Trend: Thun’s last six league matches have all seen both sides find the net. Clean sheets are rare in their fixtures.
- Discipline Pressure: Lausanne’s higher red and yellow card count could become decisive in a high-tempo environment.
- First Goal Impact: Thun have scored in 88% of their recent matches. If they land first, the crowd and momentum could snowball.
What Could Go Wrong?
Thun’s aggression leaves space. They concede 1.17 goals per game and have seen both teams score in every match of their current streak. If Lausanne strike early and control possession phases, frustration could creep in. But six straight wins, 52 points on the board and a relentless scoring rhythm suggest one thing: this is a side playing without fear. At 19:30 under the lights in Stockhorn Arena, the leaders get another chance to prove this is more than a fairytale.
Key Performance Indicators
- Six and Flying: Thun have won their last six Super League matches, scoring at least twice in five of them and hitting 20 goals across that run to surge 11 points clear at the summit.
- Goals Guaranteed: Both teams have scored in each of Thun’s last six league games, underlining how open their matches have become despite their dominant winning streak.
- Gap at the Top: After 23 matches, Thun sit on 52 points with 51 goals scored, while Lausanne are seventh on 29 points and 34 goals – a 23-point and 17-goal swing.
📊 Market Explainer
Match Result & BTTS
This market requires you to predict both the winner of the match and whether both teams will score at least one goal. It is a higher-yield alternative to the standard 1X2 market, often used when a dominant team has a vulnerable defence.
Correct Score
This involves predicting the exact final scoreline. While more volatile, it offers significant returns and can be analysed based on average scoring rates and defensive consistency between two specific sides.
🎯 Thun to Win & BTTS Rationale
Thun enter this fixture as the most dominant force in the Swiss Super League, currently enjoying an 11-point lead at the summit. Their momentum is driven by a relentless six-match winning streak where they have consistently outscored opponents. However, their tactical approach prioritises offensive pressure over defensive solidity. Despite winning their last six games, they have failed to keep a single clean sheet during this period, conceding 1.17 goals per game on average. This pattern of high-scoring victories makes the Win & Both Teams to Score market a compelling angle for the league leaders.
⚔️ Tactical Indicators
- Thun have won 6 consecutive league matches.
- Both teams have scored in 100% of Thun’s last 6 wins.
- Thun generate 17.79 shots per game on average.
Risk Factor: Thun’s defensive vulnerability relies on their attack outperforming opponents; an uncharacteristically clinical defensive display could negate the BTTS requirement.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Averaging 59.54 dangerous attacks per match, creating constant pressure on mid-table defences.
Suffered 7 red cards this season, struggling to maintain structure under sustained attacking tempo.
🎯 Thun 2-1 Lausanne Sport Rationale
Predicting a 2-1 scoreline aligns with the statistical trends observed in both camps. Thun score at an average rate of 2.13 goals per game, frequently netting twice in their recent winning run. Lausanne, while currently 23 points behind the leaders, are not toothless; they maintain a 79% pass accuracy and are not shy of shooting, having registered 579 attempts this season. Given that Thun have seen both teams score in their last six fixtures and Lausanne Sport have shown resilience on the road with recent draws, a narrow victory for the home side is the most plausible outcome. This scoreline accounts for Thun’s offensive superiority while acknowledging their defensive concessions.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
⊕What does ‘Thun to Win & BTTS’ mean?
This is a combined bet where Thun must win the match and Lausanne Sport must score at least one goal. Both conditions must be met for the selection to be successful.
⊕Why is the 2-1 scoreline plausible for this game?
Thun average over two goals per game but have conceded in each of their last six matches. A 2-1 score reflects their offensive dominance and consistent defensive vulnerability.
⊕How does the Correct Score market work?
The Correct Score market requires you to pick the exact final result of the match at the end of regulation time. It offers higher odds because of the precision required.
⊕What are the risk factors for a Thun victory?
Thun concede 1.17 goals per game on average. If Lausanne Sport manage to control possession and strike early, they could disrupt Thun’s attacking rhythm.
⊕What is the impact of Lausanne’s discipline?
Lausanne have received 7 red cards and 82 yellows this season. Poor discipline can lead to numerical disadvantages, making it harder to defend against Thun’s high attacking volume.
⊕Does Thun score early in matches?
Statistically, Thun tend to score their first goal around the 40-minute mark. This suggests they are patient and wear down opposition defences before finding a breakthrough.
⊕Is Lausanne Sport a threat on the road?
While inconsistent, Lausanne have won two and drawn three of their last six away games. Their ability to secure results on the road makes them a stubborn opponent.
⊕How many shots does Thun average per match?
Thun average 17.79 shots per game. This high volume of attempts underlines their front-foot tactical identity and explains their high scoring rate.
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