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Zulte Waregem crestZulte Waregem
v
Gent crestGent

Jupiler Pro League | Sat 10 Oct, 19:45

Zulte Waregem v Gent Stats

Data last updated: Sun 11 Oct 2026, 18:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gent arrives at Zulte Waregem in strong form, holding second place in the Jupiler Pro League with 19 points, compared to Zulte Waregem's sixth place and 11 points. Gent's defense is notably solid, conceding just 0.6 goals per game, while maintaining a potent attack scoring 1.8 goals per match. Zulte Waregem, meanwhile, has a more modest attack and a slightly leakier defense. The tactical battle will likely see Gent leverage their defensive discipline and attacking efficiency to control the game and seek a decisive victory.

BT4Y best bet

Gent to Win

  • Gent ranks 2nd with 19 points, Zulte Waregem 6th with 11 points.
  • Gent concedes only 0.6 goals per game, showing defensive strength.
  • Gent scores 1.8 goals per game, higher than Zulte Waregem's 1.6.
  • Gent has a 70% to win, with strong value at 2.35 .
  • Recent form favors Gent, who have earned 13 points recently versus Zulte Waregem's 7.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Gent's of 70% to win reflects their superior recent form, defensive solidity, and attacking efficiency compared to Zulte Waregem. The of 2.35 imply a 42.6% chance, offering a significant of 27.4%. Gent's ability to limit goals conceded while maintaining a high scoring rate underpins the in this pick. No data limitations affect the analysis, making this a solid value-backed selection with standard stake guidance.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance55% model chance vs 40% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Value Edge55% model chance vs 40% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Gent Defensive Record0.6 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Gent Offensive Output1.8 goals scored per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Gent's tactical discipline and recent form make them the clear favorites to secure victory. Their strong defensive record combined with effective attacking players provides a solid foundation for success against a mid-table Zulte Waregem side that has struggled to maintain consistent results.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Gent's blend of defensive resilience and attacking efficiency positions them well to capitalize on Zulte Waregem's vulnerabilities, making their win a logical outcome in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Gent to Win evidence

Gent ranks 2nd with 19 points, Zulte Waregem 6th with 11 points.

Gent concedes only 0.6 goals per game, showing defensive strength.

Gent scores 1.8 goals per game, higher than Zulte Waregem's 1.6.

Gent has a 70% to win, with strong value at 2.35 .

What To Watch In The Data

Gent to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 4.3 per game, indicating a tendency for high-scoring encounters.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals recently, suggesting this fixture could produce an open game with multiple goal opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Zulte Waregem1.6
Avg goals scored
Gent1.8
Zulte Waregem1.2
Avg goals conceded
Gent0.6
Zulte Waregem20%
BTTS rate
Gent60%
Zulte Waregem60%
Over 2.5 goals
Gent60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 82% vs implied 78% · edge +4.3 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Both teams have a 60% rate for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, but Zulte Waregem's low 20% BTTS rate contrasts with Gent's 60%, suggesting Gent's matches often see both teams scoring. This points to a game with attacking intent from Gent and potential defensive vulnerabilities for Zulte Waregem, supporting goal-scoring opportunities.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGent to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Gent Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The 55% for Gent to Win sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Gent have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for Zulte Waregem.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Zulte Waregem

LLWDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 2L
19 Sep 2026A Anderlecht0-3
13 Sep 2026H Charleroi0-1
06 Sep 2026A Kortrijk2-0
30 Aug 2026A KVC Westerlo2-2
22 Aug 2026H SK Beveren4-0

Gent

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 0L
18 Sep 2026H Standard Liege2-1
13 Sep 2026A Genk1-1
06 Sep 2026A Cercle Brugge3-0
03 Sep 2026H OH Leuven1-0
30 Aug 2026H Club Brugge KV2-1
Market aligned with main pickGent to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Gent Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Gent's recent form is superior, having collected 13 points compared to Zulte Waregem's 7 in their last matches. Gent's defensive solidity, conceding only 0.6 goals per game recently, contrasts with Zulte Waregem's 1.2, highlighting Gent's momentum and control heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Zulte Waregem Over 2.5
60%Gent Over 2.5
4.3H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 4.3 per game, indicating a tendency for high-scoring encounters. Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals recently, suggesting this fixture could produce an open game with multiple goal opportunities.

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