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Znicz Pruszków crestZnicz Pruszków
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Polonia Warszawa crestPolonia Warszawa

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 27 Jun, 09:00

Znicz Pruszków v Polonia Warszawa Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 04:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly clash sees Polonia Warszawa travel to face Znicz Pruszków in a match where Polonia arrives in stronger recent form, having secured 9 points compared to Znicz Pruszków's 3 in their latest outings. Both sides have shown tendencies for open games, with high rates of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score in recent matches. Polonia Warszawa's slightly better defensive record and more consistent goal scoring suggest they hold the upper hand in this encounter, though the friendly nature means tactical experimentation and rotation could influence the outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Polonia Warszawa to Win

  • Polonia Warszawa has won 9 points recently versus Znicz Pruszków's 3, showing better form.
  • Both teams have a 75% rate for over 2.5 goals, indicating open, attacking games.
  • Both teams to score rate is also 75%, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
  • Polonia Warszawa concedes fewer goals on average (1.5) than Znicz Pruszków (2.25).
  • H2H average goals stand at 2.11 over 9 matches, supporting a lively game environment.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Polonia Warszawa to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and more balanced defensive and attacking output. Both teams have shown a propensity for goals, but Polonia's ability to concede fewer goals while maintaining a higher scoring rate strengthens their winning prospects. The data quality is solid for both sides, supporting in this selection without price warnings or reduced stake advice.

Recent form advantagePolonia Warszawa with 9 points vs 3 for Znicz Pruszków
Strong positive
Goals scored per matchPolonia Warszawa 1.75 vs Znicz Pruszków 1.25
Positive
Goals conceded per matchPolonia Warszawa 1.5 vs Znicz Pruszków 2.25
Positive
Over 2.5 goals rateBoth teams at 75%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Polonia Warszawa's recent form and more solid defensive record make them the logical choice to win this friendly. Their ability to balance attack and defense better than Znicz Pruszków is supported by recent results and goal statistics, suggesting they should control the match and secure victory.

Main risk

The main risk lies in the friendly match context where team rotations and experimental tactics can reduce the reliability of form data and lead to unpredictable outcomes.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view

“Polonia Warszawa's consistent recent performances and defensive stability give them a clear edge in this friendly, where controlling the game tempo and minimizing errors will be key to securing the win.”

Key Data Signals

Polonia Warszawa to Win evidence

Polonia Warszawa has won 9 points recently versus Znicz Pruszków's 3, showing better form.

Both teams have a 75% rate for over 2.5 goals, indicating open, attacking games.

Polonia Warszawa concedes fewer goals on average (1.5) than Znicz Pruszków (2.25).

What To Watch In The Data

Polonia Warszawa to Win notes

  • Over the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.11, supporting the trend for open matches with multiple goals.
  • Both teams' recent 75% over 2.5 goals rate aligns with this, suggesting an attacking tempo and opportunities for both sides to score.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Znicz Pruszków1.25
Avg goals scored
Polonia Warszawa1.75
Znicz Pruszków2.25
Avg goals conceded
Polonia Warszawa1.5
Znicz Pruszków75%
BTTS rate
Polonia Warszawa75%
Znicz Pruszków75%
Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Warszawa75%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 83% · edge +1.1 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have a 75% rate for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, reflecting open games with attacking intent and defensive lapses. This suggests a lively match with multiple goal-scoring opportunities for both sides, consistent with recent friendly match trends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPolonia Warszawa to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 52% · edge +17.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Polonia Warszawa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The pricing for Polonia Warszawa to win aligns well with the model's 70% chance, indicating a fair value bet without significant price sensitivity. The lack of data means this is a watch-only angle, but the football read for Polonia's win is strong based on form and defensive solidity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Znicz Pruszków

LWLL
Last 51W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 3L
31 Jan 2026H Chojniczanka Chojnice2-3
24 Jan 2026H Pogoń Siedlce2-1
17 Jan 2026H Olimpia Grudziądz0-2
09 Jan 2026A Radomiak Radom1-3

Polonia Warszawa

WWLW
Last 53W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 1L
31 Jan 2026H Kudrivka2-1
28 Jan 2026H Aarhus Fremad3-2
25 Jan 2026H LNZ Cherkasy0-2
09 Jan 2026H Zawisza Bydgoszcz2-1
Market aligned with main pickPolonia Warszawa to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 52% · edge +17.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Polonia Warszawa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Polonia Warszawa's recent form is superior, with 9 points gained compared to Znicz Pruszków's 3. Their better goal difference and consistent scoring underpin in their ability to win, while Znicz Pruszków's struggles in defense and lower scoring reduce their chances.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Znicz Pruszków wins
4Draws
1Polonia Warszawa wins
14 Feb 2026Polonia Warszawa v Znicz Pruszków0-0
10 Aug 2025Znicz Pruszków v Polonia Warszawa1-4
29 Nov 2024Znicz Pruszków v Polonia Warszawa2-1
19 Jul 2024Polonia Warszawa v Znicz Pruszków0-1
01 Apr 2024Znicz Pruszków v Polonia Warszawa0-0
16 Sep 2023Polonia Warszawa v Znicz Pruszków0-1
Market aligned with main pickPolonia Warszawa to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 52% · edge +17.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The nine previous meetings between these teams have averaged just over two goals per game, indicating a history of competitive and moderately high-scoring encounters. While this supports the likelihood of goals, it only weakly supports a specific winner, making recent form and current season stats more decisive.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Znicz Pruszków4
Played
Polonia Warszawa4
Znicz Pruszków1.3
Avg goals for
Polonia Warszawa1.8
Znicz Pruszków2.3
Avg goals against
Polonia Warszawa1.5
Znicz Pruszków0
Clean sheets
Polonia Warszawa0
Market aligned with main pickPolonia Warszawa to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 52% · edge +17.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Polonia Warszawa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Seasonal data shows Polonia Warszawa scoring 1.75 goals per match and conceding 1.5, indicating a balanced but effective approach. Znicz Pruszków's higher goals conceded (2.25) and lower scoring (1.25) highlight defensive vulnerabilities and less attacking potency, supporting Polonia's winning prospects.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Znicz Pruszków Over 2.5
75%Polonia Warszawa Over 2.5
2.11H2H avg goals
Over the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.11, supporting the trend for open matches with multiple goals. Both teams' recent 75% over 2.5 goals rate aligns with this, suggesting an attacking tempo and opportunities for both sides to score.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.