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Akron crestAkron
v
Baltika crestBaltika

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 26 Jun, 15:30

Akron v Baltika Stats

Data last updated: Sat 27 Jun 2026, 00:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Akron hosts Baltika in a friendly encounter where Akron's recent form shows a stronger defensive record and more consistent point accumulation. Akron averages 1.8 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.4, indicating a solid defensive setup likely to control the game tempo. Baltika, with a lower scoring rate and similar defensive concessions, may struggle to break down Akron's structure. The friendly nature allows both teams to experiment, but Akron's home advantage and recent form suggest they will push for a win in this match.

BT4Y best bet

Akron to Win

  • Akron has a 65.3% to win, reflecting strong in their home performance.
  • Akron averages 1.8 goals per game while conceding only 0.4, highlighting defensive solidity.
  • Baltika's scoring and conceding rates are less impressive, with 1.2 goals for and 0.6 against per game.
  • Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate, suggesting a moderate chance of a low-scoring game favoring Akron's defense.
  • The H2H average goals of 2.9 indicate some scoring potential but balanced by Akron's defensive form.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Akron to win due to their superior recent form and defensive strength, conceding only 0.4 goals per game compared to Baltika's 0.6. Akron's higher goal-scoring average (1.8) combined with a solid defensive record supports a controlled match where Akron can capitalize on chances. The balanced BTTS rates and moderate Over 2.5 goals frequency suggest a game leaning towards Akron's ability to secure a win without a high-scoring shootout. Data quality is solid with no limitations affecting in these trends.

Recent FormAkron points 15 vs Baltika 11
Strong positive
Defensive RecordAkron concedes 0.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Goal ScoringAkron averages 1.8 goals per game
Positive
BTTS RateBoth teams at 40%
Neutral
H2H Average Goals2.9 goals per match
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Akron's recent defensive resilience and higher scoring rate make them the logical choice to win this friendly against Baltika. Their ability to limit goals conceded while maintaining attacking threat provides a tactical edge supported by recent form data. Baltika's lower output and similar defensive concessions suggest Akron can control the match and secure victory.

Main risk

The main risk is the friendly match context, which can lead to unpredictable line-ups and experimental tactics that might reduce Akron's usual defensive control and scoring efficiency.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Akron's solid defensive foundation combined with their effective attack gives them a clear advantage in this friendly, making them the favored side to claim victory.”

Key Data Signals

Akron to Win evidence

Akron has a 65.3% to win, reflecting strong in their home performance.

Akron averages 1.8 goals per game while conceding only 0.4, highlighting defensive solidity.

Baltika's scoring and conceding rates are less impressive, with 1.2 goals for and 0.6 against per game.

Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate, suggesting a moderate chance of a low-scoring game favoring Akron's defense.

What To Watch In The Data

Akron to Win notes

  • The last ten head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, suggesting a moderately open game historically.
  • Combined with both teams' 40% Over 2.5 goals rate, this indicates potential for goals but balanced by Akron's defensive strength, pointing to a controlled tempo with selective attacking bursts.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Akron1.8
Avg goals scored
Baltika1.8
Akron0.4
Avg goals conceded
Baltika0.6
Akron40%
BTTS rate
Baltika40%
Akron40%
Over 2.5 goals
Baltika60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 54% · edge +5.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.84
Check odds @ 1.84
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.93
Check odds @ 1.93
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.99
Check odds @ 2.99
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate, indicating a moderate likelihood of both teams scoring. Akron's strong defense and Baltika's lower scoring average suggest a controlled goals environment, favoring a low-scoring game with Akron likely to score while limiting Baltika's chances.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Akron

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 1L
20 Feb 2026A Ural1-0
10 Feb 2026H Dalian Zhixing2-1
05 Feb 2026H Hangzhou Greentown3-1
28 Jan 2026H Dinamo Samarqand1-0
28 Jan 2026H Rodina Moskva II2-0

Baltika

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 1L
26 Jun 2026H Volga Ulyanovsk3-0
22 Feb 2026A Krylia Sovetov1-0
18 Feb 2026H Akhmat2-2
18 Feb 2026H Kaisar2-1
12 Feb 2026H Fakel1-0
Market aligned with main pickAkron to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 18% · edge +34.4 pts
5.55
Check odds @ 5.55
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Akron Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
3.42
Check odds @ 3.42
Akron's recent form is strong, accumulating 15 points with a solid defensive record conceding only 0.4 goals per game. Baltika's 11 points and slightly higher goals conceded reflect less consistency. This form advantage supports Akron's likelihood to control the match and secure a win.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAkron to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 18% · edge +34.4 pts
5.55
Check odds @ 5.55
Load more odds for this section
Akron Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
3.42
Check odds @ 3.42
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.84
Check odds @ 1.84
The pricing for Akron to win reflects a of 65.3%, indicating a confident but not overwhelming expectation of victory. Without explicit , this suggests a price-sensitive market where Akron's home form and defensive solidity underpin the value, though the friendly nature tempers certainty.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Akron wins
2Draws
6Baltika wins
27 Apr 2026Baltika v Akron0-1
01 Oct 2025Baltika v Akron3-0
31 Aug 2025Akron v Baltika0-2
29 Jul 2025Akron v Baltika2-1
03 Feb 2024Baltika v Akron5-3
19 Mar 2023Baltika v Akron1-1
Market aligned with main pickAkron to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 18% · edge +34.4 pts
5.55
Check odds @ 5.55
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.84
Check odds @ 1.84
The ten previous meetings averaging 2.9 goals per game provide a context of moderately open encounters. However, Akron's current defensive form and home advantage suggest they can limit Baltika's scoring opportunities, making the historical goal average a background factor rather than a decisive influence.
Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Akron6
Played
Baltika9
Akron1.7
Avg goals for
Baltika1.6
Akron0.8
Avg goals against
Baltika0.7
Akron3
Clean sheets
Baltika6
Market aligned with main pickAkron to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 18% · edge +34.4 pts
5.55
Check odds @ 5.55
Load more odds for this section
Akron Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
3.42
Check odds @ 3.42
Season statistics show Akron's attack is more productive and defense more robust than Baltika's, with 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match compared to Baltika's 1.2 and 0.6 respectively. This balance favors Akron in controlling both phases of play.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Akron Over 2.5
60%Baltika Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The last ten head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, suggesting a moderately open game historically. Combined with both teams' 40% Over 2.5 goals rate, this indicates potential for goals but balanced by Akron's defensive strength, pointing to a controlled tempo with selective attacking bursts.

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