Football Stats Hub

Zlin crestZlin
v
Hanácká crestHanácká

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 27 Jun, 08:00

Zlin v Hanácká Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 04:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly clash between Zlin and Hanácká offers a tactical battle with both sides showing moderate recent scoring form. Zlin averages 1.75 goals scored and concedes 1 per game, while Hanácká scores 2 and also concedes 1 on average. Both teams have relatively low over 2.5 goals rates, suggesting a cautious approach typical of preseason matches where defensive shape and fitness are prioritized over open attacking play. The fixture's stakes are low, but both sides will seek to build rhythm, likely resulting in a controlled tempo and fewer goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Zlin has a 50% rate of matches finishing under 2.5 goals recently.
  • Hanácká's matches have only a 20% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating low scoring games.
  • Both teams concede around 1 goal per game, supporting a tighter defensive profile.
  • Recent form points totals are close, reflecting balanced competitiveness without high scoring.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.67 over three matches, just under the 2.5 threshold.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 62.4% probability, reflecting the teams' recent low scoring trends and defensive solidity. Both sides show moderate goal output and concede around one goal per game, with Hanácká especially involved in fewer high-scoring matches. The head-to-head average of 2.67 goals over three games is close to the threshold, but recent form and scoring rates suggest a controlled game with limited goal chances. No price warnings apply, making this a standard pick based on balanced defensive and attacking data.

Model Probability62.4% chance for Under 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Recent Goals ScoredZlin 1.75, Hanácká 2 goals per game
Positive
Recent Goals ConcededBoth teams concede about 1 goal per game
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateZlin 50%, Hanácká 20%
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.67 goals per match over 3 games
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible selection given both teams' moderate scoring and conceding rates. The recent form data shows a tendency toward tighter matches, and the balanced points totals suggest neither side is likely to push aggressively for goals. This match should feature controlled attacking efforts and disciplined defensive organization, making fewer goals the most probable outcome.

Main risk

The main risk is the small head-to-head sample size and the possibility of an open game in a friendly setting, which could increase goal chances unexpectedly.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Under 2.5 Goals rationale

“This fixture looks set for a measured contest with both Zlin and Hanácká demonstrating solid defensive structures and moderate attacking output. The low over 2.5 goals rates and balanced recent form point to a game where cautious play will limit scoring opportunities.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Zlin has a 50% rate of matches finishing under 2.5 goals recently.

Both teams concede around 1 goal per game, supporting a tighter defensive profile.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last three head-to-head matches average 2.67 goals, slightly below the 2.5 threshold, indicating a trend toward moderate scoring.
  • Over the recent sample, the tempo and chance quality appear balanced, with no indication of consistently high-scoring encounters, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals trend for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Zlin1.75
Avg goals scored
Hanácká2
Zlin1
Avg goals conceded
Hanácká1
Zlin50%
BTTS rate
Hanácká40%
Zlin50%
Over 2.5 goals
Hanácká20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 43% · edge +19.8 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Both teams have moderate goals scored and conceded averages, with Zlin scoring 1.75 and Hanácká 2 per game while conceding about 1 each. The relatively low BTTS rates, especially Hanácká's 40%, and Zlin's 50%, suggest that both sides are capable of defensive discipline, supporting the likelihood of fewer goals and a cautious attacking approach.
Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Zlin4
Played
Hanácká6
Zlin1.8
Avg goals for
Hanácká1.8
Zlin1
Avg goals against
Hanácká1
Zlin2
Clean sheets
Hanácká1
Best odds for this sectionZlin Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 56% vs implied 53% · edge +2.4 pts
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Load more odds for this section
Zlin to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Hanácká Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Hanácká to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Season-long data indicates both teams maintain moderate goal-scoring and conceding averages, reinforcing a profile of balanced attack and defense. This statistical background supports the expectation of a low-scoring game, as neither side exhibits prolific offensive output or defensive frailty that would push the total goals above 2.5.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Zlin

DWWD
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
20 Jun 2026H Petržalka3-3
27 Mar 2026H Vysočina Jihlava3-1
20 Jan 2026H Vojvodina1-0
17 Jan 2026H FC BW Linz0-0

Hanácká

DWLLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
21 Feb 2026H Baník Ostrava II1-1
11 Feb 2026H Karviná II8-1
07 Feb 2026A Púchov0-1
24 Jan 2026H Unie Hlubina0-2
10 Jan 2026H Považská Bystrica1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 69% · edge +5.2 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Zlin Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Zlin to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Hanácká Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Hanácká to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Recent form shows Zlin with 8 points and Hanácká with 7, reflecting balanced competitiveness. Both teams have low over 2.5 goals rates recently, with Hanácká especially involved in fewer high-scoring games. This form data supports a controlled match tempo with defensive focus, consistent with the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionZlin Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 56% vs implied 53% · edge +2.4 pts
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Load more odds for this section
Zlin to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Hanácká Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Hanácká to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The Under 2.5 Goals market aligns well with the model's 62.4% probability, indicating a reasonable level without strong value pressure. The likely reflect the balanced defensive and offensive profiles, making this a price-sensitive but justifiable selection based on recent scoring trends and match context.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Zlin wins
0Draws
0Hanácká wins
21 Feb 2025Zlin v Hanácká1-0
22 Jan 2022Zlin v Hanácká2-0
16 May 2020Zlin v Hanácká4-1
Best odds for this sectionZlin to WinBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 44% · edge +1.8 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Hanácká to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The head-to-head sample of three matches shows an average of 2.67 goals per game, which is close to but just under the 2.5 goals line. While this is a small sample, it suggests that previous encounters have been moderately scored affairs, providing some background support for the Under 2.5 Goals pick without being definitive.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Zlin Over 2.5
20%Hanácká Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
The last three head-to-head matches average 2.67 goals, slightly below the 2.5 threshold, indicating a trend toward moderate scoring. Over the recent sample, the tempo and chance quality appear balanced, with no indication of consistently high-scoring encounters, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals trend for this fixture.

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