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Zbrojovka Brno crestZbrojovka Brno
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Prostějov crestProstějov

Friendlies Clubs | Tue 23 Jun, 16:00

Zbrojovka Brno v Prostějov Stats

Data last updated: Mon 22 Jun 2026, 03:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Zbrojovka Brno hosts Prostějov in a friendly match that offers both teams a chance to sharpen their squads ahead of the competitive season. Zbrojovka Brno comes into this fixture with stronger recent form, having accumulated 10 points in their latest matches compared to Prostějov's 3 points. The home side's attack has been more productive, averaging 2.6 goals per game, while their defense concedes fewer goals on average. Prostějov, despite showing a high rate of games with over 2.5 goals, has struggled defensively, conceding 2.4 goals per match. This match will test Zbrojovka Brno's ability to control the game and capitalize on their offensive edge.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Zbrojovka Brno to Win

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 80%, above the 74% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Zbrojovka Brno has earned 10 points recently versus Prostějov's 3, indicating better form.
  • Zbrojovka Brno scores an average of 2.6 goals per game, showing strong attacking potential.
  • Prostějov concedes 2.4 goals per match, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches with BTTS, suggesting open play but Zbrojovka Brno's defense is comparatively tighter.
Price warning

Zbrojovka Brno to Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 80% while the model sits nearer 74% (-6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Prostějov Draw No Bet shows a +25.1 pts edge at 5.9.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model favors Zbrojovka Brno to win with a 74% chance based on their superior recent form and goal-scoring efficiency. Their ability to score 2.6 goals per game combined with a more solid defense than Prostějov supports this . Prostějov's defensive frailties and lower points tally further tilt the balance toward the home side. No price warnings are present, making this a straightforward selection based on current data and tactical context.

Price / value74% model chance vs 80% implied (-6 pts)
Negative
Recent FormZbrojovka Brno 10 points vs Prostějov 3 points
Strong positive
Goal ScoringZbrojovka Brno 2.6 goals per game
Strong positive
Defensive RecordProstějov concedes 2.4 goals per game
Positive
BTTS RateBoth teams 80% BTTS rate
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Zbrojovka Brno's recent form and stronger defensive record make them the logical choice to win this friendly. Their ability to convert chances at home contrasts with Prostějov's defensive struggles and limited points haul, suggesting a controlled home victory.

Main risk

The main risk is Prostějov's tendency for high-scoring games which could lead to unexpected goals and pressure on Zbrojovka Brno's defense.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Zbrojovka Brno's balance of attacking efficiency and defensive stability gives them a clear edge in this matchup, especially given Prostějov's defensive lapses and inconsistent form.”

Key Data Signals

Zbrojovka Brno to Win evidence

Zbrojovka Brno has earned 10 points recently versus Prostějov's 3, indicating better form.

Zbrojovka Brno scores an average of 2.6 goals per game, showing strong attacking potential.

Prostějov concedes 2.4 goals per match, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches with BTTS, suggesting open play but Zbrojovka Brno's defense is comparatively tighter.

What To Watch In The Data

Zbrojovka Brno to Win notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2.4, indicating moderately open matches.
  • Both teams' recent high BTTS and over 2.5 goals rates suggest this friendly could see multiple goals, but Zbrojovka Brno's defensive edge may keep the scoreline controlled.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Zbrojovka Brno2.6
Avg goals scored
Prostějov1
Zbrojovka Brno1.2
Avg goals conceded
Prostějov2.4
Zbrojovka Brno80%
BTTS rate
Prostějov80%
Zbrojovka Brno60%
Over 2.5 goals
Prostějov80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 79% · edge +2.2 pts
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting open attacking play. However, Zbrojovka Brno's slightly lower over 2.5 goals rate and better defensive record suggest they can control the game tempo and limit Prostějov's scoring opportunities while still scoring themselves.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickZbrojovka Brno to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Zbrojovka Brno Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The for Zbrojovka Brno to win align well with the model's 74% probability, indicating a solid value pick without price sensitivity. The home side's superior recent form and goal metrics justify backing them confidently in this friendly.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Zbrojovka Brno

WLWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 2L
27 Mar 2026H Teplice3-1
19 Feb 2026A Sarpsborg 08 FF0-2
19 Feb 2026H AC Horsens2-1
14 Feb 2026H Polessya1-1
05 Feb 2026H FC Midtjylland7-1

Prostějov

LLLLW
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 4L
21 Feb 2026A Hodonín1-2
13 Feb 2026A Milsami Orhei1-3
06 Feb 2026H Floridsdorfer AC0-1
30 Jan 2026A Polonia Bytom1-5
17 Jan 2026H Slovácko II2-1
Market aligned with main pickZbrojovka Brno to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Zbrojovka Brno Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Zbrojovka Brno's recent accumulation of 10 points and 2.6 goals per game contrasts sharply with Prostějov's 3 points and 1 goal per game, highlighting a clear momentum advantage for the home side heading into this friendly.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Zbrojovka Brno wins
2Draws
5Prostějov wins
20 Mar 2026Prostějov v Zbrojovka Brno1-2
16 Aug 2025Zbrojovka Brno v Prostějov1-2
16 Apr 2025Zbrojovka Brno v Prostějov1-1
02 Oct 2024Prostějov v Zbrojovka Brno3-1
06 Apr 2024Zbrojovka Brno v Prostějov1-2
26 Aug 2023Prostějov v Zbrojovka Brno0-1
Market aligned with main pickZbrojovka Brno to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, reflecting balanced encounters. While this supports the possibility of goals, it only weakly supports the home win pick, placing more emphasis on current form and defensive solidity.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Zbrojovka Brno9
Played
Prostějov7
Zbrojovka Brno2.3
Avg goals for
Prostějov1.3
Zbrojovka Brno1
Avg goals against
Prostějov2.3
Zbrojovka Brno1
Clean sheets
Prostějov1
Market aligned with main pickZbrojovka Brno to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Zbrojovka Brno Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Season-long statistics show Zbrojovka Brno maintains a balanced attack and defense, scoring 2.6 goals and conceding 1.2 per game, supporting their ability to secure wins. Prostějov's higher goals conceded per match points to defensive weaknesses that could be exploited.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Zbrojovka Brno Over 2.5
80%Prostějov Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2.4, indicating moderately open matches. Both teams' recent high BTTS and over 2.5 goals rates suggest this friendly could see multiple goals, but Zbrojovka Brno's defensive edge may keep the scoreline controlled.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.