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Annan Athletic crestAnnan Athletic
v
Johnstone Burgh crestJohnstone Burgh

Friendlies Clubs | Tue 23 Jun, 19:30

Annan Athletic v Johnstone Burgh Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 12:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Annan Athletic and Johnstone Burgh meet in a friendly fixture that offers both sides a chance to test their squads ahead of the competitive season. With limited recent form data available for both teams, the match is expected to be a cautious affair as each side focuses on defensive organization and fitness. The absence of detailed player and tactical information suggests a low-tempo game where both teams may prioritize structure over attacking risk, increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Limited recent form data suggests cautious play from both teams
  • Friendlies often see defensive setups prioritized over attacking
  • Both teams have thin data samples, indicating uncertainty in attacking output
  • No historical head-to-head data to suggest high-scoring trends
  • Model indicates a slight edge for Under 2.5 Goals with 54% chance

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 54% probability, reflecting the cautious nature typical of friendly matches and the limited attacking data available for both teams. The thin data samples for Annan Athletic and Johnstone Burgh mean that defensive solidity and match tempo are likely to dominate, reducing goal-scoring opportunities. While the price does not show clear value, the football context supports a low-scoring game, making Under 2.5 Goals a reasonable selection with standard stake guidance.

Match TypeFriendly match with low stakes
Positive
Data QualityLimited data for both teams
Neutral
Model Probability54% chance for Under 2.5 Goals
Positive
Recent Form DataUnavailable, suggesting cautious play
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible pick given the friendly status of the match and the lack of recent attacking data for both sides. The tactical approach is likely to be conservative, focusing on defensive shape and fitness rather than open attacking play, which supports a low-scoring outcome.

Main risk

The main risk is the very limited data available for both teams, which increases uncertainty around attacking potential and defensive stability in this fixture.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tempo and defensive caution

“Given the friendly nature and scarce data on both teams, a cautious, low-tempo game is expected, making Under 2.5 Goals the most logical market to consider here.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Limited recent form data suggests cautious play from both teams

Friendlies often see defensive setups prioritized over attacking

Both teams have thin data samples, indicating uncertainty in attacking output

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • No historical head-to-head or recent match trends exist between these teams, and no goal-scoring patterns can be derived.
  • The lack of data and friendly status suggest a slower tempo and fewer goal opportunities, aligning with a trend towards Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Annan Athletic Over 2.5
-Johnstone Burgh Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
No historical head-to-head or recent match trends exist between these teams, and no goal-scoring patterns can be derived. The lack of data and friendly status suggest a slower tempo and fewer goal opportunities, aligning with a trend towards Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Annan Athletic

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Annan Athletic yet.

Johnstone Burgh

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Johnstone Burgh yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 50% · edge +21 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Johnstone Burgh to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Annan Athletic to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Recent form data is absent for both teams, which typically indicates a lack of competitive matches or incomplete records. This absence suggests that both sides may approach the game conservatively, focusing on fitness and defensive structure rather than offensive output, supporting Under 2.5 Goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Annan Athletic-
Avg goals scored
Johnstone Burgh-
Annan Athletic-
Avg goals conceded
Johnstone Burgh-
Annan Athletic-
BTTS rate
Johnstone Burgh-
Annan Athletic-
Over 2.5 goals
Johnstone Burgh-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 38% · edge +15.8 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
With no available recent goal or BTTS data for either team, the expectation leans towards a low-scoring match. Friendlies often see teams experiment with lineups and prioritize defensive organization, which typically suppresses goal totals and reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionJohnstone Burgh to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 30% · edge +10.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Annan Athletic to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced without clear data, but the model's 54% probability suggests a mild preference for a low-scoring game. This aligns with the typical cautious approach in friendlies, though the absence of strong value means the bet should be approached with standard stakes and awareness of uncertainty.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Annan Athletic wins
0Draws
0Johnstone Burgh wins
Best odds for this sectionJohnstone Burgh to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 30% · edge +10.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Annan Athletic to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
There are no previous meetings between Annan Athletic and Johnstone Burgh to inform expectations. This absence of head-to-head data means that current tactical approaches and match context carry more weight in predicting a low-scoring outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Annan Athletic1
Played
Johnstone Burgh1
Annan Athletic4
Avg goals for
Johnstone Burgh1
Annan Athletic1
Avg goals against
Johnstone Burgh4
Annan Athletic0
Clean sheets
Johnstone Burgh0
Best odds for this sectionJohnstone Burgh to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 30% · edge +10.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Annan Athletic to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Season-long attacking and defensive statistics are not available, limiting insights into scoring trends. However, the friendly context and limited data imply that neither team is likely to produce a high number of goals, consistent with a low-scoring match expectation.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.