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Yeovil Town crestYeovil Town
v
Worthing crestWorthing

National League | Tue 29 Sep, 19:45

Yeovil Town v Worthing Stats

Data last updated: Mon 28 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Yeovil Town and Worthing meet in a National League clash where both sides have shown attacking intent this season. Yeovil Town, positioned sixth, have scored and conceded at a rate of 1.8 goals per game, while Worthing, ninth, boast a slightly better defensive record but a higher scoring rate. Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open games with offensive opportunities. This fixture promises a lively encounter with both sides capable of contributing to a high-scoring contest under competitive league conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Yeovil Town and Worthing both average around 1.8 and 2 goals scored per game respectively.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 3.5 goals per game, supporting a high-scoring trend.
  • Yeovil Town and Worthing rank closely in the table, suggesting a competitive match with attacking impetus.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a positive value bet with a 54.1% chance against an implied market chance of 44.4%, offering a 9.7% . Both teams demonstrate strong attacking output and a high frequency of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, supported by a 3.5 average goals per game in their recent head-to-head clashes. The combination of offensive tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities underpins the likelihood of a goal-rich game, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection at current .

Model Chance54.1% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+9.7 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance54.1% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+9.7 pts)
Positive
Value Edge54.1% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+9.7 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate (Both Teams)80%
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.5 goals
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Yeovil Town and Worthing have shown strong offensive form and a tendency for high-scoring matches. The data supports a lively contest with multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a sensible choice for bettors seeking excitement and value.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“Both teams have demonstrated attacking prowess and a propensity for games with multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a logical pick given their recent performances and head-to-head history.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Yeovil Town and Worthing both average around 1.8 and 2 goals scored per game respectively.

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.

Head-to-head meetings average 3.5 goals per game, supporting a high-scoring trend.

Yeovil Town and Worthing rank closely in the table, suggesting a competitive match with attacking impetus.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored reached 3.5, highlighting a trend toward high-scoring encounters.
  • This recent sample suggests a sustained tempo and attacking intent from both sides, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Yeovil Town1.8
Avg goals scored
Worthing2
Yeovil Town1.8
Avg goals conceded
Worthing1.2
Yeovil Town80%
BTTS rate
Worthing80%
Yeovil Town60%
Over 2.5 goals
Worthing80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.7 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both Yeovil Town and Worthing have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season, complemented by high BTTS rates. Their head-to-head average of 3.5 goals per match further reinforces the expectation of multiple goals and both teams finding the net in this encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionWorthing Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Worthing to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Yeovil Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Yeovil Town to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The 54.1% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 44.4% implied by the current price (+9.7 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Yeovil Town and 80% for Worthing, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Yeovil Town

WWDLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
26 Sep 2026A Kidderminster Harriers1-0
18 Sep 2026H Solihull Moors4-1
15 Sep 2026A Aldershot Town1-1
12 Sep 2026H AFC Fylde1-4
05 Sep 2026A Southend2-3

Worthing

WWWDD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
26 Sep 2026H FC Halifax Town2-1
19 Sep 2026A Hartlepool3-1
15 Sep 2026H AFC Hornchurch1-0
12 Sep 2026H Barrow2-2
05 Sep 2026A AFC Fylde2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Worthing Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Worthing to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Yeovil Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Yeovil Town to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Recent form shows Yeovil Town averaging 1.8 goals per game and Worthing 2 goals, with both sides frequently involved in matches surpassing 2.5 goals. This attacking momentum supports the expectation of a high-scoring fixture consistent with the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Yeovil Town Over 2.5
80%Worthing Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored reached 3.5, highlighting a trend toward high-scoring encounters. This recent sample suggests a sustained tempo and attacking intent from both sides, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel for this fixture.

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