Football Stats Hub

Woking crestWoking
v
Solihull Moors crestSolihull Moors

National League | Tue 29 Sep, 19:45

Woking v Solihull Moors Stats

Data last updated: Mon 28 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Woking hosts Solihull Moors in a National League clash where Woking's recent form and league standing suggest a stronger position. Woking has accumulated 12 points and sits 15th, while Solihull Moors languish near the bottom with just 4 points. Woking's attack has been more productive, averaging 2.2 goals per game compared to Solihull Moors' 0.8, and their defense concedes fewer goals on average. The match presents an opportunity for Woking to capitalize on home advantage and recent momentum, while Solihull Moors face pressure to improve results away from home.

BT4Y best bet

Woking to Win

  • Woking has a 74% to win, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 54%.
  • Woking averages 2.2 goals per game, showing stronger attacking output than Solihull Moors' 0.8 goals.
  • Solihull Moors concede twice as many goals on average as Woking, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, but Woking's better defense may limit Solihull Moors' scoring chances.
  • Woking sits 15th with 12 points, while Solihull Moors are 23rd with 4 points, reflecting form and league pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Woking to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, stronger attack, and more resilient defense compared to Solihull Moors. Woking's home advantage and league position further support this outlook. The market price offers positive value, as the implied chance is significantly lower than the model's estimate, making Woking to Win an attractive bet with standard stake guidance.

Model Win Probability74%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance69.6% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Attack StrengthWoking 2.2 goals/game vs Solihull Moors 0.8
Strong positive
Defensive RecordWoking concedes 1 goal/game vs Solihull Moors 2
Positive
League PositionWoking 15th vs Solihull Moors 23rd
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Woking's superior attacking output and more stable defense give them a clear edge in this fixture. Their home form and league standing reinforce the likelihood of a win, making Woking to Win a confident selection based on both tactical and statistical evidence.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Woking's consistent goal scoring and defensive solidity create a strong foundation for victory, especially against a Solihull Moors side struggling to find form and goals. This matchup favors Woking's balanced approach and home advantage.”

Key Data Signals

Woking to Win evidence

Woking has a 74% to win, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 54%.

Woking averages 2.2 goals per game, showing stronger attacking output than Solihull Moors' 0.8 goals.

Solihull Moors concede twice as many goals on average as Woking, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, but Woking's better defense may limit Solihull Moors' scoring chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Woking to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Woking's recent matches show a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, while Solihull Moors have a 60% rate, suggesting potential for goals but with Woking's defense likely to keep totals moderate.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Woking2.2
Avg goals scored
Solihull Moors0.8
Woking1
Avg goals conceded
Solihull Moors2
Woking60%
BTTS rate
Solihull Moors60%
Woking40%
Over 2.5 goals
Solihull Moors60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +4.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have a 60% rate of both teams scoring, but Woking's stronger defense, conceding only 1 goal per game compared to Solihull Moors' 2, suggests a lower risk of BTTS. Woking's higher scoring average supports the potential for goals, but defensive solidity may limit Solihull Moors' scoring opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Woking

WDDWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
26 Sep 2026A Carlisle5-2
19 Sep 2026H Kidderminster Harriers0-0
15 Sep 2026A Boston United1-1
12 Sep 2026H Altrincham5-1
05 Sep 2026A Hartlepool0-1

Solihull Moors

LLWLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 8L
26 Sep 2026H Boreham Wood0-3
18 Sep 2026A Yeovil Town1-4
15 Sep 2026H Barrow1-0
12 Sep 2026H Aldershot Town1-2
05 Sep 2026A Gateshead1-1
Market aligned with main pickWoking to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Woking Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Woking's recent form shows 8 points gained with a solid goal difference, contrasting with Solihull Moors' 4 points and weaker attack. This momentum difference favors Woking's and tactical execution, reinforcing their chances to secure a win in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWoking to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Woking Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 69.6% for Woking to Win sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Woking have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Solihull Moors.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Woking Over 2.5
60%Solihull Moors Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating moderate scoring. Woking's recent matches show a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, while Solihull Moors have a 60% rate, suggesting potential for goals but with Woking's defense likely to keep totals moderate.

Loading deeper match data…