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West Ham crestWest Ham
v
Everton crestEverton

Premier League | Sat 25 Apr, 15:00

West Ham v Everton Stats

Data last updated: Sat 06 Jun 2026, 13:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

West Ham face Everton in Premier League on Sat 25 Apr, 15:00. West Ham home games are currently seeing a high volume of goals, with 14 scored in their last four at the London Stadium.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Rationale: Over 2

  • At 20/23, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 42%.
  • Combined with Everton's recent trend of high-scoring matches and their average of 1.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for West Ham and 60% for Everton, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Everton are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with West Ham at 1.2.
  • BTTS rates of 20% for West Ham and 40% for Everton show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Price warning

Rationale: Over 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 54% while the model sits nearer 42% (-11.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +19.2 pts edge at 3.25.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 42% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for West Ham and 60% for Everton, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Combined with Everton's recent trend of high-scoring matches and their average of 1.

Model chance vs price42% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Negative
The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for West Ham.Visible data support
Positive
Everton are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6.Visible data support
Positive
Combined with Everton's recent trend of high-scoring matches.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because combined with Everton's recent trend of high-scoring matches and their average of 1.83 goals per game, an open contest with at least three goals is expected. The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for West Ham and 60% for Everton, so the goals angle is not just a price call. There’s a sense that West Ham are becoming a team you can’t relax against — not flawless, not overwhelming, but persistent and increasingly bold.

Main risk

There’s a sense that West Ham are becoming a team you can’t relax against — not flawless, not overwhelming, but persistent and increasingly bold.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Combined with Everton's recent trend of high-scoring matches and their average of 1.

The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for West Ham and 60% for Everton, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Everton are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with West Ham at 1.2.

BTTS rates of 20% for West Ham and 40% for Everton show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

West Ham1.2
Avg goals scored
Everton1.6
West Ham0.6
Avg goals conceded
Everton1.2
West Ham20%
BTTS rate
Everton40%
West Ham20%
Over 2.5 goals
Everton60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 20% · edge +22.3 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
7
Check odds @ 7
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 24%
11
Check odds @ 11
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 20% · edge +22.3 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
West Ham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
West Ham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Everton to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

West Ham4.6
Avg corners for
Everton3.2
West Ham11.2
Avg total corners
Everton8.8
West Ham2
Avg yellow cards
Everton0.8
West Ham9.2
Avg shots
Everton11.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 49% vs implied 46% · edge +3.7 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

West Ham

DWLDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
20 Apr 2026A Crystal Palace0-0
10 Apr 2026H Wolves4-0
22 Mar 2026A Aston Villa0-2
14 Mar 2026H Manchester City1-1
04 Mar 2026A Fulham1-0

Everton

LDWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
19 Apr 2026H Liverpool1-2
11 Apr 2026A Brentford2-2
21 Mar 2026H Chelsea3-0
14 Mar 2026A Arsenal0-2
03 Mar 2026H Burnley2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 78% · edge -2.2 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
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West Ham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
West Ham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Everton to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5West Ham wins
3Draws
2Everton wins
29 Sep 2025Everton v West Ham1-1
30 Jul 2025West Ham v Everton2-1
15 Mar 2025Everton v West Ham1-1
09 Nov 2024West Ham v Everton0-0
02 Mar 2024Everton v West Ham1-3
29 Oct 2023West Ham v Everton0-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 20% · edge +22.3 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
West Ham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Everton to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier League

West Ham38
Played
Everton38
West Ham1.2
Avg goals for
Everton1.2
West Ham1.7
Avg goals against
Everton1.3
West Ham7
Clean sheets
Everton11
Best odds for this sectionWest Ham to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 44% · edge +3.7 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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West Ham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Everton to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Season data supports West Ham to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
13Everton4938131015-3
18West Ham393810919-19
West Ham sit in position 18, while Everton sit in position 13, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%West Ham Over 2.5
60%Everton Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: West Ham sit at 20% and Everton sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.