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West Ham crestWest Ham
v
Charlton crestCharlton

Championship | Sat 22 Aug, 15:00

West Ham v Charlton Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

West Ham host Charlton in a Championship clash where attacking firepower meets defensive vulnerability. West Ham have scored five goals in their first two matches but have struggled defensively, conceding three and losing a two-goal lead at Burnley. Charlton arrive with momentum, having scored five goals themselves in two games and secured a win over Derby County. The addition of Joel Piroe, a prolific Championship scorer, boosts West Ham's attacking options, while Charlton's ability to score despite their poor away record suggests a lively contest at the London Stadium with goals likely at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

West Ham to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • West Ham have scored 5 goals in their opening two matches but kept only one clean sheet in seven games.
  • Charlton have also scored 5 goals in their first two fixtures, including a win against Derby County.
  • Joel Piroe, with 73 Championship goals since 2022-23, is available to make his West Ham debut.
  • Charlton's poor away record last season contrasts with their current scoring form, making them a threat despite defensive concerns.
  • West Ham's defensive lapses and Charlton's scoring form support a high-scoring home win with both teams scoring.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model recognizes West Ham's strong attacking potential combined with Charlton's ability to score, making the 'Win & Both Teams to Score' selection logical. However, the current market price is short compared to the model's estimated chance, indicating a price-sensitive pick rather than clear value. Reduced staking or waiting for better is advised. the football read remains compelling due to West Ham's attacking depth, including Joel Piroe's arrival, and Charlton's early-season scoring form. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides increase the likelihood of goals at both ends.

West Ham attack potencyHigh scoring with 5 goals in 2 games
Strong positive
Charlton scoring form5 goals in 2 games despite away struggles
Positive
Defensive stabilityWest Ham kept 1 clean sheet in 7 matches
Positive
Market price vs model chancePrice implied chance 33.3% vs model 21.4%
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

West Ham's attacking depth, enhanced by Joel Piroe's arrival, should secure a home win, but their defensive fragility combined with Charlton's scoring form suggests both teams will find the net. This bet captures the tactical battle between West Ham's offensive strength and Charlton's resilience, supported by early-season goal data.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Combined match outcome and goals

“West Ham's potent frontline and Charlton's early scoring rhythm set the stage for a dynamic match where both sides are likely to score, making the combined win and BTTS market a fitting choice despite defensive concerns.”

Key Data Signals

West Ham to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

West Ham have scored 5 goals in their opening two matches but kept only one clean sheet in seven games.

Charlton have also scored 5 goals in their first two fixtures, including a win against Derby County.

Joel Piroe, with 73 Championship goals since 2022-23, is available to make his West Ham debut.

Charlton's poor away record last season contrasts with their current scoring form, making them a threat despite defensive concerns.

What To Watch In The Data

West Ham to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last two matches for both teams, Over 2.5 Goals has occurred 100% of the time, indicating a high-tempo, attacking style.
  • The single head-to-head meeting averaged 3 goals, reinforcing the trend for multiple goals and supporting the expectation of a lively, goal-rich encounter in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

West Ham2
Avg goals scored
Charlton2
West Ham2
Avg goals conceded
Charlton1
West Ham100%
BTTS rate
Charlton100%
West Ham100%
Over 2.5 goals
Charlton100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both West Ham and Charlton have scored five goals in their opening two matches, highlighting an attacking trend on both sides. West Ham's defensive lapses and Charlton's ability to score despite away challenges suggest a match with goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS component of the pick.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWest Ham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 85% · edge -39.7 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
West Ham to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The current of 3.0 for West Ham to Win & Both Teams to Score reflect a market-implied chance of 33.3%, which is notably higher than the model's 21.4% probability. This discrepancy signals a price-sensitive market where the pick is driven more by football context than pure value. would need to drift higher or stronger late data emerge to enhance value .
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

West Ham6
Avg corners for
Charlton-
West Ham11
Avg total corners
Charlton-
West Ham4
Avg yellow cards
Charlton-
West Ham11
Avg shots
Charlton-
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
West Ham average 6 corners and 11 shots per game, while Charlton average 5 corners and 13 shots, indicating active attacking play from both teams. West Ham's higher yellow card average (4 per game) compared to Charlton's zero suggests a more aggressive defensive approach, potentially leading to set-piece opportunities and sustained pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

West Ham

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
16 Aug 2026A Burnley2-2

Charlton

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
15 Aug 2026H Derby2-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 93% · edge -37.2 pts
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
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West Ham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
West Ham to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
West Ham have scored 2 goals and conceded 2 in their last two matches, maintaining a 100% rate for both BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals. Charlton mirror this with 2 goals scored and 1 conceded, also hitting 100% BTTS and Over 2.5 rates. This recent form data underscores the likelihood of goals from both sides and supports the combined win and BTTS selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0West Ham wins
0Draws
0Charlton wins
Market aligned with main pickWest Ham to WinBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 74% · edge -43.9 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The limited head-to-head sample of one match shows an average of 3 goals scored, suggesting a moderately open game when these teams meet. While the sample is small, it aligns with current attacking trends and supports the expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Championship

West Ham1
Played
Charlton1
West Ham2
Avg goals for
Charlton2
West Ham2
Avg goals against
Charlton1
West Ham0
Clean sheets
Charlton0
Market aligned with main pickWest Ham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 85% · edge -39.7 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Load more odds for this section
West Ham to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
West Ham's season stats show a potent attack with 5 goals in two games but defensive instability with only one clean sheet in seven matches. Charlton's early season scoring matches West Ham's output, though their historically poor away defensive record suggests vulnerabilities that West Ham can exploit, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Charlton311001
10West Ham110100
Charlton sit higher in the Championship table with 3 points compared to West Ham's 1 point, reflecting their strong start. However, early season standings are less decisive than form and tactical matchups here, with West Ham's home advantage and attacking additions likely to influence the outcome more heavily than table position.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%West Ham Over 2.5
100%Charlton Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In the last two matches for both teams, Over 2.5 Goals has occurred 100% of the time, indicating a high-tempo, attacking style. The single head-to-head meeting averaged 3 goals, reinforcing the trend for multiple goals and supporting the expectation of a lively, goal-rich encounter in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.