Football Stats Hub

West Brom crestWest Brom
v
Blackburn crestBlackburn

Championship | Sat 17 Oct, 15:00

West Brom v Blackburn Stats

Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 17:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Blackburn visits West Brom in a Championship clash where both teams are close in the table, with West Brom sixth and Blackburn ninth. Blackburn arrives with stronger recent form, having collected 10 points compared to West Brom's 7 in their last five matches. Blackburn's attack has been more potent, averaging 1.8 goals per game versus West Brom's 0.8, suggesting an offensive edge. The fixture promises tactical intensity as Blackburn looks to capitalize on their momentum and goal threat away from home.

BT4Y best bet

Blackburn to Win

  • Blackburn has a 59.1% to win, with strong value at 4.0 .
  • Blackburn averages 1.8 goals per game, more than double West Brom's 0.8.
  • Blackburn's recent form yields 10 points in last five matches, outperforming West Brom's 7.
  • Blackburn's attacking players like O. Baradji show high shot volume and goal threat.
  • West Brom's Over 2.5 Goals rate is only 20%, while Blackburn's is 80%, indicating more open play from Blackburn.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Blackburn to win due to their superior recent form and attacking output, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to West Brom's 0.8. Blackburn's players such as O. Baradji contribute significantly to shots and goal threat, supporting the away win chance. The at 4.0 offer strong value against the model's 59.1% win probability. Defensive stats and recent results underline Blackburn's momentum, making this a confident selection. No data limitations affect this analysis.

Model Win Probability59.1%
Strong positive
Implied Odds Chance40% model chance vs 25% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form Points (Last 5)Blackburn 10 vs West Brom 7
Positive
Goals Per GameBlackburn 1.8 vs West Brom 0.8
Strong positive
Key Player Shot VolumeM. Baradji 3.6 shots/90, O. Afolayan 2.16 shots/90
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Blackburn's recent attacking form and higher goal output make them the tactical favorite to secure victory. Their ability to generate more shots and create chances, led by players like O. Afolayan, provides a clear data-driven edge over West Brom's less potent offense.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking momentum and tactical edge

“Blackburn's offensive momentum and shot volume suggest they can break down West Brom's defense and claim an away win in this closely matched Championship fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Blackburn to Win evidence

Blackburn has a 59.1% to win, with strong value at 4.0 .

Blackburn averages 1.8 goals per game, more than double West Brom's 0.8.

Blackburn's recent form yields 10 points in last five matches, outperforming West Brom's 7.

Blackburn's attacking players like O. Baradji show high shot volume and goal threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Blackburn to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, indicating relatively low-scoring encounters.
  • However, Blackburn's current Over 2.5 Goals rate of 80% suggests a more attacking approach recently, potentially increasing goal opportunities in this fixture compared to historical trends.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

West Brom0.8
Avg goals scored
Blackburn1.8
West Brom0.8
Avg goals conceded
Blackburn1.2
West Brom40%
BTTS rate
Blackburn80%
West Brom20%
Over 2.5 goals
Blackburn80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Blackburn's high Over 2.5 Goals rate of 80% contrasts sharply with West Brom's 20%, reflecting Blackburn's more open and attacking style. Both teams have shown tendencies for goals, with Blackburn averaging 1.8 goals per game and West Brom conceding 0.8, suggesting a match with scoring potential and a likelihood of BTTS.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Championship analysisrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBlackburn to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Blackburn Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
The 40% for Blackburn to Win sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Blackburn have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for West Brom.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

West Brom

WLLDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
13 Oct 2026A Wrexham2-1
10 Oct 2026H Birmingham0-1
20 Sep 2026A Wolves0-1
12 Sep 2026H QPR1-1
09 Sep 2026A Derby1-0

Blackburn

WWDWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
13 Oct 2026A Bristol City1-0
10 Oct 2026H Cardiff2-1
19 Sep 2026A Portsmouth2-2
12 Sep 2026H Millwall3-1
08 Sep 2026H Sheffield Utd1-2
Market aligned with main pickBlackburn to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Blackburn Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Blackburn's recent form shows 10 points from the last five matches, outperforming West Brom's 7 points. Blackburn's ability to score more goals and maintain defensive resilience has contributed to this momentum, reinforcing in their chances to win this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%West Brom Over 2.5
80%Blackburn Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, indicating relatively low-scoring encounters. However, Blackburn's current Over 2.5 Goals rate of 80% suggests a more attacking approach recently, potentially increasing goal opportunities in this fixture compared to historical trends.

Loading deeper match data…