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Weiz crestWeiz
v
First Vienna crestFirst Vienna

Friendlies Clubs | Wed 24 Jun, 17:00

Weiz v First Vienna Stats

Data last updated: Tue 23 Jun 2026, 02:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly fixture between Weiz and First Vienna offers an intriguing attacking contest as both sides seek to sharpen their offensive play ahead of competitive action. Weiz has shown a tendency for higher-scoring games recently, with 60% of their matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while First Vienna's matches have been slightly more restrained but still capable of producing goals. Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game, suggesting a balanced but open encounter. The match is set in a neutral venue, adding an element of unpredictability to the tactical approaches and goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 68%, above the 54% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Weiz has a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals in recent games.
  • First Vienna's matches have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game, supporting potential for goals.
  • Weiz concedes 2 goals per game on average, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
Price warning

Over 2.5 Goals is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 68% while the model sits nearer 54% (-14.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Weiz to Win shows a +41.6 pts edge at 10.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model estimates a 53.5% chance for over 2.5 goals, reflecting a moderately open game with attacking intent from both sides. Weiz's recent matches frequently feature multiple goals, and First Vienna's balanced scoring and conceding rates suggest opportunities for goals at both ends. While the do not indicate strong value, the tactical openness and defensive records support the likelihood of a lively, goal-rich friendly encounter. No price warnings apply, making this a standard pick based on attacking and defensive trends.

Price / value54% model chance vs 68% implied (-14.1 pts)
Negative
Weiz Over 2.5 Rate60%
Positive
First Vienna Over 2.5 Rate40%
Neutral
Weiz Goals Against Average2.0 per game
Positive
First Vienna Goals Against Average1.2 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and engaging friendly where both teams look to test attacking options. Weiz's tendency for higher-scoring games combined with First Vienna's balanced scoring and conceding profile suggests a match likely to surpass 2.5 goals. The data supports a lively encounter with multiple goal opportunities for both sides.

Main risk

The main risk is the friendly nature of the match, which can lead to unpredictable line-ups and tactical experiments that may reduce scoring intensity.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking and defensive dynamics

“This friendly sets the stage for an open game as Weiz's defensive vulnerabilities meet First Vienna's balanced attack, making over 2.5 goals a plausible outcome despite the experimental nature of such matches.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Weiz has a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals in recent games.

First Vienna's matches have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating moderate scoring.

Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game, supporting potential for goals.

Weiz concedes 2 goals per game on average, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • No head-to-head history exists between these teams, but recent trends over the last five matches indicate Weiz frequently participates in high-scoring games.
  • This trend, combined with First Vienna's moderate scoring, suggests a tempo conducive to over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Weiz1.2
Avg goals scored
First Vienna1.2
Weiz2
Avg goals conceded
First Vienna1.2
Weiz40%
BTTS rate
First Vienna60%
Weiz60%
Over 2.5 goals
First Vienna40%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 68% · edge -14.1 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Recent form shows Weiz's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, while First Vienna's games are less often high-scoring but still capable of multiple goals. Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game, and their defensive records indicate chances for goals at both ends, supporting the over 2.5 goals route.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Weiz

WWWLL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 2L
13 Feb 2026A Pachern2-0
06 Feb 2026H Grazer (Am) (Aut)1-0
03 Feb 2026H Ilzer SV2-1
30 Jan 2026A Fürstenfeld1-2
23 Jan 2026A Oberwart0-7

First Vienna

DDWDL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 1L
27 Mar 2026A Sturm Graz1-1
14 Feb 2026H Bayern München II2-2
07 Feb 2026H Nürnberg II3-2
30 Jan 2026H Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0-0
24 Jan 2026A Rapid Vienna0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 79% vs implied 28% · edge +51.1 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Load more odds for this section
Weiz to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
10
Check odds @ 10
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
First Vienna to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Weiz's recent form includes a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals matches, indicating a trend toward higher-scoring games. First Vienna's 40% rate is lower but still significant. Both teams' goal averages suggest a match with multiple scoring opportunities is probable.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 68% · edge -14.1 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
Weiz to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
10
Check odds @ 10
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
First Vienna to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
The over 2.5 goals market is priced neutrally with no clear , reflecting balanced expectations for an open game. The model's 53.5% probability aligns with market sentiment, suggesting this is a standard pick rather than a strong value bet.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Weiz wins
0Draws
0First Vienna wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 68% · edge -14.1 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
Weiz to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
10
Check odds @ 10
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
First Vienna to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
There are no previous meetings between Weiz and First Vienna to inform expectations. This lack of direct history increases reliance on recent form and tactical context to assess goal potential.
Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Weiz7
Played
First Vienna7
Weiz2
Avg goals for
First Vienna1.7
Weiz1.6
Avg goals against
First Vienna1.4
Weiz3
Clean sheets
First Vienna1
Best odds for this sectionWeiz to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 10% · edge +41.6 pts
10
Check odds @ 10
Load more odds for this section
First Vienna to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Season-long data shows Weiz concedes an average of 2 goals per game, pointing to defensive weaknesses that can be exploited. First Vienna concedes fewer goals but still allows scoring chances. Both teams' offensive output supports the likelihood of a match exceeding 2.5 goals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Weiz Over 2.5
40%First Vienna Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
No head-to-head history exists between these teams, but recent trends over the last five matches indicate Weiz frequently participates in high-scoring games. This trend, combined with First Vienna's moderate scoring, suggests a tempo conducive to over 2.5 goals in this fixture.

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