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Waterford crestWaterford
v
Shelbourne crestShelbourne

Premier Division | Sun 02 Aug, 15:00

Waterford v Shelbourne Stats

Data last updated: Mon 03 Aug 2026, 00:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shelbourne host Waterford in a Premier Division clash marked by contrasting struggles and attacking promise. Shelbourne aim to end a nine-match home winless streak, relying on a midfield trio to control tempo and create chances despite defensive inconsistencies. Waterford arrive without an away league win in 13 matches but carry attacking threat led by Tom Lonergan and Padraig Amond, seeking to capitalize on Shelbourne's defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams have shown scoring ability and defensive frailties, setting the stage for an open, tense encounter with emotional swings likely to influence the outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Shelbourne have seen both teams score in 15 of their last 20 matches.
  • Waterford have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last 10 league matches.
  • Waterford have scored in each of their last four matches, showing attacking resilience.
  • Shelbourne average 13.3 attempts and 5.5 corners per match, indicating sustained pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score highly with a 76% chance, supported by strong attacking stats and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Shelbourne's pattern of goals at both ends in 15 of 20 recent matches and Waterford's consistent scoring despite defensive pressure underpin this view. The price at 1.95 offers positive value with a 24.7% edge. The balanced offensive intent and defensive lapses create a fertile environment for goals from both teams, making this selection a compelling football and statistical proposition.

Shelbourne BTTS rate75% in last 20 matches
Strong positive
Waterford defensive pressureConcede 17.7 shots per game
Strong positive
Waterford scoring streakGoals in last 4 matches
Positive
Price vs model chance1.95 odds vs 76% chance
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams possess clear attacking strengths but also defensive weaknesses, making goals at both ends likely. Shelbourne's home struggles and Waterford's away defensive issues suggest an open game where both sides can score. The midfield battle and attacking roles will be crucial in breaking down defenses, supporting the Both Teams to Score selection.

Main risk

The concern is obvious though.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture is poised for goals at both ends given Shelbourne's attacking intent and Waterford's defensive fragility on the road. The attacking prowess of Lonergan and Amond against a vulnerable backline makes BTTS a logical call.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Shelbourne have seen both teams score in 15 of their last 20 matches.

Waterford have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last 10 league matches.

Waterford have scored in each of their last four matches, showing attacking resilience.

Shelbourne average 13.3 attempts and 5.5 corners per match, indicating sustained pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.5, with both teams scoring frequently.
  • Recent matches show a trend toward open play with goals from both sides, supporting the BTTS market.
  • The tempo and transitional play between these teams often create scoring opportunities on both ends.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Waterford1.6
Avg goals scored
Shelbourne1.6
Waterford1.4
Avg goals conceded
Shelbourne1.8
Waterford60%
BTTS rate
Shelbourne80%
Waterford40%
Over 2.5 goals
Shelbourne100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 82%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Shelbourne have seen both teams score in 15 of their last 20 matches, while Waterford have conceded 1.8 goals per game and scored in four consecutive matches. These trends highlight a pattern of open games with goals at both ends, making BTTS a logical expectation for this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Waterford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Waterford to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Shelbourne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.95, reflecting an implied chance of 51.3%, while the model estimates a 76% likelihood, indicating strong value. This price sensitivity suggests the market may underestimate the frequency of goals from both sides, supported by their recent scoring and conceding patterns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Waterford5.5
Avg corners for
Shelbourne5
Waterford10.5
Avg total corners
Shelbourne8.75
Waterford2.5
Avg yellow cards
Shelbourne2.5
Waterford14.25
Avg shots
Shelbourne9.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 56% · edge +9.6 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Both teams generate similar corner counts, with Waterford averaging 5.5 and Shelbourne 5 per match, indicating balanced territorial exchanges. Shot volumes favor Waterford with 14.25 attempts per game versus Shelbourne's 9.75, reflecting Waterford's attacking urgency despite defensive pressure. Discipline is comparable, with both sides averaging 2.5 yellow cards, suggesting a competitive but controlled contest.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Waterford

DDWWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
25 Jul 2026A Galway United0-0
10 Jul 2026H St Patrick's Athl.1-1
03 Jul 2026A Derry City4-2
26 Jun 2026A Dundalk3-2
19 Jun 2026H Shamrock Rovers0-2

Shelbourne

WDLDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
03 Jul 2026H Dundalk2-1
27 Jun 2026A Sligo Rovers2-2
22 Jun 2026H Bohemians0-3
19 Jun 2026A Drogheda United2-2
12 Jun 2026H Shamrock Rovers2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +9 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Waterford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Waterford to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Shelbourne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have earned 8 points in recent matches, with Shelbourne scoring 1.6 goals and conceding 1.8 per game, while Waterford score 1.6 and concede 1.4. Shelbourne's BTTS rate stands at 80%, and Waterford's at 60%, reflecting consistent goal involvement on both sides and reinforcing the BTTS selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Waterford wins
2Draws
7Shelbourne wins
22 May 2026Shelbourne v Waterford2-1
06 Feb 2026Waterford v Shelbourne1-1
26 Sep 2025Shelbourne v Waterford2-1
23 Jun 2025Waterford v Shelbourne2-2
05 May 2025Shelbourne v Waterford0-1
21 Feb 2025Waterford v Shelbourne0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Waterford to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The previous 10 meetings between Shelbourne and Waterford have averaged 2.5 goals per game, with multiple matches featuring goals from both sides. The last encounter ended 1-1, underscoring a competitive balance and supporting the likelihood of both teams scoring again in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

Waterford26
Played
Shelbourne25
Waterford1.3
Avg goals for
Shelbourne1.4
Waterford1.8
Avg goals against
Shelbourne1.4
Waterford4
Clean sheets
Shelbourne5
Best odds for this sectionWaterford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 50% · edge +5.8 pts
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Load more odds for this section
Waterford to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Shelbourne Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Shelbourne's season shows a balanced goal difference with 24 scored and 24 conceded in 16 matches, indicating defensive instability paired with attacking intent. Waterford's defensive record is weaker, conceding 1.8 goals per game recently, while maintaining offensive output. These season-long trends support expectations for goals from both teams.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Shelbourne34258107-1
9Waterford252651011-13
Shelbourne sit 5th with 34 points, aiming to stabilize their campaign, while Waterford are 9th with 22 points, struggling especially away from home. The standings reflect the pressure on both sides to secure points, likely encouraging attacking efforts and risk-taking that can lead to goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Waterford Over 2.5
100%Shelbourne Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.5, with both teams scoring frequently. Recent matches show a trend toward open play with goals from both sides, supporting the BTTS market. The tempo and transitional play between these teams often create scoring opportunities on both ends.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Waterford v Shelbourne prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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