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Waterford crestWaterford
v
Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 19 Jun, 19:45

Waterford v Shamrock Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Mon 03 Aug 2026, 19:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Waterford face Shamrock Rovers in Premier Division on Fri 19 Jun, 19:45. Waterford allow high volume at 1.9 goals conceded per match, making a high-event fixture likely at the Regional Sports Centre. In Coughlan’s first five games, they have taken two wins, two draws and one defeat.

BT4Y best bet

Combines the away win with both teams scoring to reflect Waterford's offensive efficiency under Graham Coughlan

  • At 11/5, Combines the away win with both teams scoring to reflect Waterford's offensive efficiency under Graham Coughlan implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 46%.
  • However, their defensive record remains highly vulnerable, conceding 1.9 goals per match over their last ten games.
  • Waterford have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Shamrock Rovers.
  • Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Combines the away win with both teams scoring to reflect Waterford's offensive efficiency under Graham Coughlan angle more than.
  • Waterford sit 9 in the table, while Shamrock Rovers sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 46% for Combines the away win with both teams scoring to reflect Waterford's offensive efficiency under Graham Coughlan sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Waterford have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Shamrock Rovers. However, their defensive record remains highly vulnerable, conceding 1.9 goals per match over their last ten games.

Model chance vs price46% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Strong positive
Waterford have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
However, their defensive record remains highly vulnerable, conceding 1.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Waterford Win is the preferred angle because however, their defensive record remains highly vulnerable, conceding that scoring level per match over their last ten games. Waterford have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Shamrock Rovers. A sloppy performance here would not ruin their campaign, but it would invite noise.

Main risk

A sloppy performance here would not ruin their campaign, but it would invite noise.

Key Data Signals

Combines the away win with both teams scoring to reflect Waterford's offensive efficiency under Graham Coughlan evidence

However, their defensive record remains highly vulnerable, conceding that scoring level per match over their last ten games.

Waterford have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Shamrock Rovers.

Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Waterford Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Waterford sit 9 in the table, while Shamrock Rovers sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Combines the away win with both teams scoring to reflect Waterford's offensive efficiency under Graham Coughlan notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Waterford2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Shamrock Rovers1
    Waterford1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Shamrock Rovers1.2
    Waterford80%
    BTTS rate
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    Waterford100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWaterford to WinBetUK guide price · Model 36% vs implied 21% · edge +15 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 72%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Waterford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 41%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Waterford to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Waterford4
    Avg corners for
    Shamrock Rovers4
    Waterford7.4
    Avg total corners
    Shamrock Rovers7.6
    Waterford3.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Shamrock Rovers2.2
    Waterford14.6
    Avg shots
    Shamrock Rovers15.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 41%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Waterford

    WDLWD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 4L
    12 Jun 2026H Sligo Rovers4-0
    29 May 2026A Drogheda United3-3
    22 May 2026A Shelbourne1-2
    18 May 2026H Drogheda United2-1
    15 May 2026H Derry City2-2

    Shamrock Rovers

    LWWLL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 0D 4L
    12 Jun 2026A Shelbourne1-2
    29 May 2026H St Patrick's Athl.1-0
    25 May 2026A Bohemians2-1
    22 May 2026H Sligo Rovers1-2
    15 May 2026A Dundalk0-1
    Market aligned with main pickWaterford to WinBetUK guide price · Model 36% vs implied 21% · edge +15 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 59%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Waterford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Waterford wins
    1Draws
    8Shamrock Rovers wins
    01 May 2026Shamrock Rovers v Waterford1-0
    03 Apr 2026Waterford v Shamrock Rovers1-1
    22 Sep 2025Waterford v Shamrock Rovers1-2
    27 Jun 2025Shamrock Rovers v Waterford1-0
    16 May 2025Waterford v Shamrock Rovers1-3
    11 Apr 2025Shamrock Rovers v Waterford2-0
    Market aligned with main pickWaterford to WinBetUK guide price · Model 36% vs implied 21% · edge +15 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 72%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Waterford to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Waterford26
    Played
    Shamrock Rovers26
    Waterford1.3
    Avg goals for
    Shamrock Rovers1.5
    Waterford1.8
    Avg goals against
    Shamrock Rovers0.8
    Waterford4
    Clean sheets
    Shamrock Rovers10
    Market aligned with main pickWaterford to WinBetUK guide price · Model 36% vs implied 21% · edge +15 pts
    4.75
    Check odds @ 4.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Waterford Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Season data supports Waterford to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Shamrock Rovers5126156518
    9Waterford252651011-13
    Waterford sit in position 9, while Shamrock Rovers sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Combines the away win with both teams scoring to reflect Waterford's offensive efficiency under Graham Coughlan assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Waterford Over 2.5
    60%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
    2.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Waterford sit at 100% and Shamrock Rovers sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Waterford v Shamrock Rovers prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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